Can Intuit Stock Recover If Markets Fall?
Intuit (INTU) stock is down 11.5% in 5 trading days. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around AI disruption to its software models and broader market rerating, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?
Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Intuit stands today.
- Size: Intuit is a $139 Bil company with $19 Bil in revenue currently trading at $498.92.
- Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 17.1% and operating margin of 26.7%.
- Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.05 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.11
- Valuation: Intuit stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 33.8 and P/EBIT multiple of 25.6
- Has one instance since 2010 where it dipped >30% in < 30 days and subsequently returned 91.5% within a year. See INTU Dip Buy Analysis.
These metrics point to a Strong operational performance, alongside High valuation – making the stock Fairly Priced. For details, see Buy or Sell INTU Stock
That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is INTU stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose INTU stock falls another 20-30% to $349 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has been more resilient than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.
2022 Inflation Shock
- INTU stock fell 49.1% from a high of $694.66 on 29 November 2021 to $353.31 on 18 May 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 11 November 2024
- Since then, the stock increased to a high of $807.39 on 30 July 2025 , and currently trades at $498.92
| INTU | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -49.1% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 908 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic
- INTU stock fell 36.3% from a high of $305.61 on 19 February 2020 to $194.72 on 23 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 6 July 2020
| INTU | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -36.3% | -33.9% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 105 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction
- INTU stock fell 21.0% from a high of $231.32 on 3 October 2018 to $182.75 on 24 December 2018 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 15 February 2019
| INTU | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -21.0% | -19.8% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 53 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis
- INTU stock fell 38.3% from a high of $32.70 on 12 October 2007 to $20.19 on 1 December 2008 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 19 February 2010
| INTU | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -38.3% | -56.8% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 445 days | 1,480 days |
Feeling jittery about INTU stock? Consider portfolio approach.
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