Dominion Energy Stock Testing Price Floor – Buy Now?
Dominion Energy (D) stock should be on your watchlist. Here is why – it is currently trading in the support zone ($58.42 – $64.58), levels from which it has bounced meaningfully before. In the last 10 years, Dominion Energy stock received buying interest at this level 7 times and subsequently went on to generate 13.4% in average peak returns.
| Peak Return | Days to Peak Return | |
|---|---|---|
| 3/15/2019 | 4.1% | 101 |
| 8/1/2019 | 21.3% | 216 |
| 3/30/2020 | 14.6% | 231 |
| 3/8/2021 | 11.6% | 56 |
| 7/22/2021 | 7.6% | 29 |
| 10/18/2021 | 7.4% | 3 |
| 12/1/2021 | 26.9% | 128 |
Yet, a support zone alone isn’t enough; rebounds are more likely when fundamentals, sentiment, and market conditions line up. How does that look for D?
Rebound Unlikely; Valuation, Debt Constrain Upside
Dominion Energy’s Q3 operating earnings beat, robust data center demand, and significant CVOW project advancement provide operational strengths. However, the stock maintains an elevated P/E ratio around 20x, indicating a premium valuation. Substantial leverage, with a 1.7 debt-to-equity ratio, and noted liquidity challenges introduce financial risk. Analyst consensus remains a ‘Hold’ with average price targets suggesting only modest upside. Sector-wide headwinds, including interest rate sensitivity and increasing capital costs, further hinder a sustained rebound.
How Do D Financials Look Right Now?
- Revenue Growth: 5.3% LTM and 7.5% last 3-year average.
- Cash Generation: Nearly -53.0% free cash flow margin and 29.7% operating margin LTM.
- Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for D was -2.4%.
- Valuation: D stock trades at a PE multiple of 23.0
| D | S&P Median | |
|---|---|---|
| Sector | Utilities | – |
| Industry | Multi-Utilities | – |
| PE Ratio | 23.0 | 23.1 |
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| LTM* Revenue Growth | 5.3% | 6.1% |
| 3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y | -2.4% | 0.2% |
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| LTM* Operating Margin | 29.7% | 18.8% |
| 3Y Average Operating Margin | 27.0% | 18.2% |
| LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin | -53.0% | 13.5% |
*LTM: Last Twelve Months | For more details on D fundamentals, read Buy or Sell D Stock.
And What If The Support Breaks?
Stock D isn’t immune to big drops, even with good fundamentals. It fell about 25% during the Dot-Com Bubble and had a similar dip in 2018. The Global Financial Crisis hit harder, with a 41% decline. The Covid sell-off took it down roughly 33%, and the Inflation Shock brought the biggest hit at over 52%. So, despite solid factors, this stock can still take a serious hit when the market turns sour.
Still not sure about D stock? Consider the portfolio approach.
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