ARES Stock Falls -12% In 5-day Losing Spree On Insider Selling and Analyst Caution
Ares Management (ARES) – a global alternative asset manager specializing in credit, lending, and equity investments – hit 5-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to a -12%. The company market cap has crashed by about $4.4 Bil over the last 5 days, and currently stands at $33 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 7.4% compared to 1.5% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Insider Stock Sale by General Counsel
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- General Counsel Naseem Sagati Aghili sold 1,849 shares on January 22, 2026
- The sale was conducted under a pre-arranged 10b5-1 trading plan
- Impact: Increased investor concern, Negative sentiment
[2] Shifting Analyst Sentiment and Sector Headwinds
- A decline in ‘Strong Buy’ ratings and an increase in ‘Hold’ recommendations leading into January 2026
- Negative news from a competitor in the private credit sector on January 26, 2026, creating sector-wide concern
- Impact: Weakened investor confidence, Concerns over future growth
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in ARES stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Hence, together with its Very High valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell ARES).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -12% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for ARES stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | ARES | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -4.0% | 0.5% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | -11.8% | 0.1% |
| 1M (21D) | -11.3% | 0.6% |
| 3M (63D) | 1.5% | 3.1% |
| YTD 2026 | -7.4% | 1.5% |
| 2025 | -6.2% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 52.7% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 79.5% | 24.2% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: ARES Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 65 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 42 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 17 | 37 |
| 4D | 35 | 0 |
| 5D | 9 | 4 |
| 6D | 3 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 1 |
| Total >=3 D | 65 | 42 |
Key Financials for Ares Management (ARES)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $3.6 Bil | $3.9 Bil |
| Operating Income | $834.0 Mil | $946.1 Mil |
| Net Income | $474.3 Mil | $463.7 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.4 Bil | $1.7 Bil |
| Operating Income | $212.6 Mil | $349.4 Mil |
| Net Income | $137.1 Mil | $288.9 Mil |
The losing streak ARES stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.