Cash Rich, Low Price – Docusign Stock to Break Out?

DOCU: Docusign logo
DOCU
Docusign

We think Docusign (DOCU) stock is worth a look: It is growing, producing cash, and available at a significant valuation discount. Companies like this can use cash to fuel additional revenue growth, or simply pay their shareholders through dividends or buybacks. Either move makes them attractive to the market.

The stock is available at a significant discount to its 3-month, 1-year, and 2-year highs.

DOCU Has Strong Fundamentals

  • Cash Yield: Docusign offers an impressive cash flow yield of 11.2%.
  • Growing: Revenue growth of 8.2% over the last twelve months means that the cash pile is going to grow.
  • Valuation Discount: DOCU stock is currently trading at 33% below its 3-month high, 50% below its 1-year high, and 56% below its 2-year high.

Below is a quick comparison of DOCU fundamentals with S&P medians.

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  DOCU S&P Median
Sector Information Technology
Industry Application Software
Free Cash Flow Yield 11.2% 4.3%
   
Revenue Growth LTM 8.2% 6.7%
   
Operating Margin LTM 9.3% 18.6%
   
PS Ratio 2.9 3.1
PE Ratio 30.6 23.7
   
Discount vs 3-Month High -32.6% -13.7%
Discount vs 1-Year High -49.7% -15.9%
Discount vs 2-Year High -55.9% -17.9%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

But What About The Risk Involved?

While DOCU stock may be a compelling investment opportunity, it’s always helpful to be aware of a stock’s history of drawdown. DocuSign fell about 45% in the 2018 correction, slid 28% during the Covid crash, and tumbled nearly 88% in the inflation shock. Even with solid growth and a strong business model, the stock has shown it’s not immune to big market sell-offs. Downturns hit hard, reminding us that volatility is part of the game, no matter how promising the company looks. But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read DOCU Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

If you want to see more details, read Buy or Sell DOCU Stock.

Trefis: DOCU Stock Insights

Other Stocks Like DOCU

Not ready to act on DOCU? You could consider these alternatives:

  1. Oracle (ORCL)
  2. Salesforce (CRM)
  3. AppLovin (APP)

We chose these stocks using the following criteria:

  1. Greater than $2 Bil in market cap
  2. Positive revenue growth
  3. High free cash flow yield
  4. Meaningful discount to 3M, 1Y, and 2Y highs

A portfolio that was built starting 12/31/2016 with stocks that fulfill the criteria above would have performed as follows:

  • Average 6-month and 12-month forward returns of 25.7% and 57.9% respectively
  • Win rate (percentage of picks returning positive) of >70% for both 6-month and 12-month periods

The Right Way To Invest Is Through Portfolios

Individual stocks can soar or tank but one thing matters: staying invested. The right portfolio can help you stay invested, capture upside and mitigate the downside associated with any individual stock.

Why settle for average market returns? The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio invests in a diverse group of 30 stocks that have collectively delivered stronger upside with reduced volatility compared to the broader indices. Discover the methodology behind these smoother, higher returns by checking the HQ Portfolio performance data.