Chevron Stock Hands $123 Bil Back – Worth a Look?

-2.82%
Downside
199
Market
193
Trefis
CVX: Chevron logo
CVX
Chevron

In the last five years, Chevron (CVX) stock has returned an impressive $123 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, CVX stock has returned the 8th highest amount to shareholders in history.

  CVX S&P Median
Dividends $67 Bil $3.0 Bil
Share Repurchase $57 Bil $3.0 Bil
Total Returned $123 Bil $6.0 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 31.4% 18.8%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return

Relevant Articles
  1. Should You Pay Attention To Chevron Stock’s Momentum?
  2. Why Chevron Stock Jumped 40%?
  3. Should You Pay Attention To Chevron Stock’s Momentum?
  4. Where Will Oil Prices Be On March 31?
  5. What Happens When Oil Hits $150?
  6. Does Chevron Stock Have More Upside?

  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $604 Bil 16.0% $89 Bil $515 Bil
GOOGL $328 Bil 9.1% $17 Bil $310 Bil
MSFT $265 Bil 9.7% $121 Bil $144 Bil
JPM $197 Bil 24.3% $84 Bil $113 Bil
XOM $167 Bil 24.5% $94 Bil $73 Bil
META $165 Bil 11.3% $10 Bil $155 Bil
BAC $140 Bil 38.7% $53 Bil $88 Bil
CVX $123 Bil 31.4% $67 Bil $57 Bil
WFC $116 Bil 46.4% $27 Bil $90 Bil
V $99 Bil 17.3% $22 Bil $77 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for CVX. (see Buy or Sell Chevron Stock for more details)

Chevron Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: -4.6% LTM and -7.6% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 9.0% free cash flow margin and 9.0% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for CVX was -16.5%.
  • Valuation: Chevron stock trades at a P/E multiple of 32.0

  CVX S&P Median
Sector Energy
Industry Integrated Oil & Gas
PE Ratio 32.0 23.9

   
LTM* Revenue Growth -4.6% 6.8%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth -7.6% 5.5%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y -16.5% 0.4%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 9.0% 18.6%
3Y Average Operating Margin 10.7% 18.1%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 9.0% 14.2%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

The table gives a good overview of what you get from CVX stock, but what about the risk?

CVX Historical Risk

CVX isn’t immune to downturns either. It fell nearly 30% in the Dot-Com crash and dropped over 43% during the Global Financial Crisis. The 2018 correction saw it slide about 21%, while the Covid pandemic hit it the hardest with a 55% plunge. Even the inflation shock caused a 25% dip. Strong fundamentals can cushion the blow, but in big sell-offs, CVX still takes a significant hit.

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read CVX Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.