DBRG Stock Surges 17% With A 5-day Winning Spree On SoftBank’s $4B Buyout
DigitalBridge (DBRG) stock hit day 5-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 17%. The company market cap has surged by about $399 Mil over the last 5 days, and currently stands at $2.7 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 35.8% compared to 17.3% for S&P 500. This calls for re-evaluation of stock’s valuation, and find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] SoftBank Group Acquisition Agreement
- Definitive agreement for SoftBank to acquire DBRG for $16.00 per share [5, 12, 13]
- Acquisition represents a 15% premium to the closing price on Dec 26, 2025 [5, 12]
- Impact: Sharp Price Increase To Near The $16 Offer Price, Unusually High Trading Volume and Options Activity
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There are several things to fear in DBRG stock given its overall Weak operating performance and financial condition. Hence, together with its Very High valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell DBRG).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for DBRG stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | DBRG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | 17.2% | 0.3% |
| 1M (21D) | 57.3% | 0.7% |
| 3M (63D) | 30.5% | 3.1% |
| YTD 2025 | 35.8% | 17.3% |
| 2024 | -35.5% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 60.8% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | -67.1% | -19.4% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has DBRG behaved after prior drops? See DBRG Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 51 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 98 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 10 | 85 |
| 4D | 24 | 4 |
| 5D | 3 | 9 |
| 6D | 13 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 51 | 98 |
Key Financials for DigitalBridge (DBRG)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $772.6 Mil | $578.0 Mil |
| Operating Income | $304.9 Mil | $131.9 Mil |
| Net Income | $185.3 Mil | $70.5 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $-9.4 Mil | $-1.6 Mil |
| Operating Income | $-26.9 Mil | $-13.7 Mil |
| Net Income | $31.6 Mil | $31.4 Mil |
While DBRG stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.