Tearsheet

Coterra Energy (CTRA)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $26.42 | Market Cap: $20.2 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Coterra Energy (CTRA)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $26.42
Market Cap: $20.2 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 8.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 8.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CTRA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Coterra Energy reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial and operational results on November 3, 2025. Production across all streams, including total, oil, and natural gas, approached the high end of guidance and surpassed mid-point expectations.

2. The company raised its full-year 2025 production guidance and reaffirmed its expected $2 billion free cash flow for 2025. This positive outlook on future performance and financial health likely boosted investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CTRA Return-4%23%41%9%3%7%102%
Peers Return15%149%57%-2%15%7%438%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CTRA Win Rate42%50%67%58%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%72%63%48%50%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CTRA Max Drawdown-22%-10%0%-6%-9%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-67%-0%-3%-21%-15%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EOG, DVN, EQT, AR, RRC. See CTRA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCTRAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven329 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven867 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-74.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven292.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven871 days1480 days

Compare to BSM, OVV, HESM, KOS, COP


In The Past

Coterra Energy's stock fell -36.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -36.3% loss requires a 57.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Coterra Energy (CTRA)

Better Bets than Coterra Energy (CTRA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CTRA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.6%12.6%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
33.4%33.4%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.6%12.6%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
33.4%33.4%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Coterra Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CTRAEOGDVNEQTARRRCMedian
NameCoterra .EOG Reso.Devon En.EQT Antero R.Range Re. 
Mkt Price26.27108.0137.5255.5735.1936.4136.97
Mkt Cap20.058.423.634.710.98.621.8
Rev LTM7,08122,57917,4707,8884,8802,8787,484
Op Inc LTM2,2027,5393,9582,9227337812,562
FCF LTM1,4483,8912,8182,4901,1804971,969
FCF 3Y Avg1,6075,1671,6771,5909815401,598
CFO LTM3,67710,1956,8414,7571,5381,1324,217
CFO 3Y Avg3,66311,4536,7443,6901,1931,1503,676

Growth & Margins

CTRAEOGDVNEQTARRRCMedian
NameCoterra .EOG Reso.Devon En.EQT Antero R.Range Re. 
Rev Chg LTM25.1%-5.0%11.4%64.8%19.7%24.7%22.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.3%-7.6%-2.1%-2.8%-13.0%-14.5%-6.4%
Rev Chg Q33.7%-2.3%7.6%49.8%15.2%16.1%15.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.9%-0.6%1.8%8.3%3.2%3.3%3.2%
Op Mgn LTM31.1%33.4%22.7%37.0%15.0%27.2%29.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg34.2%36.4%28.3%20.2%12.2%25.1%26.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.8%-1.7%7.8%2.4%1.7%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM51.9%45.2%39.2%60.3%31.5%39.3%42.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg56.7%49.0%41.8%58.1%25.5%41.6%45.4%
FCF/Rev LTM20.4%17.2%16.1%31.6%24.2%17.3%18.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%22.1%10.2%23.5%21.0%19.1%21.6%

Valuation

CTRAEOGDVNEQTARRRCMedian
NameCoterra .EOG Reso.Devon En.EQT Antero R.Range Re. 
Mkt Cap20.058.423.634.710.98.621.8
P/S2.52.71.34.32.13.12.6
P/EBIT8.18.35.410.913.611.69.6
P/E11.011.08.119.117.615.613.3
P/CFO4.95.93.27.16.77.96.3
Total Yield12.8%12.6%15.1%6.4%5.7%7.1%9.9%
Dividend Yield3.7%3.5%2.8%1.1%0.0%0.7%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.5%7.6%6.5%7.1%11.0%6.7%7.3%
D/E0.20.10.40.20.30.20.2
Net D/E0.20.10.30.20.30.20.2

Returns

CTRAEOGDVNEQTARRRCMedian
NameCoterra .EOG Reso.Devon En.EQT Antero R.Range Re. 
1M Rtn1.4%-0.7%6.5%-8.7%2.1%-5.0%0.4%
3M Rtn8.8%-7.7%7.9%9.4%6.4%3.4%7.2%
6M Rtn0.1%-12.2%7.6%-1.6%-15.5%-11.6%-6.6%
12M Rtn6.0%-11.7%13.0%22.6%6.5%2.2%6.2%
3Y Rtn18.1%-4.2%-32.1%56.8%3.6%39.9%10.8%
1M Excs Rtn1.7%-0.3%6.9%-8.3%2.5%-4.7%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn6.4%-10.4%7.9%8.3%5.2%0.8%5.8%
6M Excs Rtn-14.1%-26.5%-6.6%-15.9%-29.8%-25.8%-20.8%
12M Excs Rtn-3.5%-24.9%-2.1%17.5%0.2%-4.7%-2.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-58.2%-76.8%-106.6%-15.1%-61.6%-24.5%-59.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil2,6673,016616  
Natural gas2,2925,4692,7981,4051,985
Natural gas liquid (NGL)644964243  
Gain (loss) on derivative instruments230-463-2216181
Other816513  
Brokered natural gas    0
Total5,9149,0513,4491,4662,066


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity34,114,987
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.0%
Average Daily Volume5,890,250
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.79
Basic Shares Quantity763,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-0.1%0.3%11.4%
7/21/20252.1%3.1%1.0%
2/25/2025-1.9%-3.3%6.3%
10/31/2024-5.1%2.0%10.0%
8/1/2024-5.1%-5.6%-3.4%
2/23/2024-0.2%-0.1%7.9%
11/7/2023-2.1%-0.9%-9.8%
8/7/2023-0.7%0.6%1.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative10910
Median Positive2.2%3.3%6.3%
Median Negative-3.3%-1.7%-3.8%
Max Positive3.9%14.7%32.9%
Max Negative-6.9%-7.7%-11.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021