SCCO Stock Surges 16% In 8-day Spree On Record Earnings and Copper Outlook
Southern Copper (SCCO) – a copper mining and refining company producing copper and molybdenum concentrates – hit a 8-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to 16%. The company’s market cap has surged by about $25 Bil over the last 8 days and currently stands at $180 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 52.9% compared to 0.5% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Record Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results
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- Q4 net income surged 65% year-over-year to $1.31 billion
- Full-year 2025 net sales, EBITDA, and net income were company records
- Impact: Strong positive investor sentiment, Stock price rally despite lowered 2026 guidance
[2] Bullish Analyst Actions and Positive Copper Market Outlook
- UBS raised its copper price forecast, predicting a larger supply deficit in 2026
- Analysts upgraded SCCO’s revenue and earnings forecasts for 2026
- Impact: Increased investor confidence, Strengthened upward stock momentum
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in SCCO stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. But given its Very High valuation, the stock appears Relatively Expensive (For details, see Buy or Sell SCCO).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for SCCO stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | SCCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 1.2% | -0.4% |
| 8D (Current Streak) | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 1M (21D) | 10.7% | -1.4% |
| 3M (63D) | 69.9% | 1.7% |
| YTD 2026 | 52.9% | 0.5% |
| 2025 | 62.2% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 9.4% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 50.1% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has SCCO behaved after prior drops? See SCCO Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 80 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 23 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 29 | 20 |
| 4D | 33 | 0 |
| 5D | 6 | 3 |
| 6D | 4 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 8 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 80 | 23 |
Key Financials for Southern Copper (SCCO)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $9.9 Bil | $11.4 Bil |
| Operating Income | $4.2 Bil | $5.6 Bil |
| Net Income | $2.4 Bil | $3.4 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $3.1 Bil | $3.4 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.6 Bil | $1.8 Bil |
| Net Income | $973.4 Mil | $1.1 Bil |
While SCCO stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.