EMCOR Stock: 8 Straight Red Days, Down 11%
Shares of EMCOR (EME) have closed lower in each of the last 8 sessions, a cumulative decline of 11.4%. That erased about $4.0 billion from the company’s market value, which now stands at about $31.1 billion. The stock closed at $699.17 on Wednesday, October 21, 25.8% below its 52-week high of $942.76 and 20.5% above its low of $580.33.
The Streak Next To The S&P 500
Returns for EME and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Wednesday, October 21 and including dividends:
| Return Period | EME | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | -0.5% | 0.6% |
| 8 Days (Current Streak) | -11.4% | -0.7% |
| 1 Month (21 Trading Days) | -7.5% | 0.0% |
| 3 Months (63 Trading Days) | -9.0% | 5.0% |
| Year To Date | 14.5% | 14.4% |
| 1 Year (252 Trading Days) | 0.1% | 16.5% |
A Stock-Specific Slide, Or A Market Move?
The market explains little of this: the S&P 500 lost 0.7% over the same 8 sessions, including dividends, against EMCOR’s -11.4%. 1 other S&P 500 stock is currently on losing streaks of 8 days or longer. Over the past three months the stock is down 9.0%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 55 sessions of that window it was up 2.6%.
Do The Fundamentals Justify The Selling?
On the fundamentals, revenue grew 18.9% over the last twelve months, against a median of 7.6% for S&P 500 Industrials stocks; its operating margin is 9.6%, versus a median of 17.6%; and the stock trades at 21.6 times trailing earnings against a median of 26.6. On these numbers the business looks sturdier than the stock, with revenue growth above the median and a multiple below the median.
A slide like this raises an obvious follow-up: which marked-down stocks are actually worth buying? Our Buy the Dip screen runs that test every day, flagging beaten-down names whose fundamentals still hold up.
Falling Prices Test Conviction. Rules Do Not Flinch
A losing streak forces a choice on every holder: sell into weakness, average down, or freeze. All three are emotional answers to what should be an analytical question, and decisions made that way tend to be expensive ones.
The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio takes the emotion out: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive bad stretches, held and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Let the rules decide, not the tape.