Mastercard Stock Capital Return Hits $63 Bil

+26.07%
Upside
493
Market
622
Trefis
MA: Mastercard logo
MA
Mastercard

In the last five years, Mastercard (MA) stock has returned a notable $63 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, MA stock has returned the 28th highest amount to shareholders in history.

MA S&P Median
Dividends $13 Bil $3.0 Bil
Share Repurchase $51 Bil $3.0 Bil
Total Returned $63 Bil $6.0 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 14.2% 18.7%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return

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Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $604 Bil 16.1% $89 Bil $515 Bil
GOOGL $328 Bil 9.4% $17 Bil $310 Bil
MSFT $265 Bil 9.6% $121 Bil $144 Bil
JPM $197 Bil 24.4% $84 Bil $113 Bil
XOM $167 Bil 23.2% $94 Bil $73 Bil
META $165 Bil 11.4% $10 Bil $155 Bil
BAC $140 Bil 39.1% $53 Bil $88 Bil
CVX $123 Bil 29.9% $67 Bil $57 Bil
WFC $116 Bil 47.0% $27 Bil $90 Bil
V $99 Bil 17.1% $22 Bil $77 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for MA. (see Buy or Sell Mastercard Stock for more details.)

Mastercard Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 16.4% LTM and 13.8% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 50.1% free cash flow margin and 59.5% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for MA was 12.2%.
  • Valuation: Mastercard stock trades at a P/E multiple of 29.9

 

MA S&P Median
Sector Financials
Industry Transaction & Payment Processing Services
PE Ratio 29.9 23.7

LTM* Revenue Growth 16.4% 6.7%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 13.8% 5.5%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y 12.2% 0.4%

LTM* Operating Margin 59.5% 18.7%
3Y Average Operating Margin 58.6% 18.2%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 50.1% 14.3%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

The table gives a good overview of what you get from MA stock, but what about the risk?

MA Historical Risk

Mastercard isn’t immune to downturns. The Global Financial Crisis hit it hardest with about a 63% drop from peak to trough. The Covid pandemic caused a 41% decline, and the 2018 correction shaved off nearly 22%. Even the inflation shock in 2022 knocked it down by around 28%. Solid fundamentals matter, but history shows that during major sell-offs, Mastercard still takes a hit.

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read MA Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index, less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.