Alphabet or Spotify Technology: Which Stock Has More Upside?

SPOT: Spotify Technology logo
SPOT
Spotify Technology

Spotify Technology fell -19% during the past Month. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Alphabet gives you more. Alphabet (GOOGL) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Spotify Technology (SPOT) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in GOOGL

  • GOOGL’s quarterly revenue growth was 21.8%, vs. SPOT’s 8.2%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 17.5%, ahead of SPOT’s 8.0%.
  • GOOGL leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 32.7% and 3-year average of 31.5%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how SPOT’s fundamentals stack up against those of GOOGL on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: SPOT Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  SPOT GOOGL Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 37.0 35.1 GOOGL
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 8.2% 21.8% GOOGL
Last 12 Months 8.0% 17.5% GOOGL
Last 3 Year Average 13.2% 14.1% GOOGL
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 13.7% 32.7% GOOGL
Last 3 Year Average 7.8% 31.5% GOOGL
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 203.5% 244.1% GOOGL

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell GOOGL Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
SPOT Return -26% -66% 138% 138% 30% -26% 37%    
GOOGL Return 65% -39% 58% 36% 66% 29% 363%   <===
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 9% 98%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
SPOT Win Rate 33% 17% 83% 83% 58% 20%   49%  
GOOGL Win Rate 83% 25% 67% 67% 75% 60%   63%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 60%   64% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
SPOT Max Drawdown -44% -71% -27% -12% -28% -30%   -35%  
GOOGL Max Drawdown -8% -44% -17% -22% -30% -20%   -24%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -5% -25% -10% -8% -19% -9%   -13% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/14/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

Still not sure about SPOT or GOOGL? Consider portfolio approach.

Portfolios Over Individual Stock Picks

Single stocks swing wildly, but staying invested matters. A well-built portfolio helps you stay invested, captures upside, and softens the blows from individual stocks.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? HQ Portfolio has posted more than 105% in cumulative return since inception, with less risk versus the benchmark index, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.