Could You Be Missing Clorox Stock’s Upside?

CLX: Clorox logo
CLX
Clorox

We think Clorox (CLX) stock could be a good value buy. It is currently trading lower than average valuation, and has strong margins to go with its modest valuation.

Buying stocks with low valuations or trading well below their peaks but maintaining strong margins allows investors to capture mean reversion and valuation re-rating potential. The downside risk is potentially less because high-margin businesses can sustain earnings and recover faster when sentiment or market conditions improve

What Is Happening With CLX

CLX may be down -34% so far this year but is now 35% cheaper based on its P/S (Price-to-Sales) ratio compared to 1 year ago, and also trades at a P/E (Price-to-Earnings) ratio that is below S&P 500 median.

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The stock may not reflect it yet, but here is what’s going well for the company. Clorox achieved ten consecutive quarters of gross margin expansion through Q3 fiscal year 2025, driven by cost savings, divestitures of lower-margin businesses, and a strategic “dual pricing” approach across its product portfolio. While recent net sales in Q3 and Q4 fiscal year 2025 were impacted by an ERP transition-related inventory build and subsequent draw-down, alongside consumer trade-downs, the company is launching new innovations such as Clorox Screen+ Sanitizing Wipes and enhancing core brands. This temporary volume pressure, projected to result in a net sales decline for fiscal year 2026, likely contributes to the current discounted valuation, yet long-term digital investments aim for future productivity gains and market share recovery.

CLX Has Strong Margin Play

  • Revenue Growth: -9.3% LTM and -1.1% last 3 year average. Not ideal, but this is a margin and value play.
  • Strong Margin: Nearly 12.6% 3-year average operating margin.
  • No Major Margin Shock: Clorox has avoided any large margin collapse in the last 12 months.
  • Modest Valuation: Despite encouraging fundamentals, CLX stock trades at a PE multiple of 19.1

Below is a quick comparison of CLX fundamentals with S&P medians.

  CLX S&P Median
Sector Consumer Staples
Industry Household Products
PE Ratio 19.1 23.5

   
LTM* Revenue Growth -9.3% 6.0%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth -1.1% 5.4%
LTM Operating Margin Change 2.1% 0.2%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 14.9% 18.8%
3Y Average Operating Margin 12.6% 18.3%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 9.4% 13.4%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

But What Is The Risk Involved?

While CLX stock may be a compelling investment opportunity, it’s always helpful to be aware of a stock’s history of drawdown. Clorox took a pretty steep hit during the Dot-Com Bubble, falling about 54%. It dropped nearly 44% during the Inflation Shock and around 29% in the Global Financial Crisis. Even the less severe events like the 2018 Correction and Covid Pandemic dragged it down 23% and 18%, respectively. It’s a solid company, but these dips show that no stock is immune when the broader market tanks.

For more details and our view, see Buy or Sell CLX Stock.

Stocks Like CLX

Not ready to act on CLX? Consider these alternatives:

  1. Accenture (ACN)
  2. Adobe (ADBE)
  3. PayPal (PYPL)

We chose these stocks using the following criteria:

  1. Greater than $2 Bil in market cap
  2. Meaningfully below 1Y high
  3. Current P/S < last few year average
  4. Strong operating margin
  5. P/E ratio below S&P 500 median

A portfolio of stocks with the criteria above would have performed has follows since 12/31/2016:

  • Average 6-month and 12-month forward returns of 12.7% and 25.8% respectively
  • Win rate (percentage of picks returning positive) of > 70% for both 6-month and 12-month periods
  • Strategy consistent across market cycles

A Multi Asset Portfolio Beats Picking Stocks Alone

Individual picks are volatile but diversified assets offset each other. A multi asset portfolio helps you stay the course capture upside and reduce downside.

The asset allocation framework of Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. Our partner’ strategy now includes Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices