Carrier Global vs Trane Technologies: Which Stock Could Rally?
Carrier Global fell -17% during the past Month. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Trane Technologies gives you more. Trane Technologies (TT) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Carrier Global (CARR) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in TT
- TT’s quarterly revenue growth was 5.5%, vs. CARR’s -6.0%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 7.5%, ahead of CARR’s -3.3%.
- TT leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 18.6% and 3-year average of 17.5%.
These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how CARR’s fundamentals stack up against those of TT on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.
Valuation & Performance Overview
| CARR | TT | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 24.5 | 23.6 | TT |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | -6.0% | 5.5% | TT |
| Last 12 Months | -3.3% | 7.5% | TT |
| Last 3 Year Average | 8.3% | 10.1% | TT |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 8.8% | 18.6% | TT |
| Last 3 Year Average | 9.7% | 17.5% | TT |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 29.7% | 136.1% | TT |
Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: CARR Revenue Comparison | TT Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: CARR Operating Income Comparison | TT Operating Income Comparison
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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell TT Stock and Buy or Sell CARR Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.
Historical Market Performance
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| CARR Return | 45% | -23% | 41% | 20% | -22% | 12% | 67% | ||
| TT Return | 41% | -15% | 47% | 53% | 6% | 11% | 219% | <=== | |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| CARR Win Rate | 83% | 42% | 50% | 75% | 25% | 67% | 57% | ||
| TT Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 67% | 83% | 50% | 67% | 61% | <=== | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | 60% | ||
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| CARR Max Drawdown | -6% | -37% | -1% | -7% | -25% | -1% | -13% | ||
| TT Max Drawdown | -4% | -40% | -2% | -3% | -14% | -3% | -11% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | -8% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read TT Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has fallen and recovered in the past.
Still not sure about CARR or TT? Consider portfolio approach.
Portfolios Are The Smarter Way To Invest
Single stocks swing wildly but staying invested matters. A well built portfolio helps you stay invested, captures upside and softens the blows from individual stocks.
The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? HQ Portfolio has posted more than 105% in cumulative return since inception, with less risk versus the benchmark index, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.