Tearsheet

Xometry (XMTR)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $58.62 | Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Xometry (XMTR)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $58.62
Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -48 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 258x
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 97%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4%
5   Short seller report
Culper Research report on 2/1/2023.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -48 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.5%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 258x
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 97%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4%
9 Short seller report
Culper Research report on 2/1/2023.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XMTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Xometry (XMTR) experienced significant movement between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025. This period saw a notable increase, particularly around early November, driven by strong quarterly results and positive analyst sentiment. Here are the key points for why Xometry's stock moved by approximately 18% during this period: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.** Xometry reported record third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, with revenue increasing 28% year-over-year to $181 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $168.25 million. The company's marketplace revenue growth accelerated to 31% year-over-year, and gross profit increased 29% year-over-year to a record $72.0 million. Adjusted EBITDA also significantly improved to $6.1 million, compared to a $0.6 million loss in Q3 2024. **2. Positive Market Reaction to Earnings and Raised Guidance.** Following the Q3 2025 earnings announcement on November 4, 2025, Xometry's stock surged significantly, with some reports indicating an intraday jump of nearly 28%. This positive reaction was fueled by the strong quarterly performance and the company raising its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $676-$678 million and Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $16-$17 million. **3. Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets.** Several financial firms reacted positively to Xometry's performance. For example, on November 5, 2025, Citizens JMP increased their price objective from $65.00 to $75.00 with a "market outperform" rating, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted their target price from $55.00 to $70.00 with an "overweight" rating. Wedbush also raised its price objective to $70.00 with an "outperform" rating. **4. Strategic Expansion and Platform Enhancements.** During this period, Xometry continued to expand its manufacturing capabilities and implemented strategic growth initiatives. This included the launch of an innovative mobile app named Workcenter to enhance efficiency for its supplier network and the expansion of its auto-quote service for injection molding in the U.S. These advancements in its AI-powered marketplace and cloud-based services were highlighted as key drivers for streamlining the manufacturing industry and contributing to growth. **5. Recognition as a Fast-Growing Company.** Xometry was recognized as one of North America's Fastest-Growing Companies on the 2025 Deloitte Technology Fast 500™ List on November 19, 2025. This recognition likely contributed to positive investor sentiment and highlighted the company's strong growth trajectory in the technology sector.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XMTR Return---37%11%19%37%14%
Peers Return26%36%-10%40%9%6%149%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XMTR Win Rate-17%50%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%50%28%50%48%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XMTR Max Drawdown---46%-61%-69%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-2%-25%-6%-8%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXMTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven594.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST


In The Past

Xometry's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 594.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Xometry (XMTR)

Better Bets than Xometry (XMTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to XMTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Xometry

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XMTRWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameXometry Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Mkt Price58.39347.9852.88807.74249.5241.75153.96
Mkt Cap3.013.210.451.849.147.930.5
Rev LTM6437,4145,97215,98630,7627,9987,706
Op Inc LTM-487347004,0092,6831,6161,175
FCF LTM-14517-1,8204501,603965484
FCF 3Y Avg-40540-1,7174461,7951,069493
CFO LTM115491,6204,9821,9081,2101,415
CFO 3Y Avg-205731,5334,8122,1681,2791,406

Growth & Margins

XMTRWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameXometry Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Rev Chg LTM22.4%-0.7%5.9%6.7%3.8%6.9%6.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.5%1.0%0.5%13.2%2.5%5.5%4.0%
Rev Chg Q27.5%-4.3%3.7%5.9%6.9%11.7%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.5%-1.2%1.0%1.5%1.8%2.9%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-7.5%9.9%11.7%25.1%8.7%20.2%10.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-12.9%10.2%16.6%26.5%9.0%20.4%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.1%-0.6%-0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM1.7%7.4%27.1%31.2%6.2%15.1%11.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.6%7.7%26.5%32.2%7.2%16.9%12.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.1%7.0%-30.5%2.8%5.2%12.1%4.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.4%7.3%-29.6%2.9%6.0%14.2%4.5%

Valuation

XMTRWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameXometry Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Mkt Cap3.013.210.451.849.147.930.5
P/S4.32.11.93.81.47.02.9
P/EBIT-47.620.917.915.016.434.717.2
P/E-44.029.348.124.223.145.926.8
P/CFO257.827.96.912.322.546.525.2
Total Yield-2.3%6.4%2.4%4.9%4.3%3.9%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.0%0.3%0.7%0.0%1.7%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.4%3.4%-14.2%0.9%-2.7%0.9%
D/E0.10.00.70.20.10.00.1
Net D/E0.0-0.00.50.20.10.00.1

Returns

XMTRWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameXometry Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
1M Rtn-6.8%-2.9%-1.3%-5.1%1.9%1.1%-2.1%
3M Rtn18.8%-13.0%-9.3%-16.1%5.2%-16.5%-11.1%
6M Rtn65.4%-20.2%-15.9%16.0%17.1%2.0%9.0%
12M Rtn81.3%-33.5%-27.7%-6.1%13.9%3.8%-1.2%
3Y Rtn33.1%46.6%-17.4%141.3%-76.9%46.6%
1M Excs Rtn-8.0%-4.2%-2.6%-6.3%0.6%-0.2%-3.4%
3M Excs Rtn11.7%-20.0%-17.0%-22.8%-0.7%-18.3%-17.6%
6M Excs Rtn50.0%-35.6%-31.3%0.5%1.7%-13.5%-6.5%
12M Excs Rtn72.3%-47.6%-39.3%-18.3%5.2%-10.2%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.3%-33.4%-87.3%70.1%-5.8%-32.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,496,738
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.9%
Average Daily Volume1,082,867
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.08
Basic Shares Quantity50,920,588
Short % of Basic Shares10.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021318202210-K 12/31/2021