eBay Stock Capital Return Hits $40 Bil

-6.82%
Downside
82.59
Market
76.96
Trefis
EBAY: eBay logo
EBAY
eBay

In the last decade, eBay (EBAY) stock has returned $40 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, EBAY stock has returned the 73rd highest amount to shareholders in history.

  EBAY S&P Median
Dividends $3.0 Bil $4.5 Bil
Share Repurchase $37 Bil $5.7 Bil
Total Returned $40 Bil $9.4 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 105.9% 25.7%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return

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  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $847 Bil 20.9% $141 Bil $706 Bil
MSFT $368 Bil 10.4% $169 Bil $200 Bil
GOOGL $357 Bil 10.0% $15 Bil $342 Bil
XOM $212 Bil 41.7% $145 Bil $67 Bil
WFC $212 Bil 71.8% $58 Bil $153 Bil
META $183 Bil 11.2% $9.1 Bil $174 Bil
JPM $181 Bil 20.8% $0.0 $181 Bil
ORCL $161 Bil 31.8% $34 Bil $126 Bil
CVX $157 Bil 54.0% $99 Bil $58 Bil
JNJ $157 Bil 30.9% $104 Bil $52 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for EBAY. (see Buy or Sell eBay Stock for more details)

eBay Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 2.7% LTM and 1.5% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 13.5% free cash flow margin and 21.4% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for EBAY was -0.8%.
  • Valuation: eBay stock trades at a P/E multiple of 19.2

  EBAY S&P Median
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Industry Broadline Retail
PE Ratio 19.2 23.5

   
LTM* Revenue Growth 2.7% 6.0%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 1.5% 5.4%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y -0.8% 0.1%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 21.4% 18.8%
3Y Average Operating Margin 21.2% 18.3%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 13.5% 13.4%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

The table gives good overview of what you get from EBAY stock, but what about the risk?

EBAY Historical Risk

eBay has shown it’s not immune to big sell-offs. It plunged about 77% in the Dot-Com bubble and nearly 75% during the Global Financial Crisis. The 2018 correction wiped out over 43%, while the inflation shock in 2022 caused a dip around 54%. Even the Covid panic dragged it down by roughly 32%. Good fundamentals only get you so far—when markets turn sour, even solid stocks like eBay can take a serious hit.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.