Xometry (XMTR)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $58.62 | Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Xometry (XMTR)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $58.62Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -32% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -48 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.5% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 258x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 97% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4% | ||
| Short seller reportCulper Research report on 2/1/2023. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -32% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -48 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.5% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 258x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 97% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4% |
| Short seller reportCulper Research report on 2/1/2023. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
XMTR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Xometry (XMTR) experienced significant movement between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025. This period saw a notable increase, particularly around early November, driven by strong quarterly results and positive analyst sentiment. Here are the key points for why Xometry's stock moved by approximately 18% during this period: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.** Xometry reported record third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, with revenue increasing 28% year-over-year to $181 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $168.25 million. The company's marketplace revenue growth accelerated to 31% year-over-year, and gross profit increased 29% year-over-year to a record $72.0 million. Adjusted EBITDA also significantly improved to $6.1 million, compared to a $0.6 million loss in Q3 2024. **2. Positive Market Reaction to Earnings and Raised Guidance.** Following the Q3 2025 earnings announcement on November 4, 2025, Xometry's stock surged significantly, with some reports indicating an intraday jump of nearly 28%. This positive reaction was fueled by the strong quarterly performance and the company raising its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $676-$678 million and Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $16-$17 million. **3. Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets.** Several financial firms reacted positively to Xometry's performance. For example, on November 5, 2025, Citizens JMP increased their price objective from $65.00 to $75.00 with a "market outperform" rating, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted their target price from $55.00 to $70.00 with an "overweight" rating. Wedbush also raised its price objective to $70.00 with an "outperform" rating. **4. Strategic Expansion and Platform Enhancements.** During this period, Xometry continued to expand its manufacturing capabilities and implemented strategic growth initiatives. This included the launch of an innovative mobile app named Workcenter to enhance efficiency for its supplier network and the expansion of its auto-quote service for injection molding in the U.S. These advancements in its AI-powered marketplace and cloud-based services were highlighted as key drivers for streamlining the manufacturing industry and contributing to growth. **5. Recognition as a Fast-Growing Company.** Xometry was recognized as one of North America's Fastest-Growing Companies on the 2025 Deloitte Technology Fast 500™ List on November 19, 2025. This recognition likely contributed to positive investor sentiment and highlighted the company's strong growth trajectory in the technology sector.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XMTR Return | - | - | -37% | 11% | 19% | 37% | 14% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 36% | -10% | 40% | 9% | 6% | 149% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XMTR Win Rate | - | 17% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 50% | 28% | 50% | 48% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XMTR Max Drawdown | - | - | -46% | -61% | -69% | -55% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -2% | -25% | -6% | -8% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | XMTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 594.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST
In The Past
Xometry's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 594.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Xometry Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | ||
| Why Xometry Stock Moved: XMTR Stock Has Gained 76% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | |||
| XMTR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Xometry Stock Shares Rally 17% In A Month, Should You Buy The Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Xometry (XMTR) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xometry Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 18.8% in 2024 and ...% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Xometry (XMTR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xometry (XMTR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xometry (XMTR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xometry (XMTR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Does Xometry Stock Compare With Peers? | November 5th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | November 5th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 19th, 2025 | ||
| XMTR vs the Competition: Which Stock Comes Out on Top? | August 15th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to XMTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Xometry
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 153.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.5 |
| Rev LTM | 7,706 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,175 |
| FCF LTM | 484 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 493 |
| CFO LTM | 1,415 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,406 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.5 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 17.2 |
| P/E | 26.8 |
| P/CFO | 25.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 46.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |