Alphabet Stock Surged 70%, Here’s Why

GOOGL: Alphabet logo
GOOGL
Alphabet

Over a transformative year from February 2025 to 2026, Alphabet (GOOGL)’s stock soared 74%, fueled by robust revenue growth, sharper margins, and soaring investor confidence. Behind this surge: standout Q4 results, a cloud boom, AI breakthroughs with Gemini, and a fresh dividend—each playing a key role in the rally.

Below is an analytical breakdown of stock movement into key contributing metrics.

2052025 2052026 Change
Stock Price ($) 190.6 331.2 73.8%
Change Contribution By:
Total Revenues ($ Mil) 350,018.0 402,837.0 15.1%
Net Income Margin (%) 28.6% 32.8% 14.7%
P/E Multiple 23.3 30.3 30.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil) 12,229.0 12,074.0 1.3%
Cumulative Contribution 73.8%

So what is happening here? The stock rose 74%, driven by a 15% revenue boost, a 15% margin improvement, and a 30% climb in P/E multiple. Let’s explore the key events and moves behind these shifts.

Trefis

Here Is Why Alphabet Stock Moved

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  • Strong Q4 2025 Results: Q4 2025 EPS of $2.82 and revenue of $113.8B beat estimates, showing robust performance.
  • Google Cloud Surge: Google Cloud revenue soared 48% to $17.7B in Q4 2025, with operating income doubling.
  • AI Momentum & Gemini: Gemini 3 launch and 750M+ users of Gemini App drove AI-powered growth in Search & Cloud.
  • Increased AI CapEx: Planned 2026 CapEx of $175-$185B, double 2025, for AI infrastructure & data centers.
  • Dividend Program: Alphabet initiated a quarterly cash dividend of $0.21, payable March 16, 2026.

Our Current Assessment of GOOGL Stock

Opinion: We currently find GOOGL stock relatively expensive. Why so? Have a look at the full story. Read Buy or Sell GOOGL Stock to see what drives our current opinion.

Risk: A good way to understand GOOGL’s risk is by checking its drawdowns during major market shocks. It fell about 65% in the Global Financial Crisis, 44% during the Inflation Shock, and over 30% in the Covid sell-off. Even the 2018 correction wasn’t kind, with a dip of around 23%. So, while GOOGL looks solid on paper, history shows it’s not immune when markets turn south.

GOOGL stock may have seen strong gains recently, but investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.