AST SpaceMobile Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go?
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) stock is down 8.9% in a day. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around insider share sales and operational delays, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?
Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where AST SpaceMobile stands today.
- Size: AST SpaceMobile is a $21 Bil company with $19 Mil in revenue currently trading at $78.05.
- Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 641.2% and operating margin of -1479.5%.
- Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.03 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.47
- Valuation: AST SpaceMobile stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of -70.1 and P/EBIT multiple of -54.3
- Has returned (median) -23.1% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See ASTS Dip Buy Analysis.
These metrics point to a Strong operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Relatively Expensive. For details, see Buy or Sell ASTS Stock
That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is ASTS stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose ASTS stock falls another 20-30% to $55 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has been more resilient than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.
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2022 Inflation Shock
- ASTS stock fell 87.8% from a high of $22.50 on 9 February 2021 to $2.74 on 23 October 2023 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 15 August 2024
- Since then, the stock increased to a high of $95.69 on 15 October 2025 , and currently trades at $78.05
| ASTS | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -87.8% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 297 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic
- ASTS stock fell 7.4% from a high of $14.35 on 28 December 2020 to $13.29 on 30 December 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 14 January 2021
| ASTS | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -7.4% | -33.9% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 15 days | 148 days |
Feeling jittery about ASTS stock? Consider portfolio approach.
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