Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Stock To $123?
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (OLLI) stock has fallen by 13.5% in less than a month, from $109.25 on 13th Mar, 2026 to $94.45 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, OLLI stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 51%, with median peak return reaching 53%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 2.3% |
| 3M | 6.9% |
| 6M | 12.6% |
| 12M | 51.3% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
OLLI had 7 events since 7/16/2015 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 53% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 217 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -24% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | OLLI Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | OLLI | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 51% | 53% | -24% | 217 | ||||
| 9292022 | -20% | -15% | 51% | 53% | -12% | 349 | ||
| 12032021 | -25% | -0% | 15% | 42% | -24% | 217 | ||
| 8312021 | -23% | 5% | -24% | 1% | -47% | 64 | ||
| 1282020 | -21% | 4% | 93% | 101% | -38% | 211 | ||
| 8292019 | -35% | -2% | 72% | 96% | -39% | 363 | ||
| 12072018 | -21% | -1% | -13% | 47% | -21% | 168 | ||
| 8272015 | -21% | -6% | 59% | 69% | -8% | 362 | ||
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 16.6% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 13.2% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 11.2% | Pass |
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