Cloudflare Stock Extends A 5-Day Losing Streak To An 18% Loss

NETYTD+50.3%SPYYTD+12.5%QQQYTD+15.8%
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Shares of Cloudflare (NET) have closed lower in each of the last 5 sessions, a cumulative decline of 17.9%. That erased about $22.9 billion from the company’s market value, which now stands at about $105.0 billion. The stock closed at $296.30 on Friday, October 16, 17.9% below its 52-week high of $360.93 and 85.0% above its low of $160.19.

Image from Pixabay

 
The Streak Next To The S&P 500

Returns for NET and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Friday, October 16 and including dividends:
 

Return Period NET S&P 500
1 Day -6.3% -1.1%
5 Days (Current Streak) -17.9% -1.9%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) -11.3% 0.4%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 8.8% 3.2%
Year To Date 50.3% 12.9%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 36.3% 16.2%

A Stock-Specific Slide, Or A Market Move?

Over the same 5 trading days, the S&P 500 returned -1.9% including dividends, so the slide is mostly Cloudflare’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is up 8.8%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 58 sessions of that window it was up 32.5%.

What The Numbers Say About The Slide

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 33.5% over the last twelve months, against a median of 17.9% for S&P 500 Information Technology stocks; and its operating margin is -8.1%, versus a median of 21.6%. Cloudflare does not have positive trailing earnings, so there is no meaningful price-to-earnings multiple to compare. The fundamentals give the sellers some support: an operating loss.

If the drop has you weighing an entry, resist buying on price alone. Our Buy the Dip screen ranks the marked-down names where growth and cash generation still hold up.

Weakness In One Name Should Be Noise, Not News

For a diversified holder, a streak like this is a data point. For a concentrated one, it is a hole in the plan. The difference is never the stock; it is the portfolio built around it.

Building that portfolio is what the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio does: roughly 30 businesses with the cash generation and balance-sheet strength to absorb a bad month, selected and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Make the next streak, in either direction, someone else’s drama.