Stronger Bet Than Moodys Stock: SPGI, COIN Deliver More

MCO: Moodys logo
MCO
Moodys

SPGI, COIN are Moodys’s peers in Financial Exchanges & Data industry that have:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to Moodys stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying SPGI, COIN stocks vs. MCO stock

Smart investing isn’t about stock picking or prediction, it’s about asset allocation. See how Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner does it. It has included High Quality Portfolio as part of its asset allocation strategy.

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Key Metrics Compared

Metric MCO SPGI COIN
P/OpInc* 25.6x 23.6x 21.8x
LTM OpInc Growth 13.7% 18.1% 65.9%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 16.9% 23.6% 139.1%
LTM Revenue Growth 8.8% 9.0% 46.2%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 9.8% 13.3% 29.9%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell MCO Stock to see if Moodys still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, Moodys (MCO) provides global risk assessment, credit ratings, and risk management products supporting institutional financial market participants.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Moodys stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Moodys in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Moodys would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric MCO SPGI COIN
P/OpInc* 28.3x 27.1x 37.8x
LTM OpInc Growth 15.3% 20.8% 78.0%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 12.0% 19.2% -50.4%
LTM Revenue Growth 11.5% 10.7% 48.6%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 7.6% 15.7% 23.3%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric MCO SPGI COIN
P/S 11.2x 9.5x 6.2x
Market Cap (Current) $ 84.3 Bil $ 142.5 Bil $ 47.2 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 7.50 Bil $ 15.01 Bil $ 7.67 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 3.29 Bil $ 6.03 Bil $ 2.17 Bil
LTM Op Margin 43.8% 40.2% 28.3%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.