Tearsheet

Mastercard (MA)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $579.04 | Market Cap: $525.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Mastercard (MA)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $579.04
Market Cap: $525.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 58%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 17x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 39x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 16 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
Key risks
MA key risks include [1] global legal and regulatory challenges targeting its core interchange fee model and [2] potential disintermediation by emerging payment technologies like digital wallets and real-time payment rails.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, AI in Financial Services, Cybersecurity, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 58%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 16 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, AI in Financial Services, Cybersecurity, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 17x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 39x
7 Key risks
MA key risks include [1] global legal and regulatory challenges targeting its core interchange fee model and [2] potential disintermediation by emerging payment technologies like digital wallets and real-time payment rails.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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The requested time period for Mastercard's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 27, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, actual stock performance data and the definitive reasons for its movement are not yet available. However, based on available future-dated articles that discuss expected performance, analyst predictions, and events like Q3 2025 earnings, some potential factors for stock movement can be inferred.

Here are some potential key points that could influence Mastercard's stock performance during the specified period, based on information available leading up to and within that future timeframe:

<br><br><b>1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report:</b> Mastercard reported its Q3 2025 earnings around October 30, 2025, with mixed results. The company generally beat EPS expectations but revenue figures sometimes fell slightly short of analyst estimates. Despite beating earnings per share (EPS) forecasts, the stock experienced a pre-market decline of 2.09% immediately following the Q3 2025 earnings announcement, reflecting investor concerns or profit-taking.

<br><br><b>2. Investor Sentiment and Market Reaction to Earnings:</b> While Q3 2025 earnings showed strong financial results, with net revenue rising 17% year-over-year to $8.6 billion and a 13% surge in diluted EPS, the market reaction was initially mixed or cautiously optimistic. Some reports indicated a positive market response in pre-market activity due to stronger-than-expected profitability, while others noted a pre-market decline despite the earnings beat, potentially due to broader market conditions or profit-taking. This mixed sentiment surrounding the Q3 results could contribute to overall stock volatility.

<br><br><b>3. Share Buybacks and Dividends:</b> Mastercard demonstrated ongoing shareholder returns by increasing its quarterly dividend to $0.87 per share and authorizing a new $14 billion share buyback program. During Q3 2025, Mastercard repurchased $3.3 billion worth of stock, and an additional $1.2 billion through October 27, 2025. These actions generally signal confidence from the company and can provide support for the stock price.

<br><br><b>4. Economic Outlook and Consumer Spending Trends:</b> Mastercard's performance is sensitive to the macroeconomic outlook and consumer spending. While resilient consumer and corporate spending was noted in Q3 2025, some analyses suggest a "K-shaped" recovery where consumer reliance on digital tools and credit is increasing amidst high interest rates. Concerns about potential economic slowdowns or recessions in 2025 could lead to slight downward earnings revisions if spending decreases, especially across borders.

<br><br><b>5. Valuation and Analyst Sentiment:</b> Mastercard's stock has been trading at a premium compared to its industry peers, with a forward 12-month Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio higher than the industry average. Despite this, analysts have largely maintained "Strong Buy" ratings, with an average 12-month price target indicating potential upside from its current trading levels. However, an elevated valuation could also cap future outperformance and lead to consolidation if overall market sentiment shifts.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.7% change in MA stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 2.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
926202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)564.38579.602.70%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)30241.0030241.000.00%
Net Income Margin (%)44.93%44.93%0.00%
P/E Multiple37.7238.742.70%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)908.00908.000.00%
Cumulative Contribution2.70%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MA2.7% 
Market (SPY)4.3%29.6%
Sector (XLF)3.3%71.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.6% change in MA stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 4.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
627202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)548.85579.605.60%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)29069.0030241.004.03%
Net Income Margin (%)45.21%44.93%-0.64%
P/E Multiple38.0938.741.71%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)912.00908.000.44%
Cumulative Contribution5.60%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MA5.6% 
Market (SPY)12.6%35.6%
Sector (XLF)7.4%69.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.7% change in MA stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 11.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1226202412262025Change
Stock Price ($)533.09579.608.73%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)27226.0030241.0011.07%
Net Income Margin (%)45.26%44.93%-0.74%
P/E Multiple39.9338.74-2.98%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)923.00908.001.63%
Cumulative Contribution8.70%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MA8.7% 
Market (SPY)15.8%64.5%
Sector (XLF)14.4%81.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 70.4% change in MA stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 39.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1227202212262025Change
Stock Price ($)340.13579.6070.41%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)21636.0030241.0039.77%
Net Income Margin (%)45.22%44.93%-0.65%
P/E Multiple33.5538.7415.47%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)965.00908.005.91%
Cumulative Contribution69.81%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MA38.2% 
Market (SPY)48.0%60.2%
Sector (XLF)51.8%74.0%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MA Return20%1%-3%23%24%11%101%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MA Win Rate58%58%42%67%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MA Max Drawdown-32%-14%-21%-1%-2%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See MA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven272 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven155 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven64 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven925 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Mastercard's stock fell -28.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2022. A -28.6% loss requires a 40.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Mastercard (MA)

Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. It facilitates the processing of payment transactions, including authorization, clearing, and settlement, as well as delivers other payment-related products and services. The company offers integrated products and value-added services for account holders, merchants, financial institutions, businesses, governments, and other organizations, such as programs that enable issuers to provide consumers with credits to defer payments; prepaid programs and management services; commercial credit and debit payment products and solutions; and payment products and solutions that allow its customers to access funds in deposit and other accounts. It also provides value-added products and services comprising cyber and intelligence solutions for parties to transact, as well as proprietary insights, drawing on principled use of consumer, and merchant data services. In addition, the company offers analytics, test and learn, consulting, managed services, loyalty, processing, and payment gateway solutions for e-commerce merchants. Further, it provides open banking and digital identity platforms services. The company offers payment solutions and services under the MasterCard, Maestro, and Cirrus. Mastercard Incorporated was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Mastercard:

  • The other big global payment network, like Visa.

  • The underlying network for all major credit and debit card payments, similar to how PayPal facilitates online money transfers.

  • A payment network that connects banks and merchants for card transactions, akin to American Express, but without issuing its own cards.

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  • Payment Network Services: Mastercard operates a global payment processing network that facilitates electronic transactions between financial institutions, merchants, and consumers for credit, debit, and prepaid cards.
  • Credit, Debit, and Prepaid Card Programs: Mastercard licenses its brand and technology to financial institutions worldwide, enabling them to issue various types of payment cards that operate on its network.
  • Fraud Prevention and Security Services: Mastercard provides advanced tools and technologies, such as tokenization, authentication, and risk management, to protect transactions and cardholders from fraud.
  • Data Analytics and Consulting Services: Offers data-driven insights, market analysis, and strategic advisory services to financial institutions, merchants, and governments to optimize their payment strategies and operations.
  • Digital Payment Solutions: Develops and supports innovative digital payment methods, including mobile payments, e-commerce solutions, and open banking technologies, to enhance convenience and accessibility.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Mastercard (symbol: MA) primarily sells its services to other companies (B2B) rather than directly to individuals. Due to its global network business model, Mastercard does not have a small number of "major customers" that account for a dominant portion of its revenue in the way that a direct sales company might. Instead, its revenue is derived from transaction volume and fees generated across a vast ecosystem of financial institutions and payment processors worldwide. However, its major customers can be categorized as follows, with examples of public companies within each category:

Major Customers of Mastercard (MA)

Mastercard primarily sells its payment network, brand licensing, and technology services to other companies. Its major customers fall into the following categories:

  • Financial Institutions (Issuers): These are banks, credit unions, and other financial entities that issue Mastercard-branded credit, debit, and prepaid cards to consumers and businesses. They are Mastercard's direct customers for network access, brand usage, and various payment solutions.

    • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM)
    • Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC)
    • Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C)
    • Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE: WFC)
    • Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF)
    • PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (NYSE: PNC)
  • Payment Processors and Acquirers: These companies provide merchant acquiring services, enabling businesses to accept Mastercard payments. They process transactions and route them through the Mastercard network. Many large financial institutions also act as acquirers.

    • Fiserv, Inc. (NYSE: FI)
    • Global Payments Inc. (NYSE: GPN)
    • Fidelity National Information Services (FIS), which owns Worldpay (NYSE: FIS)
    • Adyen N.V. (AMS: ADYEN)
  • Governments and Public Sector Entities: Mastercard partners with governments globally for various initiatives, including the disbursement of benefits, identity solutions, and the modernization of public sector payments. While often implemented through financial institutions, Mastercard works directly with government bodies on strategic payment solutions.

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  • Microsoft (MSFT)
  • Google (GOOGL)

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Michael Miebach, Chief Executive Officer

Michael Miebach has served as the CEO of Mastercard since January 2021. Prior to this, he held positions including President and Chief Product Officer at Mastercard. He joined the company in 2010 to lead its Middle East and Africa operations. Earlier in his career, he held senior roles at Barclays Bank and Citibank. Miebach was instrumental in transforming Mastercard's offerings from a consumer card-centric business to a broader payment platform, expanding into areas like real-time payments, open banking, and digital identity. He has also been involved in acquisitions such as Vocalink and Finicity.

Sachin Mehra, Chief Financial Officer

Sachin Mehra has been the CFO of Mastercard since April 2019. He has over 20 years of financial leadership experience, with more than 12 years at Mastercard in various financial leadership roles, including corporate treasurer and business finance officer for North America. Before joining Mastercard in June 2010, Mehra spent three years at Hess Corporation in treasury and finance roles and held various domestic and international treasury and finance positions at General Motors and GMAC from 1996 to 2007. He currently serves on the board of Salesforce.

Jorn Lambert, Chief Product Officer

Jorn Lambert became Mastercard's Chief Product Officer in 2024, leading the Core Payments team responsible for developing innovative, seamless, and secure payment solutions. This includes digital solutions like tokenization, authentication, real-time payments, and new acceptance models. Before this role, he served as Chief Digital Officer, shaping the company's global digital strategy. Lambert joined Mastercard in 2002 and has held various leadership positions to advance the company's digital vision. Prior to Mastercard, he worked in capital markets in product development, management, and corporate strategy roles.

Raja Rajamannar, Chief Marketing & Communications Officer

Raja Rajamannar is the Chief Marketing & Communications Officer for Mastercard and also serves as President of the company's healthcare business. He is recognized for transforming Mastercard into a fast-growing brand, leading the iconic "Priceless" platform, and incorporating AI and Web3 technologies into marketing. His leadership has contributed to Mastercard being recognized as one of BrandZ's most valuable global brands. Rajamannar joined Mastercard in 2013, bringing extensive experience in managing large revenue-driving organizations. His prior roles include Chief Transformation Officer at Elevance (formerly Anthem) and Chief Innovation & Marketing Officer at Humana. He also held senior management positions with Unilever and Citibank.

Craig Vosburg, Chief Services Officer

Craig Vosburg is the Chief Services Officer at Mastercard, a role he assumed in a realignment effective May 1, 2024. In this position, he leads the team responsible for Mastercard's value-added services, including fraud management, risk and cybersecurity, consulting and marketing services, and insights. He also oversees new networks in global open banking and digital identity and champions innovation leveraging AI and the in-house lab, The Foundry. Vosburg previously served as Mastercard's Chief Product Officer and President of North America. Before joining Mastercard in 2006, he was a senior member of the financial services practices at Bain & Company and A.T. Kearney, and a vice president at CoreStates Financial Corporation.

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The public company Mastercard (symbol: MA) faces several key risks to its business:

  • Regulatory and Legal Scrutiny: Mastercard is subject to extensive regulations and legal challenges globally, particularly concerning interchange fees and network fees. Recent antitrust lawsuits and rulings, such as those in the U.K., have found Mastercard in violation of competition law for imposing excessive interchange fees, exposing the company to significant financial liability and potentially forcing revisions to its fee structure. The U.S. also has proposed legislation, like the Credit Card Competition Act of 2023, which aims to reduce merchant fees and increase competition, potentially threatening Mastercard's revenue growth in a key market. Ongoing regulatory pressure can lead to increased operating costs, litigation expenses, and potential caps on fees, impacting a significant high-margin revenue stream.
  • Intensifying Competition: The payments industry is experiencing rapid evolution, leading to increased competition for Mastercard. This includes the rise of digital wallets, especially in markets like Asia where they dominate e-commerce transactions, and the emergence of fintech companies developing alternative payment platforms. Additionally, the development of local real-time payment rails and potential central bank digital currencies could disintermediate Mastercard from transactions, diminishing demand for its core products and services.
  • Cybersecurity Threats and Fraud: Despite Mastercard's substantial investments in security measures, the business faces continuous and evolving cybersecurity risks. The sophistication of cybercrime is increasing, with threats such as AI-driven scams, deepfakes, synthetic identity fraud, and "fraud-as-a-service" platforms becoming more prevalent. Successful cyberattacks or data breaches could lead to significant financial losses, damage to brand reputation and consumer trust, and potential regulatory penalties.

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The proliferation and increasing adoption of real-time, account-to-account (A2A) payment systems globally represents a clear emerging threat. These systems, such as FedNow in the United States, Pix in Brazil, and UPI in India, enable direct bank-to-bank transfers, often at lower costs for merchants and with immediate settlement. As these networks gain traction for everyday retail transactions, they have the potential to disintermediate traditional card networks like Mastercard by providing an alternative rail for payments, thereby reducing transaction volumes and associated revenues derived from card-based processing fees.

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Mastercard (NYSE: MA) operates in several large and growing addressable markets for its main products and services:

  • Payment Processing/Card Networks (Credit, Debit, and Prepaid Cards):
    • The global payment processing solutions market size was estimated at USD 173.38 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach approximately USD 914.91 billion by 2034.
    • The global credit card network market is estimated at $1.5 trillion in 2025.
    • Globally, credit card purchase volume amounted to $19.6 trillion in 2023.
    • Global purchase volume on debit cards was $17.725 trillion in 2023.
    • The global credit card payment market size was valued at USD 314.20 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 343.20 billion in 2025.
    • The global debit card market was valued at $95.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $151.1 billion by 2032.
  • Cross-Border Payments:
    • The total addressable market for cross-border payments globally was worth $194.6 trillion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $320 trillion by 2032.
    • The cross-border payments market is valued at USD 222.23 billion in 2025 and is on track to reach USD 315.26 billion by 2030.
    • For B2B cross-border transactions, the market size is projected to increase from USD 39.3 trillion in 2023 to USD 56.1 trillion by 2030.
  • Payment Gateway Services:
    • The global payment gateway market size was estimated at USD 26.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 48.4 billion by 2029.
    • Another estimate places the global payment gateway market size at USD 35.17 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 152.26 billion by 2032.
  • New Payment Flows (including B2B Payments and Real-Time Payments):
    • The B2B payments market is projected to grow to $3.79 trillion by 2034 globally, with transactions valued at $1.58 trillion in 2024.
  • Value-Added Services and Solutions:
    • While a specific overall market size for this broad category is not available, Mastercard's value-added services and solutions revenues are 85% recurring in nature.

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Mastercard (MA) Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth

Over the next 2-3 years, Mastercard (MA) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth through several key strategic areas. These drivers are underpinned by the company's diversified business model, ongoing innovation, and efforts to expand its reach in the evolving global payments landscape. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of Mastercard's future revenue growth:
  • Growth in Value-Added Services and Solutions: Mastercard is heavily focused on expanding its high-margin value-added services and solutions. This segment, which has consistently shown strong growth, includes offerings in cybersecurity, fraud prevention, data analytics, consulting, marketing, and open banking. The company aims to differentiate its payment capabilities and enhance its suite of services, driving demand across security, digital, and authentication solutions, as well as consumer acquisition and engagement services.
  • Expansion in Digital Payments and New Payment Flows: Mastercard is strategically positioned to capitalize on the secular shift towards digital forms of payment and to capture new payment flows beyond traditional consumer card transactions. This includes significant initiatives in agentic commerce, which involves partnerships with AI leaders like OpenAI and Google, and the expansion of Mastercard Agent Pay. Furthermore, the company is growing its presence in digital wallets, B2B payments, remittances through Mastercard Move, and integrating stablecoins and cryptocurrency across the global payment ecosystem.
  • Increased Cross-Border Volume and Transaction Growth: Despite global uncertainties, Mastercard expects continued robust growth in cross-border transaction volumes. These transactions typically generate higher revenues and are a significant growth engine, fueled by both travel and non-travel-related spending. The overall increase in worldwide gross dollar volume (GDV) and switched transactions due to healthy consumer and business spending also contributes to core payment network revenue growth.
  • Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Mastercard is actively forging new partnerships with airlines, retailers, banks, and fintech companies globally to expand its market presence and service adoption. The company also maintains a robust merger and acquisition pipeline to bolster its strategic growth initiatives, as evidenced by recent acquisitions aimed at enhancing cybersecurity and subscription management services. These collaborations and acquisitions enable Mastercard to broaden its acceptance network, particularly in underpenetrated sectors like rent and transit, and secure key affluent customer portfolios.

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Share Repurchases

  • In December 2024, Mastercard's Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program authorizing the company to repurchase up to $12 billion of its Class A common stock, effective upon completion of the previous $11 billion program.
  • As of December 13, 2024, approximately $3.9 billion remained under the previously approved share repurchase program.
  • Mastercard repurchased $11.035 billion in shares in 2024, $9.032 billion in 2023, and $8.753 billion in 2022.

Share Issuance

  • Mastercard's shares outstanding have consistently declined, reflecting the impact of its share repurchase programs.
  • Shares outstanding decreased by 2.01% in 2024 to 0.927 billion, and by 2.57% in 2023 to 0.946 billion.
  • In 2022, shares outstanding were 0.971 billion, a 2.12% decline from 2021.

Outbound Investments

  • Mastercard acquired Recorded Future for $2.65 billion in September 2024 to enhance its cybersecurity services.
  • In October 2024, Mastercard acquired Minna Technologies, a provider of white-label subscription management solutions.
  • Significant acquisitions in 2021 included Dynamic Yield, Arcus, CipherTrace, Aiia, and Ekata ($850 million), and in 2020, Finicity ($825 million) and IfOnly.

Capital Expenditures

  • Mastercard's capital expenditures averaged $406.6 million annually from fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024.
  • Capital expenditures reached a peak of $474 million in December 2024.
  • In 2023, capital expenditures were $371 million, following $442 million in 2022.

Better Bets than Mastercard (MA)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-1.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.1%-11.1%-12.1%
MA_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022MAMastercardMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
16.1%15.4%-5.8%
MA_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MAMastercardMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-9.0%5.2%-21.8%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Mastercard

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMasterca.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price579.6023.2624.49305.0978.16273.40175.78
Mkt Cap526.321.932.6284.9309.24,074.4297.1
Rev LTM30,24155,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM17,6453,6241,64411,54412,991130,21412,268
FCF LTM15,8672,80062711,85412,73396,18412,294
FCF 3Y Avg12,4122,9781,40011,75313,879100,50312,082
CFO LTM16,9533,6972,91913,48313,744108,56513,614
CFO 3Y Avg13,5663,6723,89613,49814,736111,55913,532

Growth & Margins

MAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMasterca.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM14.6%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.2%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q16.8%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.0%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM58.3%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%20.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg58.2%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%20.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM56.1%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%22.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg50.4%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%23.8%
FCF/Rev LTM52.5%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%20.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg46.0%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%21.6%

Valuation

MAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMasterca.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap526.321.932.6284.9309.24,074.4297.1
P/S17.40.41.04.45.410.04.9
P/EBIT30.66.819.925.122.531.323.8
P/E38.78.6572.736.029.941.037.4
P/CFO31.05.911.221.122.537.521.8
Total Yield2.6%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.00.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E0.00.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

MAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMasterca.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn6.4%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%1.7%
3M Rtn2.7%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn5.6%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn8.7%-27.3%14.2%39.2%33.7%6.0%11.4%
3Y Rtn70.4%-3.8%67.7%139.0%79.5%113.4%75.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.6%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-1.6%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-6.7%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-5.8%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-3.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-9.3%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-5.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Payment Solutions25,098    
Payment network 14,35811,943  
Value-added services and solutions 7,8796,941  
Cross-border volume fees   3,5125,606
Domestic assessments   6,6566,781
Other revenues   4,7174,124
Rebates and incentives (contra-revenue)   -8,315-8,097
Transaction processing   8,7318,469
Total25,09822,23718,88415,30116,883


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$579.60 
Market Cap ($ Bil)523.4 
First Trading Date05/25/2006 
Distance from 52W High-3.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$555.45$559.58
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA4.3%3.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility19.0%22.8%
Downside Capture60.6576.54
Upside Capture61.0273.57
Correlation (SPY)29.2%64.6%
MA Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.410.430.480.720.750.77
Up Beta0.400.540.650.900.760.81
Down Beta-0.970.350.360.390.810.82
Up Capture47%23%14%49%56%44%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days8182864133408
Down Capture71%61%78%109%82%90%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11233461115342

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of MA With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 MASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return10.4%16.3%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.3%
Annualized Volatility22.7%19.0%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.360.670.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 81.3%64.6%0.8%7.6%59.6%20.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of MA With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 MASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return12.1%16.1%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility24.2%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.460.710.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 65.3%67.9%6.1%13.7%52.3%24.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of MA With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 MASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return20.0%13.2%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility26.8%22.3%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.710.550.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 68.8%76.1%1.4%24.3%57.8%18.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,817,593
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020255.9%
Average Daily Volume2,757,191
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.47
Basic Shares Quantity908,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-0.2%-0.2%-1.9%
7/31/20251.3%1.8%5.6%
5/1/2025-0.3%3.3%6.8%
1/30/20253.1%3.2%5.0%
10/31/2024-2.7%1.4%3.7%
7/31/20243.6%0.2%5.4%
5/1/2024-2.0%0.4%-2.0%
1/31/20240.9%3.4%6.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121615
# Negative1289
Median Positive2.3%3.0%6.8%
Median Negative-1.5%-2.6%-3.4%
Max Positive7.2%15.1%15.1%
Max Negative-8.1%-6.8%-10.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021