Enphase Energy Stock Pre-Market (+21%) : Strong Q1 Guidance & Earnings Beat

Enphase is surging +21% pre-market after delivering a significant Q4 EPS beat and, more importantly, guiding Q1 revenue well above expectations. The print signals a potential bottom in the solar demand cycle, forcing shorts to cover. Will this be the turnaround longs have been waiting for?

This is a fundamentally driven move, not just noise. Management’s Q1 revenue forecast of $270M-$300M surpassed consensus estimates of ~$263M, suggesting the brutal inventory destocking cycle may be over.

• Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.71 easily beat the $0.59 analyst consensus.
• The CEO highlighted that US sell-through demand increased 21% QoQ, hitting a two-year high.
• A positive outlook challenges the bearish narrative of a dead residential solar market.

But here is the interesting part. You are reading about this 21% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To catch the next winner before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. High Quality Portfolio has flagged 5 new opportunities that have not surged yet.

Playbook On Market Open

The session will be a battle between short-covering and profit-taking. The key is whether the strong guidance is viewed as a definitive inflection point for the sector, attracting new long-term buyers.

• Pivot level: $45.00. Holding above implies momentum; breaking below suggests a fade.
• Previous close acts as immediate gap fill target if momentum fades.
• Watch pre-market highs for initial resistance/liquidity absorption.

Verdict

PIVOT: $45.00. If the stock can consolidate and hold above this key psychological level, we chase the momentum. A break and hold below suggests the initial squeeze is exhausted, and we can fade the move.
Understanding price behavior can give you an edge. See more.

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