Progressive Stock 6-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 6.8%
Progressive (PGR) stock hit day 6 of a continuous streak of days with gains, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 6.8% return. The company has gained about $8.3 Bil in value over the last 6 days, with its current market capitalization at about $131 Bil. The stock remains 5.0% below its value at the end of 2024. This compares with year-to-date returns of 14.6% for the S&P 500.
Progressive’s recent market ascent signals investors looking beyond a reported Q3 earnings miss, instead finding reassurance in the insurer’s robust operational resilience and the steadfast demand for its essential services, prompting a revaluation of its enduring market position.
What is the point? Momentum often precedes conviction. A multi-day win streak can signal growing investor confidence or spark follow-on buying. Tracking such trends can help you ride the strength, or prepare for a well-timed entry if momentum fades. Our take: There is not much to fear in PGR stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Low valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (see Buy or Sell PGR). Nevertheless, individual stocks can be volatile, but markets aren’t spared either – 2008, 2020. Volatility happens. See how Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner’s asset allocation framework handled both.
For quick background, PGR provides personal and commercial auto, property, liability, and specialty insurance products across personal, commercial, and residential property segments.
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Comparing PGR Stock Returns With The S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for PGR stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | PGR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.6% | -1.7% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | 6.8% | -0.9% |
| 1M (21D) | -1.5% | 1.0% |
| 3M (63D) | -9.7% | 4.5% |
| YTD 2025 | -5.0% | 14.6% |
| 2024 | 51.4% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 23.2% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | 26.8% | -19.4% |
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 62 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 40 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 27 | 28 |
| 4D | 8 | 12 |
| 5D | 15 | 0 |
| 6D | 6 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 6 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 62 | 40 |
Key Financials for Progressive (PGR)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $62.1 Bil | $75.3 Bil |
| EBT | $4.9 Bil | $10.7 Bil |
| Net Income | $3.9 Bil | $8.5 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ1 | 2025 FQ2 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $20.4 Bil | $22.0 Bil |
| EBT | $3.2 Bil | $4.0 Bil |
| Net Income | $2.6 Bil | $3.2 Bil |
While PGR stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.