Would You Still Hold Arista Networks Stock If It Fell Another 30%?

ANET: Arista Networks logo
ANET
Arista Networks

Arista Networks (ANET) stock is down 10.0% in 5 trading days. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around NVIDIA competition and deferred AI networking revenue, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Arista Networks stands today.

  • Size: Arista Networks is a $155 Bil company with $8.4 Bil in revenue currently trading at $123.42.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 27.8% and operating margin of 42.9%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.0 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.56
  • Valuation: Arista Networks stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 46.3 and P/EBIT multiple of 42.9
  • Has returned (median) 71.7% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See ANET Dip Buy Analysis.

These metrics point to a Very Strong operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Attractive but Volatile. For details, see Buy or Sell ANET Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is ANET stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose ANET stock falls another 20-30% to $86 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock saw an impact slightly worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

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2022 Inflation Shock

  • ANET stock fell 38.4% from a high of $36.71 on 27 December 2021 to $22.61 on 16 June 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 8 March 2023
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $162.03 on 29 October 2025 , and currently trades at $123.42

  ANET S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -38.4% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 265 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • ANET stock fell 34.0% from a high of $14.88 on 24 January 2020 to $9.81 on 16 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 23 July 2020

  ANET S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -34.0% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 129 days 148 days

 
2018 Correction

  • ANET stock fell 43.6% from a high of $20.53 on 16 April 2019 to $11.58 on 1 November 2019 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 20 May 2021

  ANET S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -43.6% -19.8%
Time to Full Recovery 566 days 120 days

 
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