S&P Global or Coinbase Global: Which Stock Has More Upside?

COIN: Coinbase Global logo
COIN
Coinbase Global

Coinbase Global surged 19% during the past Month. You may be tempted to buy more or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer S&P Global gives you more. S&P Global (SPGI) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Coinbase Global (COIN) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in SPGI

  • SPGI’s quarterly revenue growth was 10.4%, vs. COIN’s -30.5%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 8.5%, ahead of COIN’s -5.8%.
  • SPGI leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 40.9% and 3-year average of 38.0%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how COIN’s fundamentals stack up against those of SPGI on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: COIN Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

COIN SPGI Preferred
Valuation
P/EBIT Ratio 73.0 19.4 SPGI
Revenue Growth
Last Quarter -30.5% 10.4% SPGI
Last 12 Months -5.8% 8.5% SPGI
Last 3 Year Average 37.1% 9.6% COIN
Operating Margins
Last 12 Months 11.1% 40.9% SPGI
Last 3 Year Average 19.9% 38.0% SPGI
Momentum
Last 3 Year Return 246.2% 21.2% COIN

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell SPGI Stock and Buy or Sell COIN Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
COIN Return -23% -86% 391% 43% -9% -15% -41%
SPGI Return 45% -28% 33% 14% 6% -18% 36%
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 7% 95% <===
Monthly Win Rates [3]
COIN Win Rate 33% 33% 75% 50% 58% 40% 48%
SPGI Win Rate 67% 33% 58% 58% 67% 40% 54%
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 60% 64% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
COIN Max Drawdown -33% -87% -6% -33% -39% -38% -39%
SPGI Max Drawdown -7% -39% -3% -7% -12% -25% -15%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -7% -9% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read SPGI Dip Buyer Analyses and COIN Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about COIN or SPGI? Consider a portfolio approach.

Portfolios Are The Smarter Way To Invest

Stocks soar and sink – the key is staying invested. A balanced portfolio helps you ride market volatility, boosts gains, and reduces single stock risk.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? HQ Portfolio has posted more than 105% in cumulative return since inception, with less risk versus the benchmark index, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.