United Airlines (UAL)


Market Price (9/11/2026): $109.3 | Market Cap: $35.5 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

United Airlines (UAL)


Market Price (9/11/2026): $109.3
Market Cap: $35.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 7.4%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 8.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.

Key risks
UAL key risks include workforce instability driven by [1] flight attendants' rejection of a labor agreement and [2] a U.S. Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 8.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
4 Key risks
UAL key risks include workforce instability driven by [1] flight attendants' rejection of a labor agreement and [2] a U.S. Show more.

UAL in ETFs

Weight = UAL's share of each fund

SPY0.05%
VOO0.06%
IVV0.05%
VTI0.05%
ITOT0.05%
IWB0.05%
RSP0.20%
VTV0.15%
+28 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/4/2026

United Airlines (UAL) stock has lost about 5% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Disappointing Q3 2026 Guidance Amid Surging Fuel Costs.

While United Airlines reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.99 for fiscal Q2 2026, exceeding analyst expectations, the company's outlook for fiscal Q3 2026 disappointed investors. United forecast Q3 2026 adjusted EPS between $2.50 and $3.50, which was below the analyst consensus of $3.60 per share. This conservative guidance was largely attributed to an anticipated nearly $6 billion increase in fuel expenses for the full year 2026 compared to initial projections, primarily due to global oil price volatility. Despite expectations to recover 80% to 90% of these increased costs in Q3, the immediate impact on profitability guidance weighed on the stock.

2. Significant Insider Selling Activity.

United Airlines experienced notable insider selling during the specified period. CEO J. Scott Kirby sold 159,321 shares in July 2026, and the aggregate value of insider sales over the last six months amounted to over $38 million. Such substantial selling by key executives can signal a lack of confidence in the company's near-term growth prospects or valuation, contributing to negative market sentiment.

Show more
Updated on 9/4/2026

United Airlines (UAL) stock has lost about 5% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Disappointing Q3 2026 Guidance Amid Surging Fuel Costs.

While United Airlines reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.99 for fiscal Q2 2026, exceeding analyst expectations, the company's outlook for fiscal Q3 2026 disappointed investors. United forecast Q3 2026 adjusted EPS between $2.50 and $3.50, which was below the analyst consensus of $3.60 per share. This conservative guidance was largely attributed to an anticipated nearly $6 billion increase in fuel expenses for the full year 2026 compared to initial projections, primarily due to global oil price volatility. Despite expectations to recover 80% to 90% of these increased costs in Q3, the immediate impact on profitability guidance weighed on the stock.

2. Significant Insider Selling Activity.

United Airlines experienced notable insider selling during the specified period. CEO J. Scott Kirby sold 159,321 shares in July 2026, and the aggregate value of insider sales over the last six months amounted to over $38 million. Such substantial selling by key executives can signal a lack of confidence in the company's near-term growth prospects or valuation, contributing to negative market sentiment.

3. Operational Disruptions and Capacity Reductions.

Operational challenges and strategic capacity cuts also contributed to the stock's trend. On July 18, 2026, United experienced a technology outage in its reservation system, causing widespread flight delays and disruptions to check-in and ticketing processes across major U.S. airports for over an hour. Furthermore, United had previously announced a reduction of approximately five percentage points in its planned domestic seat capacity for the remainder of 2026, resulting in the removal of around 23,500 domestic flights through early September 2026. This measure, taken to manage higher operating costs, could lead to reduced revenue opportunities and potentially impact customer satisfaction.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.2% change in UAL stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -8.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120269102026Change
Stock Price ($)114.80106.49-7.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)60,46562,9014.0%
Net Income Margin (%)6.1%5.6%-8.3%
P/E Multiple10.19.9-2.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)324325-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-7.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UAL-7.2% 
Market (SPY)0.2%50.1%
Sector (XLI)-1.5%59.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.2% change in UAL stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820269102026Change
Stock Price ($)106.30106.490.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)59,06962,9016.5%
Net Income Margin (%)5.7%5.6%-2.1%
P/E Multiple10.39.9-3.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)324325-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution0.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UAL0.2% 
Market (SPY)10.8%58.5%
Sector (XLI)-3.4%64.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.4% change in UAL stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120259102026Change
Stock Price ($)105.00106.491.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)57,98662,9018.5%
Net Income Margin (%)5.7%5.6%-2.6%
P/E Multiple10.39.9-4.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3253250.0%
Cumulative Contribution1.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UAL1.4% 
Market (SPY)18.5%56.4%
Sector (XLI)13.4%58.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 113.8% change in UAL stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239102026Change
Stock Price ($)49.81106.49113.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)50,88462,90123.6%
Net Income Margin (%)5.2%5.6%6.2%
P/E Multiple6.19.961.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3283251.0%
Cumulative Contribution113.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UAL113.8% 
Market (SPY)74.2%58.2%
Sector (XLI)64.1%59.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
UAL Return1%-14%9%135%15%-4%148%
Peers Return0%-28%-1%41%-7%-6%-11%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UAL Win Rate42%50%50%75%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate45%47%42%60%50%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UAL Max Drawdown-37%-39%-41%-31%-49%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-43%-45%-34%-48%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DAL, AAL, LUV, ALK, JBLU. See UAL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventUALS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-47.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven150 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-19.7%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.5%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven35 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-37.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven199 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven75 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven22 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-73.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven273.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1686 days140 days

Compare to DAL, AAL, LUV, ALK, JBLU

In The Past

United Airlines's stock fell -47.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 89.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventUALS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-47.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven150 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-37.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven199 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven22 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-73.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven273.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1686 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven58 days62 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-20.8%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven22 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-90.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven979.4%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1765 days1085 days

Compare to DAL, AAL, LUV, ALK, JBLU

In The Past

United Airlines's stock fell -47.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 89.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About United Airlines (UAL)

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is a major global airline company primarily engaged in providing air transportation services. Its core business revolves around operating a vast network of flights to transport both people and cargo across significant distances through its mainline and regional fleets. Beyond its primary passenger and freight operations, United also leverages its operational infrastructure to offer specialized services such as catering, ground handling, aircraft training, and maintenance to other third-party entities.

United Airlines serves a broad range of customers globally. Its primary customer base consists of individual travelers, including tourists and those visiting family, as well as business travelers who rely on air travel for professional purposes. Additionally, the company serves businesses requiring efficient and reliable transportation of goods through its cargo services. United's extensive operational footprint spans numerous continents, including North America, Asia, Europe, Africa, the Pacific, the Middle East, and Latin America, establishing it as a key player in the international airline industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Greyhound for the skies.

A global UPS, but for people and packages.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Passenger Air Transportation: The company provides scheduled flights for passengers across its extensive global network.
  • Cargo Air Transportation: United Airlines transports freight and mail internationally using its fleet.
  • Catering Services: The company offers food and beverage services, including for third-party airlines.
  • Ground Handling Services: United Airlines provides essential ground support for aircraft and passengers, available also to third parties.
  • Training Services: The company offers aviation-related training programs, often for external clients.
  • Maintenance Services: United Airlines performs aircraft maintenance and repair, including for third-party aircraft.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html

United Airlines (UAL) primarily sells air transportation services to individuals, but also serves business customers for cargo and other aviation services. Its major customer categories include:

  1. Leisure Travelers: Individuals and families flying for personal reasons such as vacations, holidays, or visiting friends and relatives. This segment often seeks competitive pricing and flexible booking options.
  2. Business Travelers: Individuals traveling for corporate purposes, including meetings, conferences, client visits, or other work-related assignments. This segment typically prioritizes convenience, direct routes, and flexibility for last-minute changes.
  3. Cargo and Third-Party Service Customers: This category includes businesses utilizing United Airlines for air cargo transport (shipping goods globally) and other aviation companies that purchase services like catering, ground handling, training, and maintenance from United's subsidiaries.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html
  • Boeing (NYSE: BA)
  • Airbus (Euronext Paris: AIR)
  • GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE)
  • RTX Corporation (NYSE: RTX) (parent company of Pratt & Whitney)
  • Amadeus IT Group SA (BME: AMS)
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to United Airlines (UAL) are:

  1. Fuel Price Volatility and Geopolitical Tensions: United Airlines faces significant financial pressure from rising and volatile jet fuel prices, which are often exacerbated by geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East. Fuel can account for a substantial portion of an airline's operating expenses, and United's decision not to hedge fuel costs increases its exposure to market fluctuations.
  2. Labor Costs and Negotiations: The airline industry, including United, constantly grapples with managing operational costs, with labor being a major component. Ongoing labor negotiations, such as those with flight attendants, pose a risk of increased cost inflation and highlight inherent workforce and cost structure challenges.
  3. Economic Headwinds and Demand Slowdown: United Airlines is vulnerable to broader economic uncertainties, including potential slowdowns in demand for air travel. Recent evidence indicates a softening in demand, particularly in government and business travel segments, leading the airline to trim domestic capacity. Economic factors like rising interest rates and inflation could further dampen overall travel demand.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat to United Airlines (UAL) is the accelerating development and adoption of advanced virtual presence technologies, including virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) platforms. As these technologies mature, they offer increasingly immersive and effective alternatives to physical travel for business meetings, conferences, training, and potentially even some forms of tourism. This shift could significantly reduce the demand for air travel, particularly the high-yield business class segment, by enabling individuals and companies to achieve their objectives without the need for physical presence.

AI Analysis | Feedback

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) operates in several significant addressable markets, primarily air transportation for passengers and cargo, along with ancillary services like catering, ground handling, and maintenance.

Passenger Air Transportation

  • The global passenger air transport market was valued at approximately USD 870.78 billion in 2025, with projections indicating growth to USD 1.2 trillion by 2030. Another estimate places the market at USD 830.72 billion in 2025, growing to USD 1.86 trillion by 2032.
  • In North America, the aviation market, which includes passenger air transport, was valued at USD 79 billion based on a five-year historical analysis. Specifically, North America is forecasted to reach 2.1 billion passengers in 2025.

Air Cargo Transportation

  • The global air cargo market was valued at USD 185.3 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 288.8 billion by 2032. Other estimates include USD 172.74 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 273.50 billion by 2032, and USD 186.24 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 275.16 billion by 2033.
  • For North America, the air cargo market was valued at USD 31.94 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 43.20 billion by 2028. In 2025, North America's air cargo market share was estimated at more than 40% of the global revenue, with a market size of USD 74.49 billion.

Catering Services

  • The global airline catering market was valued at USD 18.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 29.3 billion by 2034. Another report estimates the market size at USD 19.61 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach approximately USD 35.12 billion by 2034.

Ground Handling Services

  • The global airport ground handling market was approximately USD 34.5 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow to USD 64.2 billion by 2030. Another source indicates a market size of USD 37.1 billion in 2025, anticipated to reach USD 90.9 billion by 2034. The combined global airport ground and cargo handling services market was valued at USD 51.23 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 88.17 billion by 2034.
  • In North America, the airport ground and cargo handling services market held a 34.89% share of the global market in 2025, valued at USD 17.87 billion.

Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) Services

  • The global aviation MRO market was valued at USD 90.73 billion in 2024 and is predicted to grow to USD 145.28 billion by 2034. Another source valued the global commercial aircraft MRO services market at USD 110.7 billion in 2023, estimated to grow to USD 146.9 billion by 2032. The commercial aircraft MRO market is estimated at USD 100.99 billion in 2026, projected to reach USD 128.17 billion by 2031.
  • In North America, the MRO demand is projected to grow from USD 28 billion to USD 34 billion by 2035.

AI Analysis | Feedback

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives and favorable market dynamics:

  1. Growth in Premium Cabin and Loyalty Program Offerings: United Airlines is strategically focusing on expanding its premium services, which has already demonstrated significant growth in premium cabin revenue. This emphasis on higher-value offerings, coupled with robust loyalty programs, is expected to attract and retain high-spending customers, thereby enhancing revenue and margin expansion.
  2. Strategic International Route Expansion and Increased Capacity: The company is actively expanding its route network, particularly in high-margin international markets, by adding new destinations and increasing flight frequencies on existing routes to meet rising demand. This expansion, supported by the "United Next" growth plan and planned fleet modernization and expansion, is set to increase available capacity and capture a larger market share.
  3. Enhancement of Customer Experience through Technology and Operational Efficiencies: United's investments in advanced technologies, such as AI for operational decision-making and the rapid deployment of Starlink for in-flight Wi-Fi, are expected to significantly improve the customer experience. These enhancements aim to differentiate United from competitors, increase customer satisfaction, and attract more passengers, ultimately contributing to revenue growth.
  4. Sustained Strong Travel Demand: The overall robust demand for air travel, especially within the premium leisure segment, is a crucial driver of revenue growth for United Airlines. The airline has reported record quarterly revenues and strong bookings, indicating a resilient market and continued demand for its services over the coming years.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • United Airlines authorized a $1.5 billion share repurchase program in October 2024, to be executed starting in Q4 2024 and continuing through 2025.
  • The company repurchased $640 million of shares in the full year 2025.
  • Actual share buybacks for 2024 amounted to $162 million and for 2025 to $637 million.

Share Issuance

  • In January 2021, United received approximately $2.6 billion in funding through a Payroll Support Program Extension Agreement with the U.S. Treasury Department, which involved the issuance and sale of UAL common stock.
  • United Airlines' shares outstanding declined by 1.41% in 2025 to 0.329 billion.

Outbound Investments

  • United Airlines planned a $100 million investment in Azul S.A. through a subscription of Azul shares and ADSs, approved in February 2026.
  • The company made a new investment in the carbon capture startup Heirloom as of April 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • United Airlines' capital expenditures averaged $5.117 billion annually from 2021 to 2025.
  • For 2025, net capital expenditures totaled $5.9 billion, primarily focused on fleet expansion.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be under $8 billion, with over $12 billion specifically earmarked for the delivery of 124 new aircraft, aligning with the "United Next" strategy for fleet modernization and customer experience enhancements like Starlink Wi-Fi and cabin upgrades.

Better Bets vs. United Airlines (UAL)

Peer Outperformance in Passenger Airlines

UAL has outperformed 90% of its 10 Passenger Airlines peers over 5Y. Passenger Airlines ranks 18th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Passenger Airlines constituents that UAL has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
45%
of 11 industry peers · -0.9% return
3Y
91%
of 11 industry peers · 123.3% return
5Y
90%
of 10 industry peers · 140.2% return
No Passenger Airlines peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten UAL by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Passenger Airlines is UAL's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 6.7%106.6%186.1% CDNL 2524% · FIX 2164% · STRL 2119%
Marine Transportation 5 71.5%63.4%169.6% HOS 47268% · MATX 180% · KEX 170%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 9.8%60.5%118.8% CAT 328% · ALSN 281% · WAB 223%
Aerospace & Defense 55 -2.4%55.8%73.2% ATI 1049% · FTAI 890% · HWM 641%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -20.8%32.6%54.0% UBER 82% · CAR 54% · LYFT -70%
Rail Transportation 7 34.2%69.5%45.3% FSTR 140% · CSX 70% · UNP 54%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 2.8%34.1%38.5% DXPE 563% · AIT 286% · WCC 214%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 4.4%44.2%35.8% CRS 1402% · PSIX 946% · GHM 595%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 39.9%3.6%34.1% XPO 256% · R 249% · CVLG 230%
Diversified Support Services 33 9.3%25.8%27.6% LIME 3705% · TH 395% · WLFC 371%
Electrical Components & Equipment 41 14.2%53.1%19.9% POWL 2198% · BE 1218% · VRT 916%
Building Products 33 -11.6%-1.2%11.8% LMB 580% · GFF 397% · PPIH 297%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 14.7%-0.7%-6.3% BLBD 222% · DE 99% · GENC 58%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 8.0%11.8%-6.6% RCMT 548% · CSW 130% · CSL 75%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -11.4%23.5%-10.9% CECO 996% · ADUR 387% · NVRI 365%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -10.0%-23.6%-11.5% HURN 204% · CRAI 92% · GRNQ 65%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -32.6%-15.0%-26.0% EXLS 42% · BR 9% · G -26%
Passenger Airlines ← 11 -0.4%-4.8%-28.5% LTM 3259% · UAL 140% · SKYW 121%
Office Services & Supplies 9 8.3%26.9%-33.0% PBI 195% · TILE 142% · HNI 53%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 5.3%-22.2%-38.2% BBSI 82% · ADP 47% · PAYX 22%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -33.0%5.7%-38.5% CIX 142% · MG 111% · NL 72%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -9.8%-25.0%-39.5% CHRW 94% · FDX 66% · EXPD 59%
Airport Services 3 -69.9%-80.2%-58.7% JOBY -32% · ASLE -59% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UALDALAALLUVALKJBLUMedian
NameUnited A.Delta Ai.American.Southwes.Alaska A.JetBlue . 
Mkt Price106.4978.2412.8538.6940.114.3939.40
Mkt Cap34.651.28.518.94.51.713.7
Rev LTM62,90168,28758,33730,07214,7639,50344,204
Op Inc LTM4,2565,5161,0701,041-44-5591,056
FCF LTM2,5443,410285-455-350-1,129-32
FCF 3Y Avg1,9482,282159-822-238-1,371-40
CFO LTM8,9138,1344,3742,5301,020-1283,452
CFO 3Y Avg8,0857,3383,2711,7651,179-832,518

Growth & Margins

UALDALAALLUVALKJBLUMedian
NameUnited A.Delta Ai.American.Southwes.Alaska A.JetBlue . 
Rev Chg LTM8.5%10.3%7.5%9.5%9.8%4.0%9.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.3%7.0%3.4%6.2%13.1%-1.3%6.6%
Rev Chg Q16.0%18.7%16.3%16.4%9.7%14.5%16.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.0%4.8%4.2%4.1%2.5%3.7%4.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-21.2%-4.6%-61.0%227.4%-105.5%-305.1%-41.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-5.7%3.1%-35.8%95.3%-36.6%-142.2%-20.7%
Op Mgn LTM6.8%8.1%1.8%3.5%-0.3%-5.9%2.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.3%9.2%4.1%1.2%4.3%-3.4%4.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.6%-0.8%-1.4%0.1%-3.2%-1.6%-1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM14.2%11.9%7.5%8.4%6.9%-1.3%8.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.7%11.5%5.9%6.2%9.3%-0.9%7.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.0%5.0%0.5%-1.5%-2.4%-11.9%-0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%3.5%0.3%-3.0%-1.9%-14.7%-0.8%

Valuation

UALDALAALLUVALKJBLUMedian
NameUnited A.Delta Ai.American.Southwes.Alaska A.JetBlue . 
Mkt Cap34.651.28.518.94.51.713.7
P/S0.50.70.10.60.30.20.4
P/Op Inc8.19.38.018.2-101.3-3.08.0
P/EBIT6.29.06.615.6-35.1-3.86.4
P/E9.913.0-26.122.6-25.5-1.94.0
P/CFO3.96.31.97.54.4-12.94.1
Total Yield10.1%8.7%-3.8%6.4%-3.9%-53.7%1.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.6%5.5%1.7%-4.5%-4.4%-72.2%-1.4%
D/E1.00.44.20.41.75.71.3
Net D/E0.50.33.30.21.14.50.8

Returns

UALDALAALLUVALKJBLUMedian
NameUnited A.Delta Ai.American.Southwes.Alaska A.JetBlue . 
1M Rtn-15.7%-13.5%-16.0%-14.6%-17.1%-24.4%-15.8%
3M Rtn-5.4%-4.2%-12.3%-12.2%-14.0%-11.8%-12.0%
6M Rtn23.1%35.7%21.8%1.1%3.8%5.5%13.7%
12M Rtn-0.9%28.8%0.2%26.6%-36.0%-13.6%-0.4%
3Y Rtn123.3%98.1%-8.8%40.2%-0.8%-14.9%19.7%
1M Excs Rtn-13.9%-11.7%-14.2%-12.8%-15.4%-22.7%-14.1%
3M Excs Rtn-0.9%-1.9%-8.7%-10.2%-8.2%-9.2%-8.5%
6M Excs Rtn5.4%20.9%4.4%-18.4%-15.0%-12.5%-4.1%
12M Excs Rtn-15.8%13.8%-15.9%10.5%-52.2%-31.2%-15.8%
3Y Excs Rtn50.9%24.9%-79.0%-34.8%-69.4%-94.3%-52.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment59,07057,06353,71744,95524,634
Total59,07057,06353,71744,95524,634


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2001200019991998
Latin America-141104968
Atlantic-386102230277
Pacific-5806017163
Domestic-1,7712051,4601,641
Total-2,8783771,9102,049


Assets by Segment
$ Mil200920082007
Mainline18,40019,41524,149
Regional Affiliates284  
United Express 4671
Total18,68419,46124,220


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$106.49 
Market Cap ($ Bil)34.6 
First Trading Date02/06/2006 
Distance from 52W High-21.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$119.64$108.44
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-11.0%-1.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility40.1%48.1%
Downside Capture206.12231.04
Upside Capture151.11188.21
Correlation (SPY)54.1%56.6%
UAL Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.732.171.672.142.111.89
Up Beta3.452.162.633.242.802.28
Down Beta1.591.800.981.331.561.77
Up Capture111%117%146%210%285%619%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days9172954118370
Down Capture466%326%167%181%160%110%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days12253573133379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UAL
UAL0.8%48.0%0.16-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.8%17.2%0.6358.7%
Equity (SPY)17.6%12.8%0.9956.6%
Gold (GLD)18.7%29.2%0.5917.8%
Commodities (DBC)47.9%20.4%1.81-46.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.6%13.6%0.2231.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-29.9%43.8%-0.6823.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UAL
UAL18.2%48.9%0.51-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.0%17.6%0.5259.3%
Equity (SPY)12.4%17.2%0.5557.1%
Gold (GLD)18.5%18.8%0.803.1%
Commodities (DBC)11.5%19.5%0.46-7.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.7%18.9%-0.0739.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.9%52.6%0.3727.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UAL
UAL7.6%51.7%0.35-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.1%20.1%0.5761.2%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7153.4%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.3%0.611.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%18.1%0.3810.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.6%20.7%0.1945.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.4%66.2%1.0316.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7312026-12.2%
Average Daily Volume3.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity324.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/17/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/15/2026-1.8%-3.1%4.4%
4/21/2026-5.6%-6.9%0.9%
1/20/20262.2%-4.2%1.4%
10/15/2025-5.6%-7.5%-6.6%
7/16/20253.1%2.2%12.1%
4/15/2025-0.0%1.5%14.2%
1/21/2025-2.3%-3.8%-7.3%
10/15/202412.4%16.3%40.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10915
# Negative14159
Median Positive5.1%8.1%8.9%
Median Negative-4.2%-3.8%-6.3%
Max Positive17.4%30.2%40.2%
Max Negative-10.2%-12.6%-9.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/15/2026-1.8%-3.1%4.4%
4/21/2026-5.6%-6.9%0.9%
1/20/20262.2%-4.2%1.4%
10/15/2025-5.6%-7.5%-6.6%
7/16/20253.1%2.2%12.1%
4/15/2025-0.0%1.5%14.2%
1/21/2025-2.3%-3.8%-7.3%
10/15/202412.4%16.3%40.2%
7/17/2024-1.2%-2.0%-9.1%
4/16/202417.4%30.2%32.4%
1/22/20245.3%9.5%14.6%
10/17/2023-9.7%-12.4%-0.4%
7/19/20233.2%-0.4%-9.6%
4/18/20237.5%-1.3%10.9%
1/17/2023-4.6%-3.7%-2.5%
10/18/20225.0%14.4%16.2%
7/20/2022-10.2%-12.6%-6.3%
4/20/20229.3%8.1%-5.0%
1/19/2022-3.4%-6.7%8.9%
10/19/2021-0.6%1.2%5.5%
7/20/20213.8%5.0%-2.8%
4/19/2021-8.5%-2.2%2.5%
1/20/2021-5.7%-9.5%6.3%
10/14/2020-3.8%-0.2%3.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10915
# Negative14159
Median Positive5.1%8.1%8.9%
Median Negative-4.2%-3.8%-6.3%
Max Positive17.4%30.2%40.2%
Max Negative-10.2%-12.6%-9.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/16/202610-Q
03/31/202604/22/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/16/202510-Q
06/30/202507/17/202510-Q
03/31/202504/16/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202410/16/202410-Q
06/30/202407/18/202410-Q
03/31/202404/17/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202310/18/202310-Q
06/30/202307/20/202310-Q
03/31/202304/20/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/19/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/16/202610-Q
03/31/202604/22/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/16/202510-Q
06/30/202507/17/202510-Q
03/31/202504/16/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202410/16/202410-Q
06/30/202407/18/202410-Q
03/31/202404/17/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202310/18/202310-Q
06/30/202307/20/202310-Q
03/31/202304/20/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/19/202210-Q
06/30/202207/21/202210-Q
03/31/202204/21/202210-Q
12/31/202102/18/202210-K
09/30/202110/20/202110-Q
06/30/202107/22/202110-Q
03/31/202104/22/202110-Q
12/31/202003/01/202110-K
09/30/202010/15/202010-Q
06/30/202007/22/202010-Q
03/31/202005/04/202010-Q
12/31/201902/25/202010-K
09/30/201910/16/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/16/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/15/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Added Fuel ExpenseReported 6.00 Bil    
2026 Adjusted EPSReported91011  Raised


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Capacity GrowthReported0.0%1.0%2.0%   
Q4 2026 Capacity GrowthReported0.0%1.0%2.0%   

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/20/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Free Cash FlowReported 2.70 Bil    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/15/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Adjusted Diluted EPSReported33.253.5   
2026 Customer Experience InvestmentReported 1.00 Bil    

Insider Activity

Updated 8/27/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Nocella, Andrew PEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell8272026117.005,000585,00025,149,735Form
2Nocella, Andrew PEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell8052026132.303,000396,90029,100,047Form
3Leskinen, Michael DEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell8052026128.1910,0001,281,9006,080,821Form
4Nocella, Andrew PEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell7282026120.484,200506,01626,861,618Form
5Hart, Brett JPresidentDirectSell7282026120.7230,1083,634,63844,857,500Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Nocella, Andrew PEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell8272026117.005,000585,00025,149,735Form
2Nocella, Andrew PEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell8052026132.303,000396,90029,100,047Form
3Leskinen, Michael DEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell8052026128.1910,0001,281,9006,080,821Form
4Nocella, Andrew PEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell7282026120.484,200506,01626,861,618Form
5Hart, Brett JPresidentDirectSell7282026120.7230,1083,634,63844,857,500Form
6Enqvist, Torbjorn JEVP & Chief Operations OfficerDirectSell7282026119.9120,0002,398,20013,765,668Form
7Kirby, J ScottChief Executive OfficerDirectSell7212026118.05159,32118,807,04794,182,321Form
8Kirby, J ScottChief Executive OfficerDirectSell6172026120.741,078130,15496,330,136Form
9Kirby, J ScottChief Executive OfficerDirectSell6172026121.3048,3035,859,20296,910,887Form
10Gebo, KateEVP HR and Labor RelationsDirectSell5282026105.4134,6693,654,5987,137,266Form
11Gebo, KateEVP HR and Labor RelationsSee FootnoteSell5282026105.515,331562,4746,372,065Form
12Nocella, Andrew PEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell505202690.197,000631,33019,421,966Form
13Hart, Brett JPresidentDirectSell2042026106.4519,0002,022,56928,170,980Form
14Kirby, J ScottChief Executive OfficerDirectSell12032025107.86120,00012,943,80071,895,798Form
15Gebo, KateEVP HR and Labor RelationsDirectSell814202597.5929,9532,923,2034,440,091Form
16Gebo, KateEVP HR and Labor RelationsSee FootnoteSell814202597.816,343620,4156,759,327Form
17Harford, Barney DirectSell812202597.769,000879,8627,821,000Form
18Harford, Barney DirectSell812202590.0315,8231,424,5988,012,973Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 11, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Par Capital Management Inc$460.1 Mil13.4%45Hold13F
TOMS Capital Investment Management LP$110.3 Mil7.2%14TRIM -7.9%13F
BWCP, LP$41.7 Mil6.4%27ADD +19.2%13F
Avala Global LP$99.1 Mil4.8%22Hold13F
Slate Path Capital LP$286.6 Mil4.3%44ADD +64.7%13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$268.2 Mil2.8%29Hold13F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$67.4 Mil2.5%38ADD +11.9%13F
Sanders Capital, LLC$1.4 Bil1.7%44Hold13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$45.7 Mil1.2%41Hold13F
Cartenna Capital, LP$23.0 Mil1.0%41New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cartenna Capital, LP$23.0 Mil1.0%41New13F
Slate Path Capital LP$286.6 Mil4.3%44ADD +64.7%13F
BWCP, LP$41.7 Mil6.4%27ADD +19.2%13F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$67.4 Mil2.5%38ADD +11.9%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Anomaly Capital Management, LP$114.5 Mil4.1%32ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Appaloosa LP$52.0 Mil0.8%38ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Khrom Capital Management LLC$46.8 Mil4.9%14ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Palestra Capital Management LLC$46.2 Mil1.6%28ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Electron Capital Partners, LLC$43.8 Mil2.0%40ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P.$31.8 Mil3.8%30ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Bornite Capital Management LP$28.0 Mil2.7%28ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Bayberry Capital Partners LP$9.9 Mil3.2%24ExitedDec 31, 202513F
TOMS Capital Investment Management LP$110.3 Mil7.2%14TRIM -7.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sanders Capital, LLC$1.4 Bil1.7%44Hold13F
Par Capital Management Inc$460.1 Mil13.4%45Hold13F
Slate Path Capital LP$286.6 Mil4.3%44ADD +64.7%13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$268.2 Mil2.8%29Hold13F
TOMS Capital Investment Management LP$110.3 Mil7.2%14TRIM -7.9%13F
Avala Global LP$99.1 Mil4.8%22Hold13F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$67.4 Mil2.5%38ADD +11.9%13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$45.7 Mil1.2%41Hold13F
BWCP, LP$41.7 Mil6.4%27ADD +19.2%13F
Cartenna Capital, LP$23.0 Mil1.0%41New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/10/2026