Tearsheet

Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.76 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs

Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.76
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Diversified REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 149%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 20%
  Key risks
ESRT key risks include [1] heavy portfolio concentration in Manhattan with significant financial dependence on the Empire State Building, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include ESG REITs, Green Building Certification, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 20%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include ESG REITs, Green Building Certification, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 149%
6 Key risks
ESRT key risks include [1] heavy portfolio concentration in Manhattan with significant financial dependence on the Empire State Building, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ESRT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT) experienced a stock decline of 10.7% due to several key factors: 1. Negative Investor Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings

Despite Empire State Realty Trust reporting third-quarter 2025 revenues of $197.73 million, surpassing analyst forecasts of $192.67 million, the stock still saw a significant decline of 5.71% following the earnings announcement on October 30, 2025, indicating mixed investor sentiment. 2. Persistent Challenges in the Office REIT Sector

The broader commercial real estate market in 2025, particularly the office REIT sector, continued to face headwinds. Office REITs were identified as the weakest link in the market, burdened by low occupancy rates and subdued market conditions. The national office vacancy rate climbed to a new record high of 20.4% in Q1 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ESRT Return-31%-4%-23%46%8%-31%-44%
Peers Return-32%17%-40%22%30%-4%-28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ESRT Win Rate25%50%50%58%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate40%60%35%52%60%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ESRT Max Drawdown-60%-7%-27%-18%-8%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-7%-43%-35%-15%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SLG, VNO, BXP, PGRE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventESRTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven165.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to WPC, ALEX, CTO, OLP, EPRT


In The Past

Empire State Realty Trust's stock fell -57.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -57.1% loss requires a 132.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT)

Better Bets than Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ESRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
ESRT_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018ESRTEmpire State Realty TrustDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%0.9%-7.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
ESRT_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018ESRTEmpire State Realty TrustDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%0.9%-7.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Empire State Realty Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ESRTSLGVNOBXPPGREMedian
NameEmpire S.SL Green.Vornado .BXP Paramount 
Mkt Price6.7744.5633.4669.546.5933.46
Mkt Cap1.13.16.411.01.53.1
Rev LTM7669101,8153,464723910
Op Inc LTM1431412781,022106143
FCF LTM2651131,3181,221171265
FCF 3Y Avg2491478461,248233249
CFO LTM2651131,3181,221171265
CFO 3Y Avg2491478461,248233249

Growth & Margins

ESRTSLGVNOBXPPGREMedian
NameEmpire S.SL Green.Vornado .BXP Paramount 
Rev Chg LTM1.0%7.4%2.4%2.5%-5.3%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.8%5.3%0.8%4.3%-0.7%3.8%
Rev Chg Q1.5%4.0%2.4%1.4%-11.3%1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%1.0%0.6%0.4%-2.9%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM18.6%15.5%15.3%29.5%14.7%15.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.5%9.8%15.5%30.6%17.7%17.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-2.3%0.0%-0.3%-2.0%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM34.6%12.4%72.7%35.3%23.7%34.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.1%15.6%46.8%37.2%31.3%33.1%
FCF/Rev LTM34.6%12.4%72.7%35.3%23.7%34.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.1%15.6%46.8%37.2%31.3%33.1%

Valuation

ESRTSLGVNOBXPPGREMedian
NameEmpire S.SL Green.Vornado .BXP Paramount 
Mkt Cap1.13.16.411.01.53.1
P/S1.74.64.33.42.03.4
P/EBIT7.716.06.023.026.516.0
P/E33.2164.48.6-58.7-14.88.6
P/CFO4.937.45.99.68.48.4
Total Yield4.8%0.6%13.4%1.2%-6.8%1.2%
Dividend Yield1.8%0.0%1.8%2.9%0.0%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.3%4.7%13.3%11.3%20.9%13.3%
D/E1.61.21.01.52.61.5
Net D/E1.51.10.91.42.31.4

Returns

ESRTSLGVNOBXPPGREMedian
NameEmpire S.SL Green.Vornado .BXP Paramount 
1M Rtn-0.1%0.3%1.1%0.6%0.6%0.6%
3M Rtn-9.4%-26.7%-18.8%-8.2%0.9%-9.4%
6M Rtn-20.3%-29.2%-17.4%-0.7%4.1%-17.4%
12M Rtn-37.7%-36.6%-25.3%-8.9%33.1%-25.3%
3Y Rtn5.2%61.7%61.5%23.4%17.5%23.4%
1M Excs Rtn-0.8%-0.4%0.4%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
3M Excs Rtn-12.6%-29.6%-21.5%-11.1%-0.9%-12.6%
6M Excs Rtn-32.6%-41.6%-29.8%-13.1%-8.3%-29.8%
12M Excs Rtn-49.5%-48.1%-34.9%-19.5%23.4%-34.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-64.5%-15.2%-13.7%-45.7%-52.9%-45.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate689686606598685
Observatory1291064229129
Third-party management and other fees1    
Intersegment Elimination-81-65-23-18-82
Total740727624609731


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate3,9583,9094,0373,9043,671
Observatory262254245247261
Intersegment Elimination00   
Total4,2194,1644,2824,1513,932


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,860,291
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.6%
Average Daily Volume1,142,998
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.13
Basic Shares Quantity169,250,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-6.0%-4.3%-7.5%
7/23/2025-7.1%-7.8%-8.1%
2/19/2025-2.9%-0.3%-8.6%
10/21/2024-0.3%-3.5%-2.8%
7/24/2024-1.2%0.9%-5.5%
2/20/20241.0%2.9%2.0%
10/25/20238.0%11.1%15.0%
7/26/20234.0%8.7%-0.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12108
# Negative91113
Median Positive2.4%3.5%8.0%
Median Negative-2.9%-3.9%-7.5%
Max Positive8.0%18.7%77.7%
Max Negative-7.1%-12.1%-38.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
63020241008202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Durels Thomas P.EVP, Real Estate3252025Sell8.035,77946,405449,905Form
1Durels Thomas P.EVP, Real Estate3212025Sell8.1112,500101,375602,630Form
2Durels Thomas P.EVP, Real Estate12272024Sell10.1010,000101,000876,751Form