Between Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies and Cummins, Which Stock Looks Set to Break Out?

CMI: Cummins logo
CMI
Cummins

Cummins surged 15% during the past Month. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies gives you more. Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (WAB) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Cummins (CMI) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in WAB

  • WAB’s quarterly revenue growth was 13.0%, vs. CMI’s 2.7%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 9.6%, ahead of CMI’s 0.1%.
  • WAB leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 16.0% and 3-year average of 15.3%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how CMI’s fundamentals stack up against those of WAB on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: CMI Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  CMI WAB Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 25.5 24.5 WAB
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 2.7% 13.0% WAB
Last 12 Months 0.1% 9.6% WAB
Last 3 Year Average 4.2% 10.2% WAB
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 11.4% 16.0% WAB
Last 3 Year Average 8.5% 15.3% WAB
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 249.7% 174.6% CMI

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell WAB Stock and Buy or Sell CMI Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
CMI Return -2% 14% 2% 49% 49% 38% 251%    
WAB Return 27% 9% 28% 50% 13% 26% 279%   <===
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 8% 97%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
CMI Win Rate 58% 50% 42% 67% 83% 80%   63%  
WAB Win Rate 67% 50% 50% 83% 75% 60%   64% <===
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 60%   64%  
Max Drawdowns [4]
CMI Max Drawdown -7% -14% -14% -4% -23% 0%   -10%  
WAB Max Drawdown -1% -12% -7% -2% -15% 0%   -6% <===
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -7%   -9%  

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/13/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read WAB Dip Buyer Analyses and CMI Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about CMI or WAB? Consider portfolio approach.

Portfolios Beat Stock Picking

Stocks soar and sink – the key is staying invested. A balanced portfolio helps you ride market volatility, boosts gains, and reduces single stock risk.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? HQ Portfolio has posted more than 105% in cumulative return since inception, with less risk versus the benchmark index, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.