AMCR Stock Surges 8.8% With A 5-day Winning Spree On Wells Fargo Overweight
Amcor (AMCR) – a flexible and rigid packaging products manufacturer worldwide. – hit 5-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 8.8%. The company market cap has surged by about $1.7 Bil over the last 5 days, and currently stands at $21 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 6.8% compared to 1.5% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Wells Fargo Maintains “Overweight” Rating
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- Analyst Gabe Hajde reiterated the rating
- Price target set at $48.00
- Impact: Positive Price Reaction, Increased Investor Confidence
[2] 1-for-5 Reverse Stock Split Effective
- Became effective on January 14, 2026
- Shares began trading on a split-adjusted basis on January 15, 2026
- Impact: Split-adjusted trading began, Aimed to increase appeal to institutional investors
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is a near-equal mix of good and bad in AMCR stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Moderate valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell AMCR).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for AMCR stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | AMCR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | 8.8% | 0.1% |
| 1M (21D) | 7.7% | 0.6% |
| 3M (63D) | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| YTD 2026 | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| 2025 | -6.2% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 2.6% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | -15.0% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has AMCR behaved after prior drops? See AMCR Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 65 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 42 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 17 | 37 |
| 4D | 35 | 0 |
| 5D | 9 | 4 |
| 6D | 3 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 1 |
| Total >=3 D | 65 | 42 |
Key Financials for Amcor (AMCR)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $13.6 Bil | $15.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.3 Bil | $1.3 Bil |
| Net Income | $730.0 Mil | $511.0 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ4 | 2026 FQ1 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $5.1 Bil | $5.7 Bil |
| Operating Income | $323.0 Mil | $536.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $-39.0 Mil | $262.0 Mil |
While AMCR stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.