Intercontinental Exchange Stock Pulls Back to Support – Smart Entry?

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ICE: Intercontinental Exchange logo
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) stock should be on your watchlist. Here is why – it is currently trading in the support zone ($145.97 – $161.33), levels from which it has bounced meaningfully before. In the last 10 years, Intercontinental Exchange stock received buying interest at this level 3 times and subsequently went on to generate 19.6% in average peak returns.

  Peak Return Days to Peak Return
7/24/2024 13.5% 92
1/7/2025 20.8% 79
4/8/2025 24.6% 118

Yet, a support zone alone isn’t enough; rebounds are more likely when fundamentals, sentiment, and market conditions line up. How does that look for ICE?

ICE: Rebound likely on earnings, tech innovation.

ICE’s Q3 2025 delivered 10% adjusted EPS growth and a 7% dividend hike, extending its growth trajectory. Recent IRM 2 launch for energy clearing and AI integration in mortgage tech position it for efficiency gains. Analysts maintain a “Buy” consensus, projecting over 25% upside, bolstered by diversified revenue streams and high operating margins (59% adjusted). Industry tailwinds in fintech and data analytics support demand, mitigating cyclical energy exposure. Share buybacks and debt reduction further strengthen its financial stance.

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  2. Intercontinental Exchange Stock Near Crucial Support – Buy Signal?
  3. After SPGI’s 6.7% Single Day Slide, ICE Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play
  4. How Will Intercontinental Exchange Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
  5. Intercontinental Exchange Stock Gained 22% YTD, What’s Next?
  6. Intercontinental Exchange Stock Gained 15% YTD, What’s Next?

How Do ICE Financials Look Right Now?

  • Revenue Growth: 16.3% LTM and 10.0% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 32.5% free cash flow margin and 38.2% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for ICE was 1.0%.
  • Valuation: ICE stock trades at a PE multiple of 29.3

  ICE S&P Median
Sector Financials
Industry Financial Exchanges & Data
PE Ratio 29.3 22.8

   
LTM* Revenue Growth 16.3% 6.1%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 10.0% 5.4%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y 1.0% 0.2%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 38.2% 18.8%
3Y Average Operating Margin 38.8% 18.2%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 32.5% 13.5%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months | For more details on ICE fundamentals, read Buy or Sell ICE Stock.

And What If The Support Breaks?

ICE is not immune to rough patches. It took a 74% hit in the Global Financial Crisis, showing serious vulnerability. During the Inflation Shock and Covid Pandemic, the stock still fell about 33% and 34%, respectively. Even the relatively milder 2018 correction wasn’t kind, with a 13% dip. So, despite strong fundamentals, ICE can experience steep drops when the market turns sour. Risk is real, even for solid names.

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