Is Fluence Energy Stock Built to Withstand More Downside?
Fluence Energy (FLNC) stock is down 12.9% in a day. The recent FLNC slide reflects analyst downgrades citing valuation concerns and premature optimism for strategic advances, but sharp drops often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?
Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Fluence Energy stands today.
- Size: Fluence Energy is a $2.4 Bil company with $2.3 Bil in revenue currently trading at $18.57.
- Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of -16.1% and operating margin of -2.0%.
- Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.16 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.29
- Valuation: Fluence Energy stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of -50.4 and P/EBIT multiple of -52.5
- Has returned (median) 21% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See FLNC Dip Buy Analysis.
These metrics point to a Weak operational performance, alongside Low valuation – making the stock Fairly Priced. For details, see Buy or Sell FLNC Stock
That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is FLNC stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose FLNC stock falls another 20-30% to $13 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.
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2022 Inflation Shock
- FLNC stock fell 83.2% from a high of $37.61 on 15 November 2021 to $6.31 on 12 May 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- The stock is yet to recover to its pre-Crisis high
- The highest the stock has reached since then is $31.13 on 18 July 2023 , and currently trades at $18.57
| FLNC | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -83.2% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | Not Fully Recovered | 464 days |
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