Tecnoglass Stock To $65?
Tecnoglass (TGLS) stock has fallen by 23.1% in less than a month, from $64.63 on 14th Oct, 2025 to $49.73 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Tecnoglass Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, TGLS stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 61%, with median peak return reaching 65%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 30% or more, in less than 30 day period.
If you seek an upside with less volatility than a single stock, consider the High Quality Portfolio (HQ) – HQ has outperformed its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index, and achieved returns exceeding 105% since its inception.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 3.2% |
| 3M | 11.2% |
| 6M | 34.3% |
| 12M | 61.2% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
TGLS had 5 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered
- 65% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 357 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -11% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | TGLS Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | TGLS | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 61% | 65% | -11% | 357 | ||||
| 8112023 | -30% | 2% | 61% | 65% | -16% | 243 | ||
| 5112022 | -35% | -15% | 153% | 154% | -10% | 362 | ||
| 12102021 | -35% | 3% | 62% | 71% | -10% | 357 | ||
| 3042020 | -30% | -6% | 61% | 61% | -58% | 365 | ||
| 8112017 | -30% | 1% | 49% | 57% | -11% | 222 | ||
Tecnoglass Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 16.9% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 20.8% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 17.5% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 44.1 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 23.5 |
Dip buying, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.