Can Affirm Outrun ServiceNow in the Next Rally?

NOW: ServiceNow logo
NOW
ServiceNow

ServiceNow fell -12% during the past Day. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Affirm gives you more. Affirm (AFRM) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs ServiceNow (NOW) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in AFRM

  • AFRM’s quarterly revenue growth was 33.6%, vs. NOW’s 21.8%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 37.0%, ahead of NOW’s 21.1%.
  • AFRM’s LTM margin is higher: 15.6% vs. NOW’s 13.9%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how NOW’s fundamentals stack up against those of AFRM on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Valuation & Performance Overview

  NOW AFRM Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 90.5 42.3 AFRM
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 21.8% 33.6% AFRM
Last 12 Months 21.1% 37.0% AFRM
Last 3 Year Average 22.3% 34.4% AFRM
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 13.9% 15.6% AFRM
Last 3 Year Average 11.2% -13.4% NOW
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 91.0% 533.2% NOW

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: NOW Revenue Comparison | AFRM Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: NOW Operating Income Comparison | AFRM Operating Income Comparison

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell AFRM Stock and Buy or Sell NOW Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
NOW Return 95% 18% -40% 82% 50% -18% 206%    
AFRM Return -90% 408% 24% 10%   <===
S&P 500 Return 16% 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 111%  
Monthly Win Rates [3]
NOW Win Rate 83% 50% 17% 75% 75% 42%   57%  
AFRM Win Rate 36% 25% 67% 33% 50%   <===
S&P 500 Win Rate 58% 75% 42% 67% 75% 73%   65%  
Max Drawdowns [4]
NOW Max Drawdown -12% -17% -47% -6% -9% -32%   -20%  
AFRM Max Drawdown -91% -7% -51% -41%   <===
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -31% -1% -25% -1% -2% -15%   -12%  

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/15/2025 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read AFRM Dip Buyer Analyses and NOW Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about NOW or AFRM? Consider portfolio approach.

Multi Asset Portfolios Offer More Upside With Less Risk

Stocks soar and sink but bonds commodities and other assets balance the ride. A multi asset portfolio keeps returns steadier and reduces single market risk.

The asset allocation framework of Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. Our partner’ strategy now includes Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices