Vera Bradley (VRA)
Market Price (2/6/2026): $2.57 | Market Cap: $71.8 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Footwear
Vera Bradley (VRA)
Market Price (2/6/2026): $2.57Market Cap: $71.8 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Footwear
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -52 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -140% | ||
| Key risksVRA key risks include [1] failing to predict and respond to fashion trends and [2] alienating its loyal customer base with its rebranding efforts. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -52 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -140% |
| Key risksVRA key risks include [1] failing to predict and respond to fashion trends and [2] alienating its loyal customer base with its rebranding efforts. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Vera Bradley (VRA) stock has gained about 10% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Narrowed Net Loss and Exceeded Revenue Forecasts
Vera Bradley (VRA) reported its third-quarter fiscal year 2026 results on December 11, 2025, revealing a narrower net loss compared to the previous year. Although total revenue experienced an 11.7% year-over-year decline, it surpassed revenue forecasts, signaling better-than-anticipated financial performance amid ongoing turnaround efforts.
2. Sequential Improvement in Sales and Project Sunshine Momentum
The company highlighted sequential improvements in direct channel sales and achieved positive comparable sales in its brand channels for five consecutive months. This indicated positive traction and growing momentum from Vera Bradley's "Project Sunshine" strategic transformation initiatives. Additionally, pilot results from "Outlet 2.0" stores showed improved profitability per customer and favorable customer acceptance of new product assortments.
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1. Narrowed Net Loss and Exceeded Revenue Forecasts
Vera Bradley (VRA) reported its third-quarter fiscal year 2026 results on December 11, 2025, revealing a narrower net loss compared to the previous year. Although total revenue experienced an 11.7% year-over-year decline, it surpassed revenue forecasts, signaling better-than-anticipated financial performance amid ongoing turnaround efforts.
2. Sequential Improvement in Sales and Project Sunshine Momentum
The company highlighted sequential improvements in direct channel sales and achieved positive comparable sales in its brand channels for five consecutive months. This indicated positive traction and growing momentum from Vera Bradley's "Project Sunshine" strategic transformation initiatives. Additionally, pilot results from "Outlet 2.0" stores showed improved profitability per customer and favorable customer acceptance of new product assortments.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.4% change in VRA stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.35 | 2.57 | 9.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 333 | 324 | -2.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.2 | 12.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 28 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VRA | 9.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -0.7% | 17.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.0% | 20.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.2% change in VRA stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 46.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.93 | 2.57 | 33.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 356 | 324 | -8.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.2 | 46.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 28 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.2% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VRA | 33.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.5% | 14.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 6.3% | 20.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.3% change in VRA stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.74 | 2.57 | -31.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 366 | 324 | -11.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.2 | -22.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 28 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VRA | -31.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.6% | 31.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.9% | 35.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -56.8% change in VRA stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -39.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.95 | 2.57 | -56.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 502 | 324 | -35.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.2 | -39.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 28 | 11.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -56.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VRA | -56.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 72.9% | 30.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 61.8% | 33.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VRA Return | 7% | -47% | 70% | -49% | -38% | 14% | -65% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -23% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 0% | 56% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VRA Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 67% | 33% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 38% | 48% | 55% | 53% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VRA Max Drawdown | -3% | -66% | 0% | -57% | -56% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -45% | -24% | -26% | -33% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TPR, CPRI, PVH, RL, VFC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VRA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -78.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 365.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 264.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 424 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -52.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to TPR, CPRI, PVH, RL, VFC
In The Past
Vera Bradley's stock fell -78.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -78.5% loss requires a 365.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Vera Bradley (VRA)
Vera Bradley, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells women's handbags, luggage and travel items, fashion and home accessories, and gifts. It operates through three segments: Vera Bradley Direct, Vera Bradley Indirect, and Pura Vida. The company offers bag products, such as totes, crossbodies, satchels, clutches, backpacks, baby bags, and lunch bags; accessories, including wallets, wristlets, eyeglass cases, scarves, and various technology accessories; bracelets, rings, and necklaces under Pura Vida brand name; and travel products consisting of rolling luggage, cosmetics, and travel and packing accessories, as well as travel bags comprising duffel and weekend bags. It also provides home products that include throw blankets, beach towels, and comforters, as well as items, such as mugs and tumblers; apparel/footwear comprising sleepwear, footwear, cotton face masks, outerwear, socks, and scarves; and stationery and merchandising products, as well as freight, licensing, and gift card breakage services. The company sells its Vera Bradley branded products through its full-line and factory outlet stores in the United States; and verabradley.com, an online outlet site, as well as its annual outlet sale in Fort Wayne, Indiana. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 70 full-line and 75 factory outlet stores. The company sells its Pura Vida branded products through wholesale retailers, as well as through Pura Vida websites, including www.puravidabracelets.com, www.puravidabracelets.eu, and www.puravidabracelets.ca. It also sells its Vera Bradley branded products to approximately 1,800 specialty retail locations, department stores, national accounts, third party e-commerce sites, and third-party inventory liquidators, as well as through licensing agreements. Vera Bradley, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Roanoke, Indiana.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Vera Bradley:
- Lilly Pulitzer for bags and travel accessories.
- A more casual, quilted version of Kate Spade.
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```html- Handbags: A variety of styles including totes, satchels, and crossbody bags, often featuring their signature quilted cotton and vibrant patterns.
- Travel Bags: A wide range of luggage, duffels, and cosmetic bags designed for travel and organization.
- Accessories: Smaller items such as wallets, wristlets, keychains, and eyewear designed to complement their main product lines.
- Home and Gift Items: Products like throws, blankets, stationery, and other decorative or gift-appropriate merchandise.
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Vera Bradley (symbol: VRA) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its own retail stores (full-line and outlet), its e-commerce website (verabradley.com), and select third-party e-commerce platforms. While they do have some wholesale distribution, the majority of their sales are direct-to-consumer.
Therefore, its major customers are individual shoppers. The company serves the following categories of customers:
- Brand Enthusiasts & Loyalists: These customers are deeply connected to the Vera Bradley brand, appreciating its unique quilted patterns, vibrant designs, and distinct aesthetic. They often collect items, are repeat purchasers, and eagerly anticipate new product and pattern releases. This category values the brand's heritage and specific design language.
- Gift Givers: A significant portion of Vera Bradley's sales comes from individuals purchasing items as gifts for friends, family, or loved ones. The brand's products are popular choices for birthdays, holidays, graduations, and other special occasions due to their perceived quality, distinctive look, and broad appeal.
- Practical & Stylish Shoppers: This category includes individuals seeking functional, durable, and organized bags, accessories, and travel items for everyday use, work, school, or travel. While they appreciate the unique patterns, their primary motivation is the utility, comfort, and organizational features of Vera Bradley products that help them manage their daily lives with a touch of personal style.
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Ian Bickley, Executive Chairman
Mr. Bickley assumed the role of Executive Chairman in June 2025, also serving as interim CEO during the search for a permanent replacement for the departing CEO. He has extensive executive experience, notably with Tapestry, Inc. (formerly Coach, Inc.), where he was a key leader in global expansion, growing international sales from less than $20 million to over $2 billion as President of the International Group. Mr. Bickley also served as Interim CEO of The Body Shop, where he successfully completed the sale of the company. He currently serves as an independent director on the Boards of Crocs, Inc. and Brilliant Earth.
Martin Layding, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Layding was appointed Chief Financial Officer in June 2025. He brings nearly 10 years of retail finance experience, including divisional CFO roles at Tapestry's Coach brand. He has also served as CFO for several private equity-backed firms, notably for the Supreme brand during Carlyle's involvement.
Mark Dely, Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
Mr. Dely joined Vera Bradley in August 2016. Before this, from January 2013 to July 2016, he was Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel, and Secretary of Fred's, Inc., a publicly-traded retailer. He also served as Vice President and Divisional General Counsel for the Franchise Services Group at The ServiceMaster Company from July 2007 to December 2012, where he gained international and franchise experience.
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The key risks to Vera Bradley's business include the inability to predict and respond to changes in consumer demand and fashion trends, intense competition, and adverse economic conditions impacting consumer discretionary spending.
- Inability to Predict and Respond to Changes in Consumer Demand and Fashion Trends: Vera Bradley faces significant risk from its inability to accurately predict and respond to shifts in consumer demand and fashion trends. This can lead to excess inventories, missed sales opportunities, and negatively impact net revenues. The company's recent rebranding efforts have, at times, alienated loyal customers, resulting in sales declines and financial losses.
- Intense Competition: Vera Bradley operates in a highly competitive market for bags, accessories, and other lifestyle products. The company competes with numerous brands, including Fossil Group, Tapestry (owner of Coach and Kate Spade), Ralph Lauren, and others. This intense competition could adversely affect Vera Bradley's financial condition and cash flows as it strives to differentiate its products and maintain market share.
- Adverse Economic Conditions Impacting Consumer Discretionary Spending: The demand for Vera Bradley's products, which are largely discretionary, is highly sensitive to general economic conditions. Factors such as changes in economic conditions, political uncertainty, and global trade policies, including tariffs, can negatively impact consumer confidence and spending. This can lead to reduced purchases of non-essential items, thereby affecting Vera Bradley's profitability and growth strategies.
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The proliferation of digitally native direct-to-consumer (DTC) brands offering accessories and bags that cater to evolving consumer preferences for minimalist aesthetics, sustainable materials, or highly specialized designs. These agile brands leverage social media and e-commerce to quickly gain market share, directly competing for Vera Bradley's core demographic and eroding its traditional market position.
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Vera Bradley (VRA) operates within several addressable markets for its main products and services, primarily focusing on women's accessories.
- Handbags: The U.S. handbag market was valued at over USD 12 billion in 2023. The North American handbag market size was valued at USD 13.78 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 27.96 billion by 2032.
- Luggage and Travel Items: The luggage market in the United States is predicted to reach approximately US$ 10,119.2 million in 2024. The U.S. travel bag market size is expected to reach $5.8 billion by 2030. The North American luggage market is valued at USD 9.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 15.1 billion by 2035.
- Fashion Accessories (General, includes handbags): The U.S. fashion accessories market generated a revenue of USD 222,074.1 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 342,988.5 million by 2030. Another projection indicates the U.S. Fashion Accessories Market is expected to reach USD 477.4 billion by 2034, up from USD 223.2 billion in 2024. Globally, the fashion accessories market size was estimated at USD 798.81 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1259.43 billion by 2030.
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Vera Bradley (VRA) is implementing several strategic initiatives aimed at driving future revenue growth over the next two to three years, despite a currently challenging financial outlook and analyst forecasts for near-term revenue declines. These anticipated drivers focus on brand transformation, enhanced customer engagement, and channel optimization. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth: * Project Restoration and Brand Repositioning: Vera Bradley has launched "Project Restoration," a comprehensive strategic initiative aimed at transforming the company's business model and brand positioning. This project seeks to address product style and functionality issues and is expected to be a key element in returning to stable growth. * New Product Launches and Marketing Campaigns: The company is focusing on new products and marketing efforts to attract customers and increase engagement. For example, the "Don't Forget to Have Fun" campaign has driven significant increases in Instagram and TikTok followers and a 23% increase in new customers on vb.com within six weeks of its launch, indicating potential for customer acquisition and sales growth from these initiatives. * Wholesale Strategy Refinement and Retail Expansion: Vera Bradley is refining its wholesale strategy, including expanding partnerships with major retailers, rebuilding specialty accounts, and developing new relationships with retailers such as Anthropologie. These efforts aim to broaden the brand's reach and drive sales through diversified distribution channels. * Enhancement of Outlet Store Performance and "Outlet 2.0": New outlet stores have shown promising sales performance, and the company is piloting an "Outlet 2.0" concept to enhance store experiences and productivity. The success of these initiatives could contribute to revenue growth from the brick-and-mortar segment. * Growth in Digital Channels: Despite overall sales challenges, Vera Bradley anticipates continued improvement in its digital channels. The focus on e-commerce and digital engagement is expected to offset some of the declines in other areas and contribute to future revenue.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Vera Bradley repurchased approximately $21.8 million of its common stock during fiscal year 2025 (ended February 1, 2025).
- The company repurchased approximately $783,830 and $291,390 in fiscal years 2023 and 2024, respectively.
- A new $30.0 million share repurchase authorization has been approved by the Board of Directors, which the company anticipates utilizing in the future.
Outbound Investments
- On January 30, 2023, Vera Bradley acquired the remaining 25% interest in Pura Vida Bracelets for $10 million in cash.
Capital Expenditures
- Net capital spending for fiscal year 2025 totaled $10.4 million, primarily for new store openings and investments related to Project Restoration.
- Capital expenditures were $3.8 million in fiscal year 2024 and $8.24 million in fiscal year 2023.
- Expected net capital spending for fiscal year 2026 is approximately $4 million, focusing on technology and infrastructure investments.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Vera Bradley Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can Vera Bradley Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| Rev LTM | 7,674 |
| Op Inc LTM | 584 |
| FCF LTM | 376 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 556 |
| CFO LTM | 525 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 736 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 15.9 |
| P/E | 15.7 |
| P/CFO | 10.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -13.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -25.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -95.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vera Bradley (VB) Direct | 310 | 328 | 355 | 289 | 347 |
| Pura Vida Bracelets (Pura Vida) | 87 | 98 | 120 | 112 | 66 |
| Vera Bradley (VB) Indirect | 74 | 73 | 66 | 67 | 82 |
| Total | 471 | 500 | 540 | 468 | 495 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vera Bradley (VB) Direct | 62 | 51 | 74 | 49 | 69 |
| Vera Bradley (VB) Indirect | 24 | 23 | 20 | 25 | 31 |
| Pura Vida Bracelets (Pura Vida) | -2 | -79 | 10 | 8 | -3 |
| Unallocated corporate expenses | -73 | -90 | -76 | -68 | -77 |
| Total | 10 | -95 | 27 | 13 | 19 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.57 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/21/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -30.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.51 | $2.24 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 2.3% | 14.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 104.0% | 94.9% |
| Downside Capture | -6.47 | 224.23 |
| Upside Capture | 46.40 | 161.31 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.4% | 30.7% |
VRA Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.31 | -0.35 | 1.45 | 1.06 | 1.54 | 1.34 |
| Up Beta | 1.99 | 7.70 | 2.13 | 0.26 | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Down Beta | 4.04 | 1.05 | 3.38 | 2.45 | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Up Capture | 71% | -260% | 50% | 88% | 226% | 112% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 18 | 27 | 51 | 103 | 345 |
| Down Capture | 122% | -281% | 46% | 52% | 154% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 22 | 31 | 69 | 139 | 385 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VRA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VRA | -25.7% | 94.8% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 2.1% | 24.3% | 0.03 | 35.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 19.3% | 0.54 | 31.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 69.7% | 24.7% | 2.11 | -5.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 16.6% | 0.24 | 1.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 16.5% | 0.09 | 17.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -26.6% | 40.5% | -0.66 | 19.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VRA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VRA | -20.4% | 60.3% | -0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.6% | 23.8% | 0.32 | 38.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.4% | 17.0% | 0.67 | 37.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.8% | 16.9% | 1.01 | 0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 7.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 29.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 16.0% | 57.4% | 0.49 | 16.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VRA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VRA | -15.5% | 59.6% | -0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.6% | 21.9% | 0.57 | 38.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 36.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.4% | 15.5% | 0.83 | -2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 17.6% | 0.37 | 11.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.26 | 35.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.0% | 66.5% | 1.08 | 13.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/11/2025 | -7.9% | -10.1% | -11.4% |
| 6/11/2025 | -19.1% | -0.4% | -8.1% |
| 3/12/2025 | -3.1% | -3.1% | -17.5% |
| 12/11/2024 | -11.9% | -27.9% | -32.5% |
| 9/11/2024 | -4.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| 6/12/2024 | -17.2% | -22.3% | -16.3% |
| 3/13/2024 | -13.4% | -12.2% | -8.3% |
| 12/6/2023 | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| # Negative | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 7.8% | 13.3% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -10.2% | -11.2% | -16.8% |
| Max Positive | 32.0% | 43.6% | 24.6% |
| Max Negative | -19.1% | -40.2% | -33.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2025 | 12/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/29/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meslow, Andrew | Direct | Buy | 12152025 | 1.98 | 250,000 | 493,750 | 1,086,250 | Form | |
| 2 | Meslow, Andrew | Direct | Buy | 12152025 | 1.93 | 50,000 | 96,455 | 1,157,460 | Form | |
| 3 | Bickley, Ian | Direct | Buy | 12152025 | 1.94 | 53,000 | 103,032 | 1,636,127 | Form | |
| 4 | Meslow, Andrew | Direct | Buy | 6132025 | 1.88 | 253,094 | 474,551 | 562,500 | Form | |
| 5 | Bickley, Ian | Direct | Buy | 6132025 | 1.86 | 53,722 | 99,923 | 174,148 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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