Xometry (XMTR)
Market Price (7/9/2026): $89.52 | Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Xometry (XMTR)
Market Price (7/9/2026): $89.52Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -35 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.8% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 190x Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 158% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3% Short seller report Key risksXMTR key risks include [1] an ongoing inability to achieve GAAP profitability and [2] a limited market share in a highly competitive environment. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -35 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 190x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 158% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3% |
| Short seller report |
| Key risksXMTR key risks include [1] an ongoing inability to achieve GAAP profitability and [2] a limited market share in a highly competitive environment. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Xometry (XMTR) stock has gained about 120% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Xometry significantly surpassed analyst expectations in its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, released on May 6, 2026. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.12, a 140% beat over the consensus estimate of $0.05. Additionally, revenue reached $205 million, exceeding forecasts by 8.77% and representing a 36% year-over-year increase, with marketplace revenue growing 40% year-over-year.
2. Xometry demonstrated a strong improvement in profitability, achieving adjusted EBITDA of $10.5 million in fiscal Q1 2026. This marks a substantial increase from $0.1 million in fiscal Q1 2025 and represents the fourth consecutive quarter of expanding EBITDA margins, indicating a clear path to sustained profitability.
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Xometry (XMTR) stock has gained about 120% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Xometry significantly surpassed analyst expectations in its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, released on May 6, 2026. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.12, a 140% beat over the consensus estimate of $0.05. Additionally, revenue reached $205 million, exceeding forecasts by 8.77% and representing a 36% year-over-year increase, with marketplace revenue growing 40% year-over-year.
2. Xometry demonstrated a strong improvement in profitability, achieving adjusted EBITDA of $10.5 million in fiscal Q1 2026. This marks a substantial increase from $0.1 million in fiscal Q1 2025 and represents the fourth consecutive quarter of expanding EBITDA margins, indicating a clear path to sustained profitability.
3. A major strategic partnership with Siemens, including a $50 million equity investment, provided a significant boost to investor confidence. Announced on May 7, 2026, this collaboration will embed Xometry's AI-powered manufacturing capabilities directly within the Siemens Xcelerator platform, expanding Xometry's reach and validating its technology.
4. Following the strong fiscal Q1 2026 performance and the Siemens partnership, Xometry raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance. The company increased its outlook for full-year 2026 revenue growth to 27-28% from a previous target of at least 21%, driven by an anticipated 30% marketplace growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 119.2% change in XMTR stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 105.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 40.84 | 89.52 | 119.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 687 | 741 | 7.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.1 | 6.3 | 105.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51 | 52 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 119.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XMTR | 119.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.6% | 21.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.6% | 4.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 50.5% change in XMTR stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 59.47 | 89.52 | 50.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 643 | 741 | 15.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.7 | 6.3 | 33.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51 | 52 | -1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 50.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XMTR | 50.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.6% | 31.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 16.6% | 18.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 164.9% change in XMTR stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 111.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.79 | 89.52 | 164.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 574 | 741 | 29.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.0 | 6.3 | 111.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 50 | 52 | -3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 164.9% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XMTR | 164.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 21.7% | 24.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 23.6% | 18.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 322.6% change in XMTR stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 150.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.18 | 89.52 | 322.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 403 | 741 | 84.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.5 | 6.3 | 150.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 52 | -8.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 322.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XMTR | 322.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.1% | 37.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 75.1% | 35.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XMTR Return | -41% | -37% | 11% | 19% | 39% | 57% | 7% |
| Peers Return | 19% | -56% | 20% | -29% | -6% | 35% | -43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XMTR Win Rate | 14% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 53% | 36% | 47% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XMTR Max Drawdown | - | -53% | -69% | -69% | -55% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -71% | -64% | -53% | -53% | -46% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PRLB, SSYS, DDD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | XMTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Xometry's stock fell -47.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 92.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | XMTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Xometry's stock fell -47.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 92.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Xometry (XMTR)
Xometry, Inc. operates a global online marketplace that revolutionizes how companies source custom-manufactured parts and assemblies. Acting as a digital intermediary, Xometry connects buyers with a vast network of manufacturing services, streamlining the traditionally complex procurement process. This platform allows businesses to efficiently obtain specialized components and production capabilities, making advanced manufacturing more accessible and agile.
The company offers an extensive range of manufacturing services through its marketplace. These include traditional techniques such as CNC machining (milling, turning), various sheet metal processes (cutting, forming), and comprehensive injection molding solutions (plastic, over, insert, prototype, and tooling). Xometry also specializes in advanced 3D printing technologies, including FDM, SLS, SLA, and metal 3D printing. Beyond these core offerings, it provides additional specialized services like urethane and die casting, vapor smoothing, finishing, rapid prototyping, and high-volume production.
Xometry serves a wide array of industries and customer segments, underscoring the versatility of its platform. Its client base spans critical sectors such as aerospace and defense, automotive, consumer products, and electronics. The company also supports product designers, educational institutions, energy firms, hardware startups, and businesses within the industrial, medical, dental, and robotics fields, alongside general supply chain and purchasing departments seeking efficient manufacturing solutions.
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Amazon for custom manufacturing.
Upwork for manufacturing services.
Alibaba for made-to-order industrial parts.
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- CNC Machining Services: Offers precise manufacturing capabilities through computer numerical control (CNC) machining, milling, and turning.
- Sheet Metal Fabrication Services: Provides custom sheet metal parts using a range of cutting (laser, waterjet, plasma) and forming techniques.
- 3D Printing Services: Delivers additive manufacturing solutions utilizing multiple technologies, including SLA, FDM, MJF, SLS, and various metal 3D printing methods.
- Injection Molding Services: Specializes in producing plastic parts through processes such as plastic, over, insert, and prototype molding.
- Casting, Finishing & Assembly Services: Facilitates custom manufacturing with services like urethane and die casting, vapor smoothing, finishing, and product assembly.
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Xometry, Inc. (XMTR) operates primarily as a business-to-business (B2B) marketplace, connecting buyers of custom manufactured parts and assemblies with sellers. Due to the nature of its marketplace business model, Xometry serves a diverse and fragmented customer base across numerous industries rather than having a few publicly disclosed "major customers" by name.
Therefore, Xometry's customers are best described by the broad categories of industries it serves. These include:
- Aerospace and Defense
- Automotive
- Consumer Products
- Product Designers
- Education
- Electronic and Semiconductors
- Energy
- Hardware Startups
- Industrial
- Medical and Dental
- Robotics
- Supply Chain and Purchasing
These categories represent the various types of companies and organizations that utilize Xometry's platform to source manufacturing services.
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- OSG Corporation (6136.T)
- Kyocera Corporation (6971.T)
- Mitsubishi Materials Corporation (5711.T)
- Sandvik AB (SAND.ST)
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Randy Altschuler, Chief Executive Officer (will transition to Executive Chair on July 1, 2026)
Randy Altschuler is the co-founder of Xometry, which he helped take public in 2021. Prior to co-founding Xometry in 2013, he co-founded and served as Executive Chairman of CloudBlue, a provider of electronic equipment recycling services, which was acquired by Ingram Micro in 2013. Before CloudBlue, he co-founded and was CEO of OfficeTiger, a global business process outsourcing (BPO) company, which was acquired by RR Donnelley in 2006.
Sanjeev Singh Sahni, President (Incoming Chief Executive Officer effective July 1, 2026)
Sanjeev Singh Sahni currently serves as the President of Xometry, overseeing global Operations, Product, Technology, and People teams. Effective July 1, 2026, he will succeed Randy Altschuler as the Chief Executive Officer and will also join the Board of Directors. Sahni brings significant expertise in e-commerce, AI, and supply chain management to his roles.
James Miln, Chief Financial Officer
James Miln was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Xometry effective March 1, 2024. He previously served as Senior Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations at Yelp, where he played a key role in guiding the company through a period of strong, product-driven growth, including the introduction of new AI-powered search experiences. Miln has extensive financial planning, operational, and investor relations expertise, with prior experience at big-name tech and consumer brands like eBay.
Vaidy Raghavan, Chief Technology Officer
Vaidy Raghavan is the Chief Technology Officer at Xometry. He is an accomplished global technology executive and engineer by training, with extensive experience developing category-defining products for leading consumer and B2B brands such as Wayfair and Microsoft. Raghavan is an expert in AI, supply chain management, strategic pricing, customer experience, SaaS, data, and analytics.
Subir Dutt, Chief Sales Officer
Subir Dutt serves as the Chief Sales Officer for Xometry. He holds a bachelor's degree in mechanical engineering from Punjab Engineering College in India and a master's degree in industrial engineering and operations research from Virginia Tech.
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- Intense Competition and Marketplace Dynamics: Xometry operates in a highly competitive digital manufacturing marketplace, facing numerous rivals such as Protolabs, Fictiv, and Shapeways. This intense competition, particularly on pricing, poses a significant risk as customers may switch to cheaper alternatives if they perceive better value elsewhere. Xometry's ability to continuously attract and retain both buyers and a diverse, high-quality network of suppliers is crucial for its success, with challenges including maintaining marketplace liquidity and managing pricing pressures.
- Dependence on Third-Party Manufacturing Partners and Quality Control: As a marketplace, Xometry relies heavily on a network of independent manufacturers to fulfill orders. This reliance means Xometry has limited direct control over the actual manufacturing process, which can lead to variability in product quality. Risks include potential operational issues faced by individual suppliers, challenges in ensuring consistent quality across the network, supplier churn, and the ability to secure and onboard new, qualified partners. Lack of direct oversight over manufacturing can complicate quality assurance and compliance.
- Sensitivity to Economic Conditions and Manufacturing Industry Downturns: Xometry's business is directly tied to the health and spending patterns of the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Economic slowdowns, reduced industrial production, or decreases in capital expenditures can lead to decreased demand for custom manufactured parts and assemblies. As a player in the industrial distribution sector, Xometry faces inherent risks related to economic cycles and broader macroeconomic uncertainties, which can impact its revenue growth and profitability.
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A clear emerging threat to Xometry is the potential for major Computer-Aided Design (CAD) and Product Lifecycle Management (PLM) software vendors (e.g., Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes, Siemens) to integrate direct manufacturing sourcing capabilities directly into their core design and engineering platforms. These companies already command vast user bases of product designers and engineers, Xometry's primary customer demographic. If these vendors develop or acquire sophisticated manufacturing networks and seamlessly embed instant quoting and direct ordering of manufactured parts within their design environments, it could bypass Xometry's standalone marketplace. Designers could move from conceptualization to manufacturing order within a single, integrated software ecosystem, eroding Xometry's position as the intermediary platform.
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Xometry (NASDAQ: XMTR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Expansion of Active Buyer and Supplier Networks: A fundamental driver for Xometry's marketplace model is the continuous growth in its network of active buyers and suppliers. The company reported a 20% increase in active buyers to over 81,000 as of December 31, 2025, and marketplace revenue growth has been robust, indicating a strong expansion of its user base.
- Deepening Enterprise Account Engagement: Xometry is focusing on and experiencing significant growth from larger, higher-value customers. Accounts with a trailing twelve-month spend of at least $50,000 increased by 18% to 1,760 as of December 31, 2025, and accounts spending at least $500,000 grew by approximately 30% in fiscal year 2025 to over 140. This deeper penetration into enterprise accounts is a crucial revenue driver.
- Advancements in AI-Powered Marketplace and Product Innovation: The company consistently highlights its AI-powered marketplace and Instant Quoting Engine as core to its strategy. These technological enhancements are aimed at improving efficiency, expanding market share, and optimizing pricing and product selection, thereby fueling revenue growth.
- International Market Expansion: Xometry is actively pursuing growth in international markets, with robust increases in regions like Europe and Asia Pacific. International growth reached a $100 million run rate in Q4 2024, demonstrating that global expansion is a significant growth initiative.
- Broadening Marketplace Offerings and Services: While some non-core supplier services have been de-emphasized, Xometry continues to focus on expanding its overall marketplace menu and enhancing its service offerings. This strategy aims to provide a wider range of manufacturing solutions and value-added services through its platform.
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Share Issuance
- Xometry went public on June 30, 2021, through an Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Outbound Investments
- In December 2021, Xometry acquired Thomas Publishing Company for $300 million.
- Xometry also acquired FactoryFour in November 2021 for an undisclosed amount.
Capital Expenditures
- In Q4 2025, Xometry's capital expenditures were $10.3 million, which were almost entirely related to software investments.
- For the full year 2025, capital expenditures primarily consisted of capitalized software costs, aligning with the company's asset-light business model.
- Capital expenditures were expected to be around $7 million per quarter for the remainder of 2025.
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| Rev LTM | 547 |
| Op Inc LTM | -51 |
| FCF LTM | -13 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -26 |
| CFO LTM | 19 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 38.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -10.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $89.52 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/30/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $81.49 | $60.61 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 9.8% | 47.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 97.4% | 92.7% |
| Downside Capture | -47.75 | 109.66 |
| Upside Capture | 252.68 | 197.79 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 22.0% | 24.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.61 | 0.73 | 1.56 | 2.15 | 1.77 | 1.99 |
| Up Beta | 2.19 | 2.24 | 2.91 | 2.48 | 2.69 | 2.32 |
| Down Beta | -0.21 | 2.98 | 1.86 | 1.78 | 2.07 | 1.78 |
| Up Capture | 54% | 214% | 322% | 363% | 308% | 1584% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 27 | 41 | 73 | 144 | 399 |
| Down Capture | 35% | -315% | -144% | 166% | 92% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 14 | 22 | 52 | 106 | 349 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XMTR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XMTR | 166.7% | 92.6% | 1.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 22.5% | 16.7% | 1.04 | 19.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.2% | 12.5% | 1.26 | 24.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.9% | 27.8% | 0.70 | 12.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.0% | 18.7% | 1.06 | -6.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.7% | 13.9% | 0.62 | 7.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -41.4% | 42.8% | -1.13 | 13.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XMTR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XMTR | -0.1% | 82.1% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.8% | 17.6% | 0.62 | 31.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 34.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 4.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 19.5% | 0.30 | 4.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 24.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.1% | 53.5% | 0.41 | 20.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XMTR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XMTR | -0.1% | 82.1% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.9% | 20.0% | 0.66 | 31.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 34.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.1% | 0.58 | 4.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.4% | 18.0% | 0.28 | 4.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 24.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 20.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 39.2% | 52.8% | 43.0% |
| 2/24/2026 | -22.2% | -26.5% | -27.5% |
| 11/4/2025 | 28.9% | 36.7% | 20.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | 43.0% | 39.0% | 50.8% |
| 5/6/2025 | 11.3% | 17.5% | 23.3% |
| 2/25/2025 | -9.2% | -19.4% | -14.4% |
| 11/5/2024 | 17.1% | 45.9% | 46.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 40.5% | 50.8% | 54.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 17.8% | 20.3% | 36.2% |
| Median Negative | -13.5% | -19.4% | -19.4% |
| Max Positive | 43.0% | 52.8% | 54.7% |
| Max Negative | -39.5% | -41.1% | -53.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 39.2% | 52.8% | 43.0% |
| 2/24/2026 | -22.2% | -26.5% | -27.5% |
| 11/4/2025 | 28.9% | 36.7% | 20.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | 43.0% | 39.0% | 50.8% |
| 5/6/2025 | 11.3% | 17.5% | 23.3% |
| 2/25/2025 | -9.2% | -19.4% | -14.4% |
| 11/5/2024 | 17.1% | 45.9% | 46.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 40.5% | 50.8% | 54.7% |
| 5/9/2024 | 1.8% | 6.7% | -3.7% |
| 2/29/2024 | -35.0% | -41.1% | -43.9% |
| 11/9/2023 | -3.3% | 13.7% | 46.9% |
| 8/9/2023 | 5.4% | 3.1% | 24.1% |
| 5/10/2023 | 39.9% | 20.3% | 54.2% |
| 3/1/2023 | -39.5% | -39.2% | -53.0% |
| 11/10/2022 | -14.5% | -11.5% | -20.8% |
| 8/10/2022 | 18.5% | 20.0% | 29.4% |
| 5/11/2022 | -5.6% | 9.1% | 14.7% |
| 3/17/2022 | 0.5% | -5.8% | -2.2% |
| 11/10/2021 | 6.5% | 29.4% | 7.5% |
| 8/12/2021 | -12.6% | -14.6% | -18.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 17.8% | 20.3% | 36.2% |
| Median Negative | -13.5% | -19.4% | -19.4% |
| Max Positive | 43.0% | 52.8% | 54.7% |
| Max Negative | -39.5% | -41.1% | -53.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/18/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 06/04/2021 | S-1 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/8/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 214.00 Mil | 215.00 Mil | 216.00 Mil | 14.4% | Higher New | Actual: 188.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 11.00 Mil | 11.50 Mil | 12.00 Mil | 64.3% | Higher New | Actual: 7.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 27.0% | 27.5% | 28.0% | 6.5% | Raised | Guidance: 21.0% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Incremental Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 20.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.0% for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/24/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 187.00 Mil | 188.00 Mil | 189.00 Mil | 2.7% | Higher New | Actual: 183.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 6.50 Mil | 7.00 Mil | 7.50 Mil | 7.7% | Higher New | Actual: 6.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Revenue Growth | 24.0% | 24.5% | 25.0% | ||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 21.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Incremental Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 20.0% | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 182.00 Mil | 183.00 Mil | 184.00 Mil | 8.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 168.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 6.00 Mil | 6.50 Mil | 7.00 Mil | 44.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 4.50 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Revenue | 676.00 Mil | 677.00 Mil | 678.00 Mil | ||||
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 16.00 Mil | 16.50 Mil | 17.00 Mil | ||||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/6/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raghavan, Vaidyanathan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 93.21 | 1,866 | 173,938 | 13,122,413 | Form |
| 2 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 93.39 | 1,073 | 100,204 | 8,751,795 | Form |
| 3 | Altschuler, Randolph | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 93.30 | 5,722 | 533,869 | 40,002,888 | Form | |
| 4 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 93.29 | 2,392 | 223,146 | 16,710,849 | Form |
| 5 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 97.06 | 1,500 | 145,588 | 17,618,384 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raghavan, Vaidyanathan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 93.21 | 1,866 | 173,938 | 13,122,413 | Form |
| 2 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 93.39 | 1,073 | 100,204 | 8,751,795 | Form |
| 3 | Altschuler, Randolph | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 93.30 | 5,722 | 533,869 | 40,002,888 | Form | |
| 4 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 93.29 | 2,392 | 223,146 | 16,710,849 | Form |
| 5 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 97.06 | 1,500 | 145,588 | 17,618,384 | Form |
| 6 | Biewald, Lukas Alexander | Direct | Buy | 6042026 | 85.00 | 47,058 | 3,999,930 | 4,686,390 | Form | |
| 7 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 96.90 | 1,500 | 145,345 | 17,734,307 | Form |
| 8 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 5282026 | 95.00 | 2,500 | 237,500 | 9,004,955 | Form |
| 9 | Altschuler, Randolph | Chief Executive Officer | Held by spouse | Sell | 5222026 | 87.87 | 30,000 | 2,635,973 | 49,316,426 | Form |
| 10 | Altschuler, Randolph | Chief Executive Officer | Held by the Altschuler Family Trust (2020) | Sell | 5222026 | 87.84 | 20,000 | 1,756,761 | 39,988,101 | Form |
| 11 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 89.20 | 4,943 | 440,896 | 8,677,803 | Form |
| 12 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 85.00 | 2,500 | 212,500 | 8,689,720 | Form |
| 13 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 79.86 | 5,000 | 399,294 | 8,363,766 | Form |
| 14 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 79.69 | 1,500 | 119,530 | 14,703,993 | Form |
| 15 | Altschuler, Randolph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 41.72 | 5,721 | 238,655 | 18,124,264 | Form |
| 16 | Sahni, Sanjeev Singh | President | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 41.77 | 1,111 | 46,402 | 5,989,074 | Form |
| 17 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 41.76 | 699 | 29,188 | 4,582,059 | Form |
| 18 | Raghavan, Vaidyanathan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 41.77 | 1,865 | 77,893 | 5,957,548 | Form |
| 19 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 41.72 | 2,392 | 99,790 | 7,760,523 | Form |
| 20 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 42.03 | 1,500 | 63,049 | 7,919,591 | Form |
| 21 | Rollins, Emily | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 42.02 | 1,000 | 42,017 | 635,975 | Form | |
| 22 | Weymouth, Katharine | by the Katharine Weymouth Revocable Trust | Buy | 3022026 | 41.15 | 1,215 | 49,997 | 148,757 | Form | |
| 23 | Raghavan, Vaidyanathan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 43.44 | 4,572 | 198,626 | 2,793,622 | Form |
| 24 | Altschuler, Randolph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 43.44 | 31,928 | 1,387,101 | 16,177,796 | Form |
| 25 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 43.46 | 15,103 | 656,306 | 7,523,122 | Form |
| 26 | Sahni, Sanjeev Singh | President | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 43.45 | 9,978 | 433,495 | 4,910,249 | Form |
| 27 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 43.47 | 2,410 | 104,763 | 3,852,895 | Form |
| 28 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 2112026 | 70.00 | 2,500 | 175,000 | 4,544,330 | Form |
| 29 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 58.98 | 599 | 35,328 | 7,891,165 | Form |
| 30 | Altschuler, Randolph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 66.53 | 14,826 | 986,420 | 19,656,880 | Form |
| 31 | Sahni, Sanjeev Singh | President | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 66.57 | 4,446 | 295,962 | 5,945,869 | Form |
| 32 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 66.51 | 6,203 | 412,567 | 8,938,858 | Form |
| 33 | Raghavan, Vaidyanathan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 66.51 | 3,570 | 237,455 | 2,553,934 | Form |
| 34 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 65.55 | 3,929 | 257,564 | 4,419,624 | Form |
| 35 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 61.80 | 598 | 36,955 | 8,688,817 | Form |
| 36 | Rollins, Emily | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 61.86 | 1,000 | 61,862 | 708,631 | Form | |
| 37 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 56.02 | 598 | 33,501 | 7,910,213 | Form |
| 38 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 60.00 | 2,075 | 124,500 | 4,280,880 | Form |
| 39 | Dutt, Subir | Chief Sales Officer | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 60.34 | 425 | 25,644 | 4,430,190 | Form |
| 40 | Rollins, Emily | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 68.03 | 1,000 | 68,025 | 779,232 | Form | |
| 41 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 62.11 | 599 | 37,206 | 8,807,342 | Form |
| 42 | Altschuler, Randolph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 10032025 | 50.31 | 9,331 | 469,399 | 15,608,293 | Form |
| 43 | Raghavan, Vaidyanathan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 10032025 | 50.30 | 1,298 | 65,283 | 2,110,731 | Form |
| 44 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10032025 | 50.20 | 1,122 | 56,328 | 7,148,655 | Form |
| 45 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10032025 | 52.22 | 598 | 31,228 | 7,494,447 | Form |
| 46 | Miln, James | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 50.25 | 598 | 30,048 | 7,241,435 | Form |
| 47 | Altschuler, Randolph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 7032025 | 32.39 | 9,332 | 302,227 | 10,350,661 | Form |
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