Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -47 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -163%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -47 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -163%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VRA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The 16.9% decline in Vera Bradley (VRA) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Poor Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results: Vera Bradley announced its second-quarter fiscal year 2026 results on September 11, 2025, reporting a revenue of $70.86 million, which fell short of analysts' expectations of $78.52 million. The company also experienced a 25% year-over-year revenue decline and a 17.3% drop in comparable sales, alongside a net loss of $4.7 million.

2. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Downgrades: During the period, analyst sentiment was generally weak. While Zacks Research upgraded VRA from "strong sell" to "hold" in August, Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell" rating in October, and Wall Street Zen downgraded the stock from "hold" to "sell" in late October.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VRA Return-33%7%-47%70%-49%-36%-79%
Peers Return-7%14%-36%6%61%10%27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VRA Win Rate42%67%42%67%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate25%47%32%42%43%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VRA Max Drawdown-73%-3%-66%0%-57%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-3%-41%-21%-15%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WWW, WEYS, FOSL, FWDI, ONON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVRAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven365.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven264.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven424 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to WWW, WEYS, FOSL, FWDI, ONON


In The Past

Vera Bradley's stock fell -78.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -78.5% loss requires a 365.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vera Bradley (VRA)

Better Bets than Vera Bradley (VRA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VRA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vera Bradley

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VRAWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIONONMedian
NameVera Bra.Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward .On  
Mkt Price2.4217.4631.793.758.5147.0712.98
Mkt Cap0.11.40.30.2-30.00.3
Rev LTM3031,8522811,084272,718693
Op Inc LTM-471413319-529626
FCF LTM-345433-48-234815
FCF 3Y Avg118044-12-017723
CFO LTM-247634-43-241616
CFO 3Y Avg820247-3-024327

Growth & Margins

VRAWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIONONMedian
NameVera Bra.Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward .On  
Rev Chg LTM-26.1%3.6%-6.4%-15.3%5.6%35.7%-1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-15.6%-10.6%-3.6%-16.2%-13.5%43.6%-12.0%
Rev Chg Q-24.6%6.8%-8.9%-15.2%-50.5%32.0%-12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.1%1.7%-2.0%-3.5%-8.6%7.2%-2.8%
Op Mgn LTM-15.6%7.6%11.6%1.7%-19.0%10.9%4.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.9%3.4%12.6%-2.0%-6.9%9.6%0.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.3%0.6%-0.7%3.0%-8.7%1.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.0%4.1%12.2%-4.0%-6.8%15.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%9.8%15.2%-0.3%-0.7%9.9%5.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.1%2.9%11.6%-4.4%-6.9%12.8%-0.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.0%8.7%14.5%-0.9%-0.9%6.5%2.8%

Valuation

VRAWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIONONMedian
NameVera Bra.Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward .On  
Mkt Cap0.11.40.30.2-30.00.3
P/S0.21.21.10.1-12.21.1
P/EBIT-1.315.68.9-1.9-214.28.9
P/E-0.625.212.1-1.3-243.812.1
P/CFO-2.529.49.1-1.8-79.69.1
Total Yield-158.6%5.4%17.5%-74.9%-0.4%0.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%9.3%0.0%-0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.7%20.5%15.6%-6.7%-0.6%0.6%
D/E1.40.40.04.1-0.00.4
Net D/E1.10.3-0.22.7--0.00.3

Returns

VRAWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIONONMedian
NameVera Bra.Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward .On  
1M Rtn0.8%-21.8%19.0%82.0%-29.1%19.0%
3M Rtn15.2%-44.2%13.2%15.4%-5.1%13.2%
6M Rtn9.0%5.8%8.3%145.1%--18.9%8.3%
12M Rtn-57.1%-24.7%-2.1%77.7%--20.9%-20.9%
3Y Rtn-39.3%71.5%50.0%-18.8%-140.0%50.0%
1M Excs Rtn0.9%-21.8%19.0%82.1%-29.1%19.0%
3M Excs Rtn5.7%-50.6%2.7%4.3%--3.1%2.7%
6M Excs Rtn-5.7%-8.9%-6.5%130.4%--33.6%-6.5%
12M Excs Rtn-72.2%-36.7%-15.8%143.3%--32.9%-32.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-105.2%1.6%-18.7%-91.1%-81.5%-18.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Vera Bradley (VB) Direct310328355289347
Pura Vida Bracelets (Pura Vida)879812011266
Vera Bradley (VB) Indirect7473666782
Total471500540468495


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Vera Bradley (VB) Direct6251744969
Vera Bradley (VB) Indirect2423202531
Pura Vida Bracelets (Pura Vida)-2-79108-3
Unallocated corporate expenses-73-90-76-68-77
Total10-95271319


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,312,786
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.9%
Average Daily Volume188,285
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.97
Basic Shares Quantity27,935,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025911202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025611202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025328202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241211202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024911202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024612202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024329202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023328202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211208202110-Q 10/30/2021