Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.4%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.4%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ZEUS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Merger Agreement with Ryerson Holding Corporation.

2. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Report.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ZEUS Return-25%77%45%101%-50%19%128%
Peers Return3%52%26%37%3%35%278%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ZEUS Win Rate50%58%42%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%58%58%52%60%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ZEUS Max Drawdown-56%0%-12%-3%-51%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-12%-17%-8%-15%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventZEUSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven139 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven306 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven173.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven562 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven606.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD


In The Past

Olympic Steel's stock fell -48.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -48.4% loss requires a 93.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Olympic Steel (ZEUS)

Better Bets than Olympic Steel (ZEUS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ZEUS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Olympic Steel

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ZEUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameOlympic .Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Price40.1982.9259.4319.59164.71171.5071.17
Mkt Cap0.54.40.60.138.025.22.5
Rev LTM1,8991,22452046530,80617,6351,561
Op Inc LTM35748112,1431,51942
FCF LTM42-1594811-38531127
FCF 3Y Avg914922253,1151,01870
CFO LTM7420767173,1301,524141
CFO 3Y Avg11947244345,8422,562295

Growth & Margins

ZEUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameOlympic .Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.6%-23.1%7.6%-5.8%-5.8%-1.5%-5.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%-11.8%4.8%8.6%-10.4%-8.0%-9.2%
Rev Chg Q4.4%0.3%16.0%17.7%4.7%11.2%8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%0.1%4.2%4.5%1.2%2.8%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM1.9%0.6%9.3%2.4%7.0%8.6%4.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.6%19.3%9.0%2.9%13.9%13.7%11.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-1.5%0.3%1.8%-0.0%0.5%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM3.9%16.9%13.0%3.7%10.2%8.6%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%30.4%9.0%6.6%17.0%13.8%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%-13.0%9.3%2.5%-1.2%1.8%2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.3%1.9%4.4%4.9%8.7%5.4%4.6%

Valuation

ZEUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameOlympic .Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Cap0.54.40.60.138.025.22.5
P/S0.22.71.00.21.01.21.0
P/EBIT10.1116.910.68.213.713.812.1
P/E25.995.214.013.523.118.220.6
P/CFO4.816.17.66.79.513.48.6
Total Yield5.8%1.6%7.2%7.7%6.1%6.9%6.5%
Dividend Yield2.0%0.5%0.0%0.2%1.7%1.4%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg16.9%2.1%4.9%26.5%7.7%5.6%6.6%
D/E0.80.10.30.30.20.20.2
Net D/E0.8-0.00.30.30.10.10.2

Returns

ZEUSHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameOlympic .Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
1M Rtn14.6%19.3%-7.0%-12.4%11.2%10.0%10.6%
3M Rtn23.1%49.0%15.6%-7.2%13.9%32.8%19.4%
6M Rtn27.3%75.5%49.2%17.0%36.3%28.0%32.1%
12M Rtn-2.2%19.5%5.8%24.5%8.2%21.6%13.8%
3Y Rtn19.2%123.3%60.7%124.4%11.6%63.7%62.2%
1M Excs Rtn14.6%19.4%-6.9%-12.4%11.2%10.0%10.6%
3M Excs Rtn14.8%45.2%8.5%-12.5%8.8%26.2%11.8%
6M Excs Rtn12.6%60.8%34.5%2.3%21.6%13.3%17.4%
12M Excs Rtn-16.3%5.0%-7.5%16.3%-5.2%6.4%-0.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.8%80.6%-10.6%47.3%-56.1%1.5%-4.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Flat products segments650632777404433
Tubular and pipe products334258246236216
Corporate expenses12111
Total9858921,024641650


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity270,320
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-13.8%
Average Daily Volume196,997
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.37
Basic Shares Quantity11,744,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021