Coterra Energy (CTRA)
Market Price (5/7/2026): $32.47 | Market Cap: $24.6 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Coterra Energy (CTRA)
Market Price (5/7/2026): $32.47Market Cap: $24.6 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 8.0% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 4.5 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0% Key risksCTRA key risks include [1] operational challenges and complexities that threaten its ability to sustain production growth, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 8.0% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 4.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0% |
| Key risksCTRA key risks include [1] operational challenges and complexities that threaten its ability to sustain production growth, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Transformative Merger with Devon Energy.
Coterra Energy's stock trend was significantly driven by the announced all-stock merger with Devon Energy, revealed on February 2, 2026. Shareholders of both companies approved the merger on May 4, 2026, with the closing anticipated around May 7, 2026. The combined entity is projected to achieve approximately $1 billion in annual pre-tax synergies by the end of 2027, creating an industry-leading shale operator with enhanced free cash flow.
2. Robust Cash Flow Generation and Balance Sheet Fortification.
The company demonstrated strong financial health through substantial cash flow and debt reduction. In the fourth quarter of 2025, Coterra generated $970 million in Cash Flow from Operating Activities and $507 million in Free Cash Flow. During this period, the company also repurchased 4 million shares for $93 million at a weighted-average price of $24.37 per share and paid off $100 million of a term loan, with the remaining $300 million fully repaid in February 2026. This trend continued into the first quarter of 2026, where operating cash flow sharply rose to $1.6 billion, and the remaining $300 million Tranche B term loan was fully repaid, resulting in $485 million in cash and no revolver borrowings by quarter-end.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.7% change in CTRA stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.64 | 32.56 | 13.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,081 | 7,688 | 8.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.2% | 21.7% | -6.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.3 | 14.8 | 11.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 763 | 759 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRA | 13.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | -35.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 12.4% | 88.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 39.8% change in CTRA stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.29 | 32.56 | 39.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,623 | 7,688 | 16.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.8% | 21.7% | -8.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.3 | 14.8 | 31.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 763 | 759 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 39.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRA | 39.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | -27.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 31.3% | 73.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 37.1% change in CTRA stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 40.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.75 | 32.56 | 37.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,458 | 7,688 | 40.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.5% | 21.7% | 5.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.7 | 14.8 | -5.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 739 | 759 | -2.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 37.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRA | 37.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 0.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 46.2% | 69.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 40.1% change in CTRA stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 232.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.24 | 32.56 | 40.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9,051 | 7,688 | -15.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 44.9% | 21.7% | -51.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.5 | 14.8 | 232.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 781 | 759 | 2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 40.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRA | 40.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 29.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 47.7% | 73.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CTRA Return | 23% | 41% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 36% | 185% |
| Peers Return | 149% | 57% | -2% | 15% | 4% | 24% | 464% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 6% | 93% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CTRA Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 63% | 48% | 50% | 55% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CTRA Max Drawdown | -10% | 0% | -6% | -9% | -11% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -0% | -3% | -21% | -15% | -11% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EOG, DVN, EQT, AR, RRC. See CTRA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CTRA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -12.7% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 18 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -13.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 8 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.1% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 251 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.0% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 626 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -55.0% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.3% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2311 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Coterra Energy's stock fell -20.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | CTRA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 79 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.1% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 251 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.0% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 626 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -55.0% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.3% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2311 days | 15 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.3% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 180 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -55.0% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.4% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 233 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Coterra Energy's stock fell -20.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Coterra Energy (CTRA)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. A pure-play U.S. oil and natural gas producer, similar to EOG Resources or ConocoPhillips.
2. Like a ConocoPhillips, but specifically focused on extracting oil and gas from major U.S. shale basins such as the Marcellus and Permian.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil: Coterra Energy explores, develops, and produces crude oil from its properties in the United States.
- Natural Gas: The company engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, which it sells to a wide range of customers.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Coterra Energy is involved in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas liquids.
- Natural Gas Gathering Systems: The company operates systems for collecting and transporting natural gas, primarily in Texas.
- Saltwater Disposal Gathering Systems: Coterra Energy operates infrastructure for gathering and disposing of saltwater, primarily in Texas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Coterra Energy (CTRA) - Major Customers
Coterra Energy primarily sells its products to other companies. Based on the provided description, its major customers fall into the following categories:- Industrial customers
- Local distribution companies
- Oil and gas marketers
- Major energy companies
- Pipeline companies
- Power generation facilities
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Thomas E. Jorden, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and President
Thomas E. Jorden is a geophysicist with over 40 years of experience in the oil and gas exploration and production industry. He currently serves as Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and President of Coterra. Previously, he was the Chief Executive Officer and President of Cimarex Energy Co.. Prior to Cimarex, Mr. Jorden held several leadership positions at Key Production Company, Inc., and was also with Union Pacific Resources and Superior Oil Company. He earned his bachelor's and master's degrees in Geophysics from the Colorado School of Mines. Coterra Energy was formed through the merger of Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation and Cimarex Energy Co. in October 2021, and Mr. Jorden, formerly CEO of Cimarex, assumed his current roles at Coterra.
Shane E. Young, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Shane E. Young serves as Coterra's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. He possesses an extensive background in upstream energy, having spent nearly two decades as an investment banker and almost a decade as an upstream CFO. Before joining Coterra in June 2023, Mr. Young was the CFO at Talos Energy. He holds a BBA in Finance from the University of Texas at Austin and an MBA from Dartmouth College.
Michael D. DeShazer, Executive Vice President – Operations
Michael DeShazer is the Executive Vice President – Operations for Coterra. He has been with the company since 2007, serving in various leadership capacities, including Vice President – Permian Basin, and most recently as Executive Vice President – Business Units. Mr. DeShazer is a licensed Professional Engineer and holds a Bachelor's in Chemical Engineering and a Master's of Energy Business from the University of Tulsa.
Blake A. Sirgo, Executive Vice President – Business Units
Blake Sirgo is the Executive Vice President – Business Units at Coterra. He joined Coterra in 2008 after starting his career with OXY in the Permian Basin in 2005. He has held various operational leadership roles within the company, including Executive Vice President – Operations. Mr. Sirgo is a graduate of The University of Texas with a mechanical engineering degree.
Kevin W. Smith, Senior Vice President and Chief Technology Officer
Kevin W. Smith is the Senior Vice President and Chief Technology Officer for Coterra. He began his career with Cimarex Energy in 2007, serving in several technical and leadership positions, including Director of Technology and Anadarko Exploration Region Manager. In September 2020, Mr. Smith became Chief Engineer for Cimarex. He is a graduate of the University of Tulsa, where he earned a B.S. in Petroleum Engineering.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Coterra Energy's business are primarily linked to the inherent volatility of the oil and gas industry and the increasing scrutiny on environmental impact and operational efficiency.
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Commodity Price Volatility: Coterra Energy's financial performance is highly sensitive to fluctuations in the market prices of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). While the company utilizes derivative instruments to hedge against price declines, a significant portion of its production remains unhedged, leaving it vulnerable to volatile energy markets. Natural gas prices, in particular, are noted for their high volatility due to factors like weather and supply/demand dynamics, which can materially affect revenue, cash flow, and the ability to fund capital expenditures or maintain shareholder returns.
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Regulatory and Environmental Risks: The oil and gas sector faces stringent and evolving regulatory and environmental scrutiny. Coterra Energy is exposed to risks from changes in laws and regulations related to climate change, emissions reductions (including methane fees), and environmental protection (such as EPA water rules). Such changes can lead to increased compliance costs, project delays, restrictions on development activities, and potential liabilities. The growing global emphasis on renewable energy and decarbonization also poses a long-term threat to the demand for traditional oil and natural gas-derived products.
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Operational Risks, Rising Costs, and Infrastructure Constraints: Coterra Energy faces various operational challenges and cost pressures. Exploration, development, and production activities involve inherent risks, including the possibility of dry holes, failure to produce oil and gas in commercial quantities, or the inability to fully exploit discovered reserves. The company has experienced rising operating expenses, including direct operations costs, gathering, processing, transportation, and taxes, which can impact margins and profitability. Furthermore, supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and inflation contribute to increased costs. Infrastructure limitations, such as regional takeaway constraints and pipeline bottlenecks, particularly in areas like the Marcellus Shale, can also restrict market access and negatively impact realized prices for Coterra's production.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating global transition to renewable energy sources and the electrification of transportation and industrial processes, which directly threatens the long-term demand for oil and natural gas, Coterra's primary products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Coterra Energy's main products are oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, with its operations primarily concentrated within the United States. The addressable markets for these products in the U.S. are sized as follows:U.S. Oil and Gas Market (Combined)
Several reports provide varying estimates for the total U.S. oil and gas market.- One projection indicates that the U.S. oil and gas market size, which was calculated at USD 1.55 trillion in 2024, is expected to reach approximately USD 2.24 trillion by 2034.
- Another analysis valued the U.S. oil and gas market at USD 474.5 billion in 2025, with a projection to grow to USD 717.39 billion by 2034.
- A separate estimate assessed the U.S. oil and gas market size at USD 252.6 billion in 2024, forecasting a rise to USD 339.5 billion by 2033.
U.S. Natural Gas Market
The broader U.S. natural gas market size is estimated to be US$473.4 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach US$601.8 billion by 2032.U.S. Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) Market
The market for Natural Gas Liquids in the U.S. also shows varied estimations:- The U.S. natural gas-liquid market size was estimated at USD 5.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to increase from USD 6.22 billion in 2025 to USD 10.6 billion by 2035.
- Another report valued the Natural Gas Liquids Market size at USD 16.3 billion in 2025, with an estimated growth to USD 29.4 billion by the end of 2035.
- For North America, the NGL market is estimated to grow from USD 7.08 billion in 2024 to USD 11.53 billion in 2033. The United States held a significant share of 92.8% of this market in 2024. This implies a U.S. NGL market size of approximately USD 6.57 billion in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Coterra Energy (CTRA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:- Production Growth from Strategic Capital Allocation and Well Development: Coterra Energy plans to grow its overall production volumes by strategically allocating capital to its highest-return projects across its core operating regions: the Permian Basin, Marcellus Shale, and Anadarko Basin. The company anticipates turning-in-line between 175 to 205 total net wells in 2025. Its updated three-year outlook (2025-2027) projects an annual average oil growth of 5% or greater and an annual average total barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) growth of 0% to 5%. For 2026, Coterra expects annual total production to range from 750 to 810 MBoepd, natural gas production from 2,775 to 2,975 MMcfpd, and oil production from 162 to 172 MBopd.
- Accretive Acquisitions and Expansion of Asset Base: Recent and planned acquisitions are a significant driver of increased production capacity and revenue. In January 2025, Coterra completed approximately $3.2 billion in acquisitions within the Delaware Basin, expanding its acreage to 83,000 net acres in the Northern Delaware Basin to unlock further cost efficiencies and production gains. Earlier, in November 2024, the company announced two acquisitions totaling $3.95 billion, which were expected to increase its New Mexico net locations by approximately 75% and Permian net locations by approximately 25%. These acquisitions aim to create an additional oil-weighted focus area with a deep inventory, providing a long runway for capital-efficient development and are projected to be highly accretive to estimated 2025-2027 per share Discretionary Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow.
- Increased Natural Gas Production Leveraging Rising U.S. LNG Export Capacity: Coterra is increasing its focus on natural gas production, particularly from its Marcellus Shale assets. The company added two natural gas-focused rigs in the Marcellus Shale in April 2025, with plans to maintain this activity through the second half of the year. This strategy is designed to capitalize on the anticipated ramp-up of U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) export capacity between 2025 and 2027, which is expected to drive demand and potentially increase prices for natural gas.
- Enhanced Operational Efficiency and Cost Reductions: Coterra Energy is committed to improving operational efficiency and reducing per-unit costs. Management emphasizes techniques such as lateral extensions, high-intensity completions, and pad development to shorten drilling cycle times. These advancements in technology and operational practices lead to improved well performance, as evidenced by exceeding 2024 production guidance, thereby enabling more economical hydrocarbon extraction and contributing to higher net revenue.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Coterra Energy repurchased 4 million shares for $93 million during the fourth quarter of 2025.
- For the full year 2025, the company repurchased 6 million shares for $140 million.
- Annual share buybacks amounted to $141 million in 2025, $455 million in 2024, and $405 million in 2023. As of September 2025, Coterra had $1.1 billion remaining under its $2 billion share repurchase program.
Share Issuance
- The number of outstanding shares for Coterra Energy was 763,000,000 at the end of 2025, marking a 3.67% increase from 2024.
- In 2021, the number of outstanding shares significantly increased by 103.22%, primarily due to the merger with Cimarex Energy Co.
Outbound Investments
- Coterra Energy completed the integration of Delaware Basin acquisitions in January 2025. These acquisitions were partly financed by a $1.0 billion Term Loan, of which $700 million was repaid in 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Coterra Energy's full-year 2026 capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $2.25 billion, with a range of $2.175 billion to $2.325 billion.
- For 2025, the company's capital guidance was in the range of $2.0 billion to $2.3 billion. During the third quarter of 2025, incurred capital for drilling, completion, and other fixed asset additions was $658 million.
- In 2023, expected capital investment ranged from $2.0 billion to $2.2 billion, with roughly 49% allocated to the Permian Basin, 44% to the Marcellus Shale, and the remainder to the Anadarko Basin. For the full year 2022, capital expenditures totaled $1,737 million, including $1,617 million for drilling and completion activities.
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Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 26.8 |
| Rev LTM | 8,620 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,125 |
| FCF LTM | 2,386 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,454 |
| CFO LTM | 5,481 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,858 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 20.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 68.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 31.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 45.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 44.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 26.8 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/Op Inc | 9.2 |
| P/EBIT | 7.9 |
| P/E | 11.4 |
| P/CFO | 5.6 |
| Total Yield | 10.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 55.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -18.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 13.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -25.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $32.56 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 24.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/08/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $33.09 | $27.17 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -1.6% | 19.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 34.9% | 29.3% |
| Downside Capture | -0.46 | -0.27 |
| Upside Capture | -33.35 | 8.77 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -32.4% | -1.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -1.78 | -0.96 | -0.80 | -0.61 | 0.01 | 0.53 |
| Up Beta | -1.63 | -1.85 | -1.43 | -1.09 | 0.09 | 0.47 |
| Down Beta | -2.14 | -0.06 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.91 |
| Up Capture | -74% | -32% | -40% | -11% | 6% | 15% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 40 | 78 | 143 | 404 |
| Down Capture | -394% | -144% | -195% | -179% | -57% | 60% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 15 | 24 | 46 | 106 | 339 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRA | 33.4% | 30.7% | 0.95 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 46.4% | 19.9% | 1.79 | 68.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.5% | 12.5% | 1.78 | -1.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.6% | 27.2% | 1.23 | -10.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.9% | 18.0% | 2.20 | 40.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | 4.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -14.2% | 42.1% | -0.25 | 0.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRA | 19.9% | 34.5% | 0.60 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.1% | 26.1% | 0.76 | 73.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 32.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.96 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.9% | 19.1% | 0.60 | 48.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 26.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.7% | 56.1% | 0.37 | 9.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRA | 6.5% | 35.6% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 9.6% | 29.5% | 0.36 | 55.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 36.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 16.0% | 0.71 | 3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 36.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 29.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 5.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/21/2026 | 2.0% | 3.9% | 16.9% |
| 10/22/2025 | -0.1% | 0.3% | 11.4% |
| 7/21/2025 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2/25/2025 | -1.9% | -3.3% | 6.3% |
| 10/31/2024 | -5.1% | 2.0% | 10.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | -5.1% | -5.6% | -3.4% |
| 2/23/2024 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 7.9% |
| 11/7/2023 | -2.1% | -0.9% | -9.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.1% | -1.4% | -3.8% |
| Max Positive | 3.9% | 14.7% | 32.9% |
| Max Negative | -6.5% | -7.6% | -11.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Total Equivalent Production | 0.77 Mil | 0.79 Mil | 0.81 Mil | ||||
| Q4 2025 Oil Production | 0.17 Mil | 0.17 Mil | 0.18 Mil | ||||
| Q4 2025 Natural Gas Production | 2.77 Bil | 2.85 Bil | 2.92 Bil | ||||
| Q4 2025 Capital Expenditures | 530.00 Mil | -18.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 650.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |||
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 2.30 Bil | 4.6% | Raised | Guidance: 2.20 Bil for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Total Equivalent Production | 0.77 Mil | 0.78 Mil | 0.78 Mil | ||||
| 2025 Natural Gas Production | 2.92 Bil | 2.94 Bil | 2.96 Bil | ||||
| 2025 Oil Production | 0.16 Mil | 0.16 Mil | 0.16 Mil | ||||
Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 8/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2025 Total Equivalent Production | 0.74 Mil | 0.77 Mil | 0.79 Mil | 4.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.73 Mil for Q2 2025 | |
| Q3 2025 Oil Production | 0.16 Mil | 0.16 Mil | 0.17 Mil | ||||
| Q3 2025 Natural Gas Production | 2.75 Bil | 2.83 Bil | 2.90 Bil | ||||
| Q3 2025 Capital Expenditures | 625.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 675.00 Mil | 6.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 613.00 Mil for Q2 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 2.10 Bil | 2.20 Bil | 2.30 Bil | 2.3% | Raised | Guidance: 2.15 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Free Cash Flow | 2.10 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.10 Bil for 2025 | |||
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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