How Will Agilent Technologies Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
Agilent Technologies (NYSE:A) is set to report its earnings on Monday, November 24, 2025. The company has $41 Bil in current market capitalization. Revenue over the last twelve months was $6.8 Bil, and it was operationally profitable with $1.4 Bil in operating profits and net income of $1.2 Bil. While a lot will depend on how results stack up against consensus and expectations, understanding historical patterns might just turn the odds in your favor if you are an event-driven trader.
There are two ways to do that: understand the historical odds and position yourself prior to the earnings release, or look at the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns post earnings and position yourself accordingly after the earnings are released.
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Agilent Technologies’s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
- There are 20 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 11 positive and 9 negative one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 55% of the time.
- However, this percentage decreases to 45% if we consider data for the last 3 years instead of 5.
- Median of the 11 positive returns = 2.2%, and median of the 9 negative returns = -3.4%
Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below.
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/27/2025 | 5.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| 5/28/2025 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 7.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | -5.5% | -5.9% | -11.5% |
| 11/25/2024 | -0.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| 8/21/2024 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 5/29/2024 | -9.7% | -8.2% | -10.9% |
| 2/27/2024 | 3.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% |
| 11/20/2023 | 8.7% | 9.4% | 21.2% |
| 8/15/2023 | -3.4% | -6.4% | -8.6% |
| 5/23/2023 | -5.9% | -10.1% | -7.2% |
| 2/28/2023 | -3.1% | -1.2% | -5.7% |
| 11/21/2022 | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| 8/16/2022 | 7.2% | -0.1% | 0.3% |
| 5/24/2022 | -3.2% | -1.1% | -2.5% |
| 2/22/2022 | -3.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% |
| 11/22/2021 | -4.9% | -7.3% | -3.7% |
| 8/17/2021 | 1.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% |
| 5/25/2021 | 0.0% | 2.5% | 10.1% |
| 2/16/2021 | 1.7% | -4.3% | -4.2% |
| 11/23/2020 | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -5.9% | -6.4% |
| Max Positive | 8.7% | 9.4% | 21.2% |
| Max Negative | -9.7% | -10.1% | -11.5% |
Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns
A relatively less risky strategy (though not useful if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, find a pair that has the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For example, if 1D and 5D show the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves “long” for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.
| History | 1D_5D Returns | 1D_21D Returns | 5D_21D Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5Y History | 1.3% | 18.4% | 45.7% |
| 3Y History | 57.6% | 80.3% | 59.1% |
Is There Any Correlation With Peer Earnings?
Sometimes, peer performance can have an influence on post-earnings stock reaction. In fact, the pricing-in might begin before the earnings are announced. Here is some historical data on the past post-earnings performance of Agilent Technologies stock compared with the stock performance of peers that reported earnings just before Agilent Technologies. For fair comparison, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns.
| 1D Return | Peer Post-Earnings 1D Return | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Earnings Dates | A | MTD | ILMN | BIO | AVTR |
| 8/27/2025 | 5.3% | 7.4% | -3.1% | 21.0% | 16.1% |
| 5/28/2025 | 2.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | -4.7% | N/A* |
| 2/26/2025 | -5.5% | N/A* | N/A* | -9.8% | -10.1% |
| 11/25/2024 | -0.1% | -13.3% | -6.3% | 1.7% | N/A* |
| 8/21/2024 | 0.2% | -5.5% | 14.0% | -7.3% | -0.7% |
| 5/29/2024 | -9.7% | 11.4% | -17.9% | 1.8% | N/A* |
| 2/27/2024 | 3.4% | -1.0% | -2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 11/20/2023 | 8.7% | 2.5% | -8.8% | 4.5% | 9.0% |
| 8/15/2023 | -3.4% | -7.4% | -4.6% | -1.8% | -1.0% |
| 5/23/2023 | -5.9% | -8.1% | -6.5% | -17.3% | 7.2% |
| 2/28/2023 | -3.1% | -6.6% | -7.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% |
| 11/21/2022 | 8.1% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 7.8% |
| 8/16/2022 | 7.2% | 4.4% | -3.3% | -4.6% | -12.8% |
| 5/24/2022 | -3.2% | -6.1% | -17.6% | N/A* | 5.4% |
| 2/22/2022 | -3.4% | -6.9% | -10.7% | -6.8% | -10.9% |
| 11/22/2021 | -4.9% | 2.6% | -10.6% | -4.0% | N/A* |
| 8/17/2021 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| 5/25/2021 | 0.0% | -0.9% | N/A* | -7.5% | -4.7% |
| 2/16/2021 | 1.7% | -2.1% | N/A* | 0.9% | N/A* |
| CORRELATION | -13.1% | 10.5% | 23.7% | -26.5% | |
* N/A indicates that the peer reported earnings after A
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