Diamondback Energy Stock: 7 Straight Red Days, Down 16%

FANGYTD+21.6%SPYYTD+12.0%XLEYTD+43.7%
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Diamondback Energy (FANG) stock has fallen for 7 consecutive trading days, losing 16.0% over that stretch. That erased about $9.5 billion from the company’s market value, which now stands at about $49.9 billion. The stock closed at $178.08 on Tuesday, November 10, 16.0% below its 52-week high of $212.08 and 29.0% above its low of $138.09.

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The Streak Next To The S&P 500

Returns for FANG and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Tuesday, November 10 and including dividends:
 

Return Period FANG S&P 500
1 Day -0.1% -0.4%
7 Days (Current Streak) -16.0% -0.8%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) -8.7% -3.6%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) -10.8% -2.7%
Year To Date 20.5% 10.9%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 27.0% 13.1%

Is This Move About Diamondback Energy Or The Market?

Over the same 7 trading days, the S&P 500 returned -0.8% including dividends, so the slide is mostly Diamondback Energy’s own story rather than the market’s. No other S&P 500 stock is currently on a losing streak of 7 days or longer. Over the past three months the stock is down 10.8%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 56 sessions of that window it was up 6.2%.

Do The Fundamentals Justify The Selling?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 20.8% over the last twelve months, against a median of 20.8% for S&P 500 Energy stocks; and its operating margin is 40.1%, versus a median of 23.3%. At least one of the last four quarters was a loss, so a price-to-earnings multiple would not be a meaningful yardstick here. The read is mixed.

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Falling Prices Test Conviction. Rules Do Not Flinch

A losing streak forces a choice on every holder: sell into weakness, average down, or freeze. All three are emotional answers to what should be an analytical question, and decisions made that way tend to be expensive ones.

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