7 Green Days In A Row: Tenable Stock Is Up 31%

TENBYTD+107.1%SPYYTD+13.9%QQQYTD+18.4%
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Tenable (TENB) stock is on a 7-day winning streak, up 30.8% since the run began. That added about $1.3 billion to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $5.4 billion. The stock closed at $48.65 on Tuesday, October 27, its highest close of the past year.

Image from Pixabay

 
The Streak Next To The S&P 500

Returns for TENB and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Tuesday, October 27 and including dividends:
 

Return Period TENB S&P 500
1 Day 0.9% 0.6%
7 Days (Current Streak) 30.8% 0.8%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 41.1% 0.6%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 54.5% 5.8%
Year To Date 106.8% 13.9%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 60.6% 15.0%

A Stock-Specific Run, Or A Market Move?

Over the same 7 trading days, the S&P 500 returned +0.8% including dividends, so the run is mostly Tenable’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is up 54.5%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 56 sessions of that window it was up 18.2%.

Do The Fundamentals Support The Run?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 9.9% over the last twelve months, against a median of 17.9% for S&P 500 Information Technology stocks; and its operating margin is 4.2%, versus a median of 21.6%. At least one of the last four quarters was a loss, so a price-to-earnings multiple would not be a meaningful yardstick here. The read is mixed.

If you are looking for strength with more behind it than a hot tape, our Guidance Momentum screen surfaces the names where management raised its own outlook.

One Hot Stock Is A Story. Thirty Sound Ones Are A Strategy

A streak like this earns a place on your watchlist, and it also earns a question: how much of your outcome do you want depending on one company keeping this up?

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio answers it with breadth: roughly 30 businesses picked for consistent cash generation, strong margins, and balance-sheet strength, sized and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Follow the story; invest in the strategy.