Vistagen Therapeutics (VTGN)
Market Price (6/27/2026): $0.7394 | Market Cap: $31.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Vistagen Therapeutics (VTGN)
Market Price (6/27/2026): $0.7394Market Cap: $31.3 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -150% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 161% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.7 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -72 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5679% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 315% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5231%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5243% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -240% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 114% Key risksVTGN key risks include [1] a critical dependence on the regulatory approval of its product candidates, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -150% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 161% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.7 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -72 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5679% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 315% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5231%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5243% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -240% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 114% |
| Key risksVTGN key risks include [1] a critical dependence on the regulatory approval of its product candidates, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Vistagen Therapeutics (VTGN) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Preliminary Positive Data from PALISADE-3 Open-Label Extension: Vistagen announced preliminary positive data on May 12, 2026, from the ongoing open-label extension portion of its PALISADE-3 Phase 3 study of fasedienol for social anxiety disorder. The data indicated fasedienol was well-tolerated for up to 12 months, with no new drug-related safety findings, and demonstrated clinically relevant improvement in social anxiety over time on both clinician-administered and patient-reported measures.
2. Achievement of ICH E1 Safety Exposure Recommendations: On June 9, 2026, Vistagen announced that its fasedienol clinical program had met the minimum patient exposure levels recommended under ICH E1 safety guidance for long-term treatment of non-life-threatening conditions. As of May 31, 2026, the program included over 1,500 subjects with at least one fasedienol exposure, more than 300 subjects with at least six months of exposure, and over 100 subjects with at least 12 months of exposure. This milestone is a significant step towards a potential New Drug Application.
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Vistagen Therapeutics (VTGN) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Preliminary Positive Data from PALISADE-3 Open-Label Extension: Vistagen announced preliminary positive data on May 12, 2026, from the ongoing open-label extension portion of its PALISADE-3 Phase 3 study of fasedienol for social anxiety disorder. The data indicated fasedienol was well-tolerated for up to 12 months, with no new drug-related safety findings, and demonstrated clinically relevant improvement in social anxiety over time on both clinician-administered and patient-reported measures.
2. Achievement of ICH E1 Safety Exposure Recommendations: On June 9, 2026, Vistagen announced that its fasedienol clinical program had met the minimum patient exposure levels recommended under ICH E1 safety guidance for long-term treatment of non-life-threatening conditions. As of May 31, 2026, the program included over 1,500 subjects with at least one fasedienol exposure, more than 300 subjects with at least six months of exposure, and over 100 subjects with at least 12 months of exposure. This milestone is a significant step towards a potential New Drug Application.
3. Anticipation of PALISADE-4 Phase 3 Topline Results: The company completed the randomized portion of its PALISADE-4 Phase 3 trial of fasedienol for the acute treatment of social anxiety disorder by May 8, 2026. Vistagen has consistently reiterated expectations for the topline results from PALISADE-4 in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 (June 2026), creating significant investor anticipation for this key catalyst.
4. Extended Financial Runway and Cost Management: Vistagen reported its fiscal year 2026 financial results (ending March 31, 2026) on June 15, 2026, showing $45.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, which is expected to fund operations into 2027. This financial runway, combined with a workforce reduction of approximately 20% in March 2026 to conserve capital and prioritize clinical execution, reassured investors about the company's ability to reach key clinical milestones.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 19.8% change in VTGN stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 60.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.59 | 0.70 | 19.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | 60.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 31.3 | 23.4 | -25.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 19.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTGN | 19.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.6% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 0.5% | 22.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -85.7% change in VTGN stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -90.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.90 | 0.70 | -85.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | 76.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 243.0 | 23.4 | -90.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 42 | -15.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -85.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTGN | -85.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.3% | 20.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 2.6% | 11.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -72.8% change in VTGN stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -79.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.58 | 0.70 | -72.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | 81.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 113.5 | 23.4 | -79.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 42 | -27.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -72.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTGN | -72.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.1% | 20.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.0% | 16.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -83.5% change in VTGN stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -449.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.26 | 0.70 | -83.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | -0 | 1 | -449.0% |
| P/S Multiple | -80.8 | 23.4 | -129.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 7 | 42 | -83.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -83.5% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTGN | -83.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 7.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 31.9% | 8.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VTGN Return | 1% | -95% | 66% | -43% | -78% | -7% | -99% |
| Peers Return | -38% | -24% | -10% | 32% | 286% | 35% | 192% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VTGN Win Rate | 58% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 48% | 50% | 47% | 62% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VTGN Max Drawdown | -52% | -96% | -81% | -61% | -86% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -61% | -68% | -53% | -51% | -48% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AXSM, ALKS, PRAX, RLMD, ATAI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VTGN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 108 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 306.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -53.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 742 days | 105 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -70.8% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 242.3% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 887 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 30 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Vistagen Therapeutics's stock fell -28.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.4% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | VTGN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 108 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 306.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -53.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 742 days | 105 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -70.8% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 242.3% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 887 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 30 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Vistagen Therapeutics's stock fell -28.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Vistagen Therapeutics (VTGN)
Vistagen Therapeutics (VTGN) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative medicines for disorders affecting the central nervous system (CNS). The company’s primary objective is to address conditions such as anxiety and depression, along with other related CNS disorders, by advancing a pipeline of novel therapeutic candidates through various stages of clinical development. As a clinical-stage entity, its products are currently undergoing rigorous testing to establish their safety and efficacy.
Vistagen’s lead product candidate is PH94B, a rapid-onset neuroactive nasal spray, which is preparing for Phase III development. Its initial focus is on the acute treatment of anxiety in adults with social anxiety disorder, but it also shows potential for a broader range of anxiety conditions, including post-traumatic stress disorder and panic. Another significant candidate in their pipeline is PH10, also a rapid-onset neuroactive nasal spray, being prepared for Phase 2B clinical development as a stand-alone treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD).
The company's pipeline also features AV-101, an oral N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist. This candidate is under development in combination with probenecid and is being explored for multiple potential indications, including levodopa-induced dyskinesia, major depressive disorder, neuropathic pain, and suicidal ideation. Through these distinct product candidates, Vistagen Therapeutics aims to provide new and effective treatment options for patients facing a variety of significant CNS challenges.
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An early-stage Sage Therapeutics, but specializing in rapid-onset nasal spray medicines for anxiety and depression.
Similar to how GW Pharmaceuticals pioneered cannabinoid-based drugs for epilepsy, Vistagen is pioneering rapid-onset neuroactive nasal spray medicines for anxiety and depression.
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- PH94B: A rapid-onset neuroactive nasal spray in preparation for Phase III development for the acute treatment of anxiety in adults with social anxiety disorder, with potential for other anxiety disorders.
- PH10: A rapid-onset neuroactive nasal spray in preparation for Phase 2B clinical development as a stand-alone treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD).
- AV-101: An oral N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist in development as a potential treatment for levodopa-induced dyskinesia, MDD, neuropathic pain, and suicidal ideation.
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Vistagen Therapeutics (VTGN) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company primarily focused on the research and development of medicines for Central Nervous System (CNS) disorders. Its drug candidates, such as PH94B, PH10, and AV-101, are currently in various phases of clinical development (Phase III, Phase 2B, and earlier development).
Given its stage of development, Vistagen Therapeutics does not currently have major customers in the traditional sense of selling commercialized products or services to other companies or individuals. Its business model at this stage involves advancing its drug pipeline through clinical trials and engaging in partnerships and licensing agreements related to its intellectual property, rather than generating revenue from direct product sales.
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Shawn K. Singh, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Mr. Singh has served as VistaGen's Chief Executive Officer since August 2009 and joined its Board of Directors in 2000. He has nearly 30 years of experience in the biotechnology, pharmaceutical, contract research, and venture capital industries. Prior to his role at VistaGen, Mr. Singh served as President of Artemis Neuroscience, which was acquired by VistaGen. He was also a Managing Principal of Cato BioVentures, a healthcare-focused venture capital firm, and Chief Business Officer and General Counsel of Cato Research Ltd. Earlier, he was Chief Business Officer of SciClone Pharmaceuticals, a public specialty pharmaceuticals company, and assisted with its IPO before co-founding Cato BioVentures. He began his career as a corporate finance attorney at Morrison & Foerster LLP. Mr. Singh also served as CEO of Hemodynamic Therapeutics, Chairman of Durham Pharmaceuticals, and Chairman of Echo Therapeutics. He is also a founding partner, CEO, and general counsel of Clear Sky Advisers.
Nick B. Tressler, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Tressler joined VistaGen as Chief Financial Officer in December 2025. He brings over 20 years of financial leadership experience in the life sciences industry. Previously, he served as CFO of DYNEX Technologies from 2024 to 2025, and prior to that, he was CFO at American Gene Technologies International and Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Mr. Tressler has also held senior finance roles at several biopharmaceutical companies, including Sucampo Pharmaceuticals, which was acquired by Mallinckrodt in 2018, and MedImmune LLC, which was acquired by AstraZeneca PLC in 2007.
H. Ralph Snodgrass, President, Chief Scientific Officer and Founder
Dr. Snodgrass is a co-founder of VistaGen, establishing the company in 1998, and previously served as its CEO. He currently holds the positions of President and Chief Scientific Officer.
Elissa Cote, Chief Corporate Development Officer
Ms. Cote joined VistaGen as Chief Corporate Development Officer in 2025, bringing nearly 30 years of experience in business development and global partnerships. She previously held multiple senior-level roles at Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals, including Chief Strategy and Business Development Officer, where she led business development, licensing, and strategic divestitures. Ms. Cote also held leadership positions at Sucampo Pharmaceuticals and MedImmune Inc., the global biologics division of AstraZeneca PLC. Prior to joining VistaGen, she served as a fractional Chief Business Officer and strategic advisor to several biopharmaceutical clients and was a management consultant with Accenture plc.
Reid Adler, Chief Legal Officer
Mr. Adler joined VistaGen as Chief Legal Officer in May 2022 after serving as outside counsel for several years. His career spans over 35 years in life sciences innovation management. He has experience as a senior partner at international law firms Morrison & Foerster and Morgan Lewis, and served as general counsel to the J. Craig Venter Institute for genomics. Mr. Adler was also the founding director of the NIH Office of Technology Transfer and is the founder of InnovationMatters.
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The key risks to Vistagen Therapeutics (VTGN) are primarily concentrated around its clinical-stage drug development and financial viability:
- Clinical Trial Failures and Regulatory Approval: As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Vistagen's success is critically dependent on the successful completion of clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approval of its product candidates. The company's lead product candidate, fasedienol (PH94B), recently failed to meet its primary endpoint in the PALISADE-3 Phase 3 study for social anxiety disorder, leading to a significant drop in its stock price. This setback highlights the inherent risks in drug development, where there is no guarantee that any of Vistagen's candidates will successfully complete trials, receive regulatory approval, or achieve commercial success. The company is now focusing on the PALISADE-4 Phase 3 trial for fasedienol, with results expected in the first half of 2026.
- Reliance on a Limited Product Pipeline: Vistagen's business is heavily concentrated on a small number of investigational product candidates, including PH94B, PH10, and AV-101, all of which are still in development and none are approved for commercialization. The failure of a single key candidate, such as fasedienol in PALISADE-3, has a substantial negative impact on the company's prospects and financial performance. This limited pipeline exposes the company to significant concentration risk.
- Funding and Liquidity Challenges: The extensive and costly nature of clinical drug development means Vistagen requires substantial ongoing financing to support its research and development activities and execute its business plan. Following the disappointing PALISADE-3 results, Vistagen announced a workforce reduction of approximately 20% to implement cash preservation measures and extend its cash runway into 2027. The need to raise additional capital, potentially through equity offerings, carries the risk of significant dilution for existing shareholders.
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The emergence of psychedelic-assisted therapies (e.g., psilocybin, MDMA) as potentially highly efficacious and rapidly acting treatments for major depressive disorder, social anxiety disorder, post-traumatic stress disorder, and other anxiety disorders poses a clear emerging threat. These therapies, many of which are in late-stage clinical development, represent a different treatment paradigm that could offer more profound and durable effects compared to Vistagen's drug candidates, potentially reducing the overall market for chronic or as-needed pharmacological interventions.
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VistaGen Therapeutics (VTGN) has several product candidates targeting significant addressable markets for central nervous system disorders.
PH94B (Fasedienol)
- Indication: Social Anxiety Disorder (SAD)
- Market Size: The global social anxiety treatment market is estimated to reach $16,104.2 million (or $16.1 billion) by 2030. Another source suggests PH94B targets a potential $500 million to $1 billion market opportunity in Social Anxiety Disorder (SAD). Over 30 million adults in the U.S. are affected by SAD.
- Region: Global and U.S.
PH10 (Itruvone)
- Indication: Major Depressive Disorder (MDD)
- Market Size: The total addressable market for Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) treatment is expected to grow from USD 12,000 million (or $12 billion) in 2025 to USD 15,800 million (or $15.8 billion) by 2035 globally. Across the eight major markets (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and Canada), the MDD market is projected to reach $9.6 billion by 2029, growing from $4.7 billion in 2019. In the 7MM (United States, EU4, and the United Kingdom, and Japan), the MDD market size was approximately USD 7,165 million (or $7.165 billion) in 2023. The U.S. market alone for MDD was approximately USD 5,600 million (or $5.6 billion) in 2023.
- Region: Global, 8 Major Markets (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, Canada), and 7MM (US, EU4, UK, Japan).
AV-101
- Indication: Levodopa-induced Dyskinesia (LID)
- Market Size: The Parkinson's Disease Levodopa-Induced Dyskinesia market was estimated to be approximately USD 1,500 million (or $1.5 billion) in 2023. The total Parkinson's Disease Levodopa-induced Dyskinesia treatment market size in the U.S. was approximately USD 900 million in 2023.
- Region: Global (estimated) and U.S.
- Indication: Major Depressive Disorder (MDD)
- Market Size: (Refer to PH10 for MDD market sizes, as AV-101 is also in development for MDD).
- Region: Global, 8 Major Markets (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, Canada), and 7MM (US, EU4, UK, Japan).
- Indication: Neuropathic Pain
- Market Size: The global neuropathic pain market size was valued at $7.7 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $13.3 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the global market at USD 8.59 billion in 2025, increasing to approximately USD 16.79 billion by 2034. North America held the largest market share of 50% in 2024. In 2024, the neuropathic pain market size was estimated at 7.8 USD Billion and is projected to reach 16.62 USD Billion by 2035.
- Region: Global and North America.
- Indication: Suicidal Ideation
- Market Size: While a specific market size for "suicidal ideation" as a standalone figure is not readily available, the "anti-suicide drugs market" is a relevant proxy. North America is expected to dominate the anti-suicide drugs market with a 39.20% share in 2026. The market for anti-suicide drugs is broad, considering the prevalence of mental health problems, especially mood and depressive disorders that raise the risk of suicide.
- Region: North America (primarily for anti-suicide drugs).
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For Vistagen Therapeutics (NASDAQ: VTGN), key drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are primarily linked to the advancement and potential commercialization of its clinical-stage pipeline candidates and the formation of strategic collaborations:
- Successful Completion of Phase 3 Clinical Trials for PH94B (fasedienol) and Subsequent Regulatory Submission: Vistagen's lead product candidate, fasedienol, is in Phase 3 development for the acute treatment of social anxiety disorder (SAD). Positive top-line results from the ongoing PALISADE-4 Phase 3 trial are expected in the first half of 2026. Successful outcomes from this program, particularly when combined with previous positive results from PALISADE-2, are anticipated to support a New Drug Application (NDA) submission to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for fasedienol. Analysts have projected that fasedienol could achieve peak sales exceeding $1 billion, positioning it as a potential blockbuster therapy and a significant revenue driver upon approval.
- Progression of PH10 (itruvone) into Later-Stage Clinical Development for Major Depressive Disorder (MDD): Vistagen is preparing for Phase 2B clinical development of itruvone as a stand-alone treatment for MDD. PH10 has received FDA Fast Track designation for MDD, which aims to expedite its development and review. Successful advancement through Phase 2B and into later-stage clinical trials would significantly enhance its market potential and represent a crucial step towards future revenue generation.
- Strategic Partnerships and Advancement of AV-101: Vistagen plans to seek strategic partnering support to further advance the clinical development and commercialization of AV-101, an oral N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist. AV-101 has received FDA Fast Track designation for development as both an adjunctive treatment for MDD and a non-opioid treatment for neuropathic pain, highlighting its potential in significant unmet medical needs. The company is currently preparing for Phase 2A development. Securing new licensing agreements or collaborations for AV-101 could generate upfront payments, milestone payments, and future royalties, directly contributing to revenue growth.
- Initiation of U.S. Phase 2 Clinical Development for PH80 (rificilone) in Women's Health: Vistagen is preparing to submit a U.S. Investigational New Drug Application (IND) for PH80 (rificilone) in the first half of 2026. This IND is intended to support further potential Phase 2 clinical development in the U.S. for the treatment of moderate to severe vasomotor symptoms due to menopause. Successful progression into U.S. clinical trials would diversify Vistagen's pipeline and open a new potential market opportunity, laying the groundwork for future revenue.
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Share Issuance
- VistaGen Therapeutics completed a public offering in October 2023, raising approximately $93.5 million to primarily finance its operations.
- The company has an active Open Market Sale Agreement with Jefferies LLC, which allows for the sale of up to $100 million in common stock, with $96.9 million remaining available as of June 2025.
- Between March 31, 2024, and June 30, 2025, the number of common stock shares issued increased from approximately 27.03 million to 29.29 million, reflecting ongoing share issuances.
Inbound Investments
- VistaGen Therapeutics has entered into strategic collaborations that contribute to its capital, including a license and collaboration agreement with AffaMed Therapeutics for fasedienol in Asia and an exclusive negotiation agreement with Fuji Pharma for PH80 in Japan.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for VistaGen Therapeutics have remained relatively low over the past few years, totaling $0.19 million for the fiscal year ended March 2025 and $0.24 million for the twelve months ended December 2025.
- Historically, capital expenditures were $0.06 million in March 2024 and $0.21 million in March 2023.
- These expenditures primarily relate to the purchase of laboratory and other equipment, supporting the company's research and development activities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Vistagen Therapeutics Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Vistagen Therapeutics Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2 |
| Op Inc LTM | -98 |
| FCF LTM | -69 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -71 |
| CFO LTM | -69 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -69 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 63.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 130.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 42.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -26.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -5.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1,778.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -3,413.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -1,523.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -2,739.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1,603.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -2,748.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.70 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/21/2011 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -85.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $0.61 | $1.77 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 14.4% | -60.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 79.8% | 114.1% |
| Downside Capture | 33.64 | 351.09 |
| Upside Capture | 90.64 | 145.49 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 29.3% | 20.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.76 | 1.95 | 1.55 | 2.63 | 2.06 | 1.96 |
| Up Beta | -2.03 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 2.49 | 1.51 | 1.67 |
| Down Beta | -2.82 | -1.95 | 0.24 | 3.70 | 2.14 | 0.91 |
| Up Capture | 274% | 170% | 182% | 37% | 181% | 334% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 30 | 57 | 119 | 343 |
| Down Capture | 590% | 436% | 200% | 325% | 210% | 114% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | 124 | 385 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTGN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTGN | -68.2% | 113.8% | -0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 21.4% | 15.4% | 1.06 | 16.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.2% | 12.4% | 1.26 | 20.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.7% | 0.70 | 2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.8% | 18.6% | 0.92 | -10.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 16.1% | 13.6% | 0.85 | 4.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.7% | 42.5% | -1.27 | 13.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTGN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTGN | -62.5% | 320.0% | 0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.0% | 14.8% | 0.29 | 8.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 9.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 1.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.9% | 0.08 | 8.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.7% | 54.0% | 0.39 | 4.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTGN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTGN | -40.5% | 239.9% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.4% | 16.6% | 0.51 | 8.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 10.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.8% | 16.1% | 0.60 | 0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 3.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 8.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 54.6% | 66.4% | 0.95 | 4.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/25/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/15/2026 | 20.4% | 10.3% | |
| 2/12/2026 | -7.2% | 2.6% | 15.6% |
| 11/13/2025 | 0.0% | 17.1% | 14.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 8.8% | 8.2% | 27.5% |
| 6/17/2025 | -13.4% | -14.7% | 7.1% |
| 2/13/2025 | 4.2% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 0.6% | -12.5% | -17.0% |
| 8/13/2024 | -3.2% | 5.9% | -5.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -8.5% | -17.6% |
| Max Positive | 24.6% | 33.5% | 65.1% |
| Max Negative | -28.7% | -26.3% | -83.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/15/2026 | 20.4% | 10.3% | |
| 2/12/2026 | -7.2% | 2.6% | 15.6% |
| 11/13/2025 | 0.0% | 17.1% | 14.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 8.8% | 8.2% | 27.5% |
| 6/17/2025 | -13.4% | -14.7% | 7.1% |
| 2/13/2025 | 4.2% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 0.6% | -12.5% | -17.0% |
| 8/13/2024 | -3.2% | 5.9% | -5.9% |
| 6/11/2024 | -2.1% | -12.2% | 1.9% |
| 2/13/2024 | 10.0% | -1.7% | -20.0% |
| 11/9/2023 | -11.1% | 14.9% | 49.5% |
| 8/10/2023 | -14.6% | -26.3% | -11.5% |
| 2/7/2023 | -28.7% | -12.7% | -45.1% |
| 11/10/2022 | 24.6% | 12.1% | -8.5% |
| 8/11/2022 | -10.1% | 27.7% | 17.3% |
| 6/23/2022 | -5.4% | -15.4% | -83.0% |
| 2/10/2022 | -2.6% | -4.5% | -26.0% |
| 11/10/2021 | 4.0% | -3.1% | -18.2% |
| 8/12/2021 | 0.7% | -4.7% | 9.8% |
| 2/12/2021 | 4.2% | 33.5% | 19.4% |
| 11/16/2020 | -0.8% | -3.3% | 15.3% |
| 6/30/2020 | 0.9% | -1.3% | 65.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -8.5% | -17.6% |
| Max Positive | 24.6% | 33.5% | 65.1% |
| Max Negative | -28.7% | -26.3% | -83.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 06/15/2026 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 06/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 06/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 06/15/2026 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 06/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 06/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 06/23/2022 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 06/29/2021 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/11/2021 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/12/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/13/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 06/30/2020 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/13/2020 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/07/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/13/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/16/2026Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 6/15/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Cash Runway | |||||||
Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Topline results for PALISADE-4 | |||||||
| 2026 IND submission for refisolone | |||||||
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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