Better Bet Than Dana Stock: Pay Less To Get More From ALSN

DAN: Dana logo
DAN
Dana

ALSN is DAN’s peer in Automotive Parts & Equipment industry that has:

1) Lower valuation (P/EBIT) compared to DAN
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying ALSN stock vs. DAN

Key Metrics Compared

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Metric DAN ALSN
P/OpInc* 10.7x 7.7x
LTM OpInc Growth 0.8% 5.9%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 13.1% 12.3%
LTM Revenue Growth -8.5% 2.7%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth -1.3% 8.0%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/EBIT = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell DAN Stock to see if Dana still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, Dana (DAN) provides power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for vehicles and machinery across global markets, operating in light vehicle, commercial vehicle, off-highway drive systems, and power technologies segments.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Dana stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Dana in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Dana would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric DAN ALSN
P/OpInc* 6.7x 7x
LTM OpInc Growth -39.7% 9.1%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth -3.7% 13.4%
LTM Revenue Growth -13.5% 3.9%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 0.8% 8.8%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric DAN ALSN
P/S 0.3x 2.4x
Market Cap (Current) $ 2.7 Bil $ 7.7 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 9.10 Bil $ 3.20 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 252.00 Mil $ 1.00 Bil
LTM Op Margin 2.8% 31.3%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.