FERG Stock Falls -13% With A 6-day Losing Spree On Earnings Miss
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) – a distributor of plumbing and heating products in North America – hit a 6-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to -13%. The company’s market cap has crashed by about $6.6 Bil over the last 6 days and currently stands at $45 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 4.2% compared to -1.5% for S&P 500. Let’s take a look at what’s driving the stock.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Q4 2025 Earnings Miss and Weak Guidance
- Reported EPS of $1.99 missed consensus estimates of $2.24
- Muted 2026 guidance with low to mid-single digit sales growth projected
- Impact: Significant intraday share price decline, Increased negative investor sentiment
[2] Ex-Dividend Date and Macroeconomic Headwinds
- The stock traded ex-dividend on March 6, 2026
- A weak U.S. jobs report was released with an unexpected decrease in nonfarm payroll employment
- Impact: Technical downward pressure on stock price, Broad market apprehension affecting the sector
Why This Matters?
Sustained weakness can be more than noise. It often signals shifting sentiment or deeper concerns. A multi-day losing streak may warn of further downside, or present an opportunity to buy if fundamentals are intact.
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -13% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for FERG stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | FERG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -4.0% | -1.3% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | -12.8% | -2.4% |
| 1M (21D) | -11.5% | -2.1% |
| 3M (63D) | -8.2% | -1.6% |
| YTD 2026 | 4.2% | -1.5% |
| 2025 | 29.9% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 23.3% | |
| 2023 | 24.2% |
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 29 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 121 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 7 | 17 |
| 4D | 9 | 46 |
| 5D | 9 | 32 |
| 6D | 1 | 18 |
| 7D or more | 3 | 8 |
| Total >=3 D | 29 | 121 |
Key Financials for Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2025 |
|---|---|
| Revenues | $12.8 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.1 Bil |
| Net Income | $786.0 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ4 | 2026 FQ1 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $8.5 Bil | $8.2 Bil |
| Operating Income | $932.0 Mil | $771.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $700.0 Mil | $570.0 Mil |
The losing streak FERG stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.