Why NVDA, MU Could Outperform Rambus Stock

RMBS: Rambus logo
RMBS
Rambus

NVDA, MU are Rambus’s peers in Semiconductors industry that have:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to Rambus stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying NVDA, MU stocks vs. RMBS stock

Key Metrics Compared

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Metric RMBS NVDA MU
P/OpInc* 50.4x 36.6x 18.6x
LTM OpInc Growth 45.4% 60.1% 354.6%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 51.8% 232.8% 108.3%
LTM Revenue Growth 27.1% 65.5% 85.5%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 16.4% 101.8% 45.3%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell RMBS Stock to see if Rambus still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, Rambus (RMBS) provides semiconductor products globally, including in the US, Asia, and Europe, marketed through direct sales and distributors.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Rambus stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Rambus in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Rambus would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric RMBS NVDA MU
P/OpInc* 20.6x 24.5x 5.8x
LTM OpInc Growth 57.0% 55.0% 198.9%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 55.8% 160.8% 59.8%
LTM Revenue Growth 31.0% 65.2% 45.4%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 17.3% 91.6% 28.3%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric RMBS NVDA MU
P/S 18.5x 22.1x 9.0x
Market Cap (Current) $ 13.1 Bil $ 4.8 Tril $ 524.3 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 707.63 Mil $ 215.94 Bil $ 58.12 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 260.28 Mil $ 130.39 Bil $ 28.13 Bil
LTM Op Margin 36.8% 60.4% 48.4%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed its benchmark – a combination of the S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.