Palantir Technologies Stock To $259?

PLTR: Palantir Technologies logo
PLTR
Palantir Technologies

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) stock has jumped 13% during the past week, and is currently trading at $198.81. Our machine-driven multi-factor assessment suggests that it may be time to buy more shares of PLTR stock. We have, overall, a positive view of the stock, and a price of $259 may not be out of reach. We believe there is not much to fear in PLTR stock given its overall Very Strong operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Very High valuation, the stock appears Attractive but Volatile.

Below is our assessment:

  CONCLUSION
What you pay:
Valuation Very High
What you get:
Growth Very Strong
Profitability Strong
Financial Stability Very Strong
Downturn Resilience Moderate
Operating Performance Very Strong
 
Stock Opinion Attractive but Volatile

If you seek an upside with less volatility than holding an individual stock, consider the High Quality Portfolio (HQ) – HQ has outperformed its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index, and achieved returns exceeding 105% since its inception. Risk management is key – consider, what could long-term portfolio performance be if you blended 10% commodities, 10% gold, and 2% crypto with HQ’s performance metrics.

Let’s get into details of each of the assessed factors but before that, for quick background: With $470 Bil in market cap, Palantir Technologies provides software platforms that help U.S. intelligence identify hidden patterns in data and support counterterrorism investigations and operational collaboration.

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[1] Valuation Looks Very High

  PLTR S&P 500
Price-to-Sales Ratio 136.8 3.3
Price-to-Earnings Ratio 616.6 23.7
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio 275.5 21.0

This table highlights how PLTR is valued vs broader market. For more details see: PLTR Valuation Ratios

[2] Growth Is Very Strong

  • Palantir Technologies has seen its top line grow at an average rate of 25.7% over the last 3 years
  • Its revenues have grown 39% from $2.5 Bil to $3.4 Bil in the last 12 months
  • Also, its quarterly revenues grew 48.0% to $1.0 Bil in the most recent quarter from $678 Mil a year ago.

  PLTR S&P 500
3-Year Average 25.7% 5.3%
Latest Twelve Months* 38.8% 5.2%
Most Recent Quarter (YoY)* 48.0% 6.4%

This table highlights how PLTR is growing vs broader market. For more details see: PLTR Revenue Comparison

[3] Profitability Appears Strong

  • PLTR last 12 month operating income was $570 Mil representing operating margin of 16.6%
  • With cash flow margin of 50.3%, it generated nearly $1.7 Bil in operating cash flow over this period
  • For the same period, PLTR generated nearly $763 Mil in net income, suggesting net margin of about 22.2%

  PLTR S&P 500
Current Operating Margin 16.6% 18.8%
Current OCF Margin 50.3% 20.4%
Current Net Income Margin 22.2% 12.7%

This table highlights how PLTR profitability vs broader market. For more details see: PLTR Operating Income Comparison

[4] Financial Stability Looks Very Strong

  • PLTR Debt was $238 Mil at the end of the most recent quarter, while its current Market Cap is $470 Bil. This implies Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.05%
  • PLTR Cash (including cash equivalents) makes up $6.0 Bil of $7.4 Bil in total Assets. This yields a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 81.5%

  PLTR S&P 500
Current Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.1% 21.1%
Current Cash-to-Assets Ratio 81.5% 6.9%

[5] Downturn Resilience Is Moderate

PLTR saw an impact slightly worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns. We assess this based on both (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered.

2022 Inflation Shock

  • PLTR stock fell 84.6% from a high of $39.00 on 27 January 2021 to $6.00 on 27 December 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 3 October 2024
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $198.81 on 29 October 2025 $198.81

  PLTR S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -84.6% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 646 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • PLTR stock fell 22.5% from a high of $29.05 on 25 November 2020 to $22.51 on 2 December 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 22 January 2021

  PLTR S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -22.5% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 51 days 148 days

 

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, outlook changes. Read PLTR Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.