TRGP Stock Surges 8.7% In 6-Day Spree On Analyst Price Target Hikes
Targa Resources (TRGP) – a midstream energy company operating natural gas pipelines and processing plants. – hit 6-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 8.7%. The company market cap has surged by about $3.5 Bil over the last 6 days, and currently stands at $43 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 9.0% compared to 1.9% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Multiple Analyst Price Target Increases
- Wolfe Research raised target to $215
- Morgan Stanley raised target to $266
- Impact: Increased Investor Confidence, Positive Market Sentiment
[2] Bullish Analyst Ratings
- BMO Capital maintained Outperform rating
- UBS reiterated Buy rating
- Impact: Reinforced Buy Consensus, Sustained Institutional Interest
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There are a few things to fear in TRGP stock given its overall Weak operating performance and financial condition. Hence, together with its High valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell TRGP).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for TRGP stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | TRGP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 3.1% | -0.0% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| 1M (21D) | 10.0% | 0.7% |
| 3M (63D) | 31.5% | 1.5% |
| YTD 2026 | 9.0% | 1.9% |
| 2025 | 5.7% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 110.1% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 21.0% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has TRGP behaved after prior drops? See TRGP Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 55 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 80 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 36 | 38 |
| 4D | 7 | 24 |
| 5D | 4 | 15 |
| 6D | 6 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 2 | 3 |
| Total >=3 D | 55 | 80 |
Key Financials for Targa Resources (TRGP)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $16.1 Bil | $16.4 Bil |
| Operating Income | $2.6 Bil | $2.7 Bil |
| Net Income | $1.3 Bil | $1.3 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $4.3 Bil | $4.2 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.0 Bil | $836.9 Mil |
| Net Income | $629.1 Mil | $478.4 Mil |
While TRGP stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.