8 Red Days In A Row: Rocket Lab Stock Is Down 32%

RKLBYTD-27.1%SPYYTD+12.5%XLIYTD+8.7%
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Rocket Lab (RKLB) stock is on an 8-day losing streak, down 32.3% since the run began. That erased about $15.3 billion from the company’s market value, which now stands at about $32.0 billion. The stock closed at $50.84 on Friday, October 16, 66.2% below its 52-week high of $150.23 and 28.8% above its low of $39.48.

Image from Pixabay

 
The Streak Next To The S&P 500

Returns for RKLB and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Friday, October 16 and including dividends:
 

Return Period RKLB S&P 500
1 Day -8.0% -1.1%
8 Days (Current Streak) -32.3% -2.0%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) -25.0% 0.4%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) -22.7% 3.2%
Year To Date -27.1% 12.9%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) -26.6% 16.2%

How The Streak Compares With The Market

Over the same 8 trading days, the S&P 500 returned -2.0% including dividends, so the slide is mostly Rocket Lab’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is down 22.7%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 55 sessions of that window it was up 14.2%.

What The Numbers Say About The Slide

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 52.5% over the last twelve months, against a median of 7.3% for S&P 500 Industrials stocks; and its operating margin is -29.1%, versus a median of 17.6%. Rocket Lab does not have positive trailing earnings, so there is no meaningful price-to-earnings multiple to compare. The fundamentals give the sellers some support: an operating loss.

If the drop has you weighing an entry, resist buying on price alone. Our Buy the Dip screen ranks the marked-down names where growth and cash generation still hold up.

For anyone who would rather back the theme than one company, an aerospace & defense ETF like MISL holds the whole group, not just this stock. It is still a concentrated bet on one theme, which is the gap the portfolio below is built to close.

Weakness In One Name Should Be Noise, Not News

For a diversified holder, a streak like this is a data point. For a concentrated one, it is a hole in the plan. The difference is never the stock; it is the portfolio built around it.

Building that portfolio is what the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio does: roughly 30 businesses with the cash generation and balance-sheet strength to absorb a bad month, selected and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Make the next streak, in either direction, someone else’s drama.