Pay Less, Gain More: COKE, KDP Top PepsiCo Stock

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Trefis
PEP: PepsiCo logo
PEP
PepsiCo

COKE, KDP are PepsiCo’s peers in Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages industry that have:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to PepsiCo stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying COKE, KDP stocks vs. PEP stock

Individual stocks can be volatile, but markets aren’t spared either – 2008, 2020. Volatility happens. See how Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner’s asset allocation framework handled both.

Relevant Articles
  1. COKE, KDP Look Smarter Buy Than PepsiCo Stock
  2. Better Value & Growth: KDP Leads PepsiCo Stock
  3. Ten-Year Tally: PepsiCo Stock Delivers $73 Bil Gain
  4. KDP Looks Smarter Buy Than PepsiCo Stock
  5. S&P 500 Movers | Winners: PEP, MKTX, AZO | Losers: SNPS, MOS, TER
  6. PepsiCo vs Competition: Who Wins?

Key Metrics Compared

Metric PEP COKE KDP
P/OpInc* 16.7x 15.1x 10.7x
LTM OpInc Growth -8.1% 5.4% 0.1%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 2.1% 20.3% 9.4%
LTM Revenue Growth 0.5% 4.2% 6.8%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 3.4% 5.5% 5.9%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell PEP Stock to see if PepsiCo still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, PepsiCo (PEP) provides beverages, snacks, dips, spreads, cereals, and mixes, offering a diverse range of convenient food products globally.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if PepsiCo stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for PepsiCo in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for PepsiCo would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric PEP COKE KDP
P/OpInc* 16.7x 11.6x 12.3x
LTM OpInc Growth -7.5% 4.4% -2.5%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 3.3% 24.2% 7.4%
LTM Revenue Growth -0.3% 3.2% 4.6%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 4.0% 5.9% 5.9%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric PEP COKE KDP
P/S 2.2x 2.0x 2.3x
Market Cap (Current) $ 203.7 Bil $ 14.0 Bil $ 37.3 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 92.37 Bil $ 7.07 Bil $ 16.17 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 12.19 Bil $ 927.29 Mil $ 3.48 Bil
LTM Op Margin 13.2% 13.1% 21.5%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.