Can Hawkins Outrun Dow in the Next Rally?

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Dow surged 10% during the past Week. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Hawkins gives you more. Hawkins (HWKN) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Dow (DOW) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in HWKN

  • HWKN’s quarterly revenue growth was 7.9%, vs. DOW’s -9.1%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 11.7%, ahead of DOW’s -7.0%.
  • HWKN leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 11.5% and 3-year average of 11.5%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how DOW’s fundamentals stack up against those of HWKN on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: DOW Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  DOW HWKN Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 154.0 25.1 HWKN
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter -9.1% 7.9% HWKN
Last 12 Months -7.0% 11.7% HWKN
Last 3 Year Average -10.8% 4.7% HWKN
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 0.4% 11.5% HWKN
Last 3 Year Average 3.2% 11.5% HWKN
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return -24.9% 290.4% HWKN

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: DOW Revenue Comparison | HWKN Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: DOW Operating Income Comparison | HWKN Operating Income Comparison

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell HWKN Stock and Buy or Sell DOW Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
DOW Return 7% -7% 15% -23% -37% 48% -18%    
HWKN Return 53% -1% 85% 75% 16% 8% 518%   <===
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% -1% 81%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
DOW Win Rate 42% 58% 42% 42% 25% 100%   51%  
HWKN Win Rate 67% 50% 67% 67% 67% 67%   64% <===
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 33%   60%  
Max Drawdowns [4]
DOW Max Drawdown -6% -21% -2% -25% -46% 0%   -17%  
HWKN Max Drawdown -4% -15% -5% -16% -17% -12%   -12%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -2%   -8% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/10/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read HWKN Dip Buyer Analyses and DOW Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about DOW or HWKN? Consider portfolio approach.

The Best Investors Think In Portfolios

Single stocks swing wildly but staying invested matters. A well built portfolio helps you stay invested, captures upside and softens the blows from individual stocks.

Beating the market consistently is hard, but the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio makes it look achievable. By selecting 30 high-conviction stocks, the HQ strategy has historically outpaced the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap, and Russell 2000. See how this curated selection delivers superior risk-adjusted returns in our detailed performance factsheet.