Great Elm (GEG)
Market Price (12/8/2025): $2.63 | Market Cap: $76.2 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Great Elm (GEG)
Market Price (12/8/2025): $2.63Market Cap: $76.2 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -83% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -42% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 129x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -83% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -42% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 129x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GEG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Great Elm Group reported record fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 financial results.
The company announced a record net income from continuing operations of $15.7 million for the fourth quarter and a 24% increase in book value per share for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025. This strong performance, highlighting a significant turnaround from previous periods, contributed to a 51.50% surge in stock price in after-hours trading on September 2, 2025.
2. The company secured strategic partnerships and significant capital raises.
Great Elm announced transformational partnerships, including one with Kennedy Lewis Investment Management (KLIM), which provided up to $150 million in leverageable capital and purchased 4.9% of GEG common stock at $2.11 per share. Additionally, Woodstead Value Fund invested $9.0 million by purchasing 4.0 million shares of GEG common stock at $2.25 per share.
3. Great Elm Group experienced significant growth in assets under management (AUM).
Fee-paying AUM increased by approximately 9% year-over-year, reaching around $594 million (or $601 million pro forma), driven by recent capital raises and platform expansion. Total AUM reached $759 million as of the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025.
4. Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) raised substantial capital and delivered strong performance.
Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC), managed by a GEG subsidiary, raised $15.0 million by selling 1.3 million shares to an affiliate of Booker Smith. This transaction also led to Booker Smith joining GEG's Board of Directors. GECC also reported record investment income for the quarter ended June 30, 2025.
5. The company demonstrated confidence through its share repurchase program.
As of September 1, 2025, Great Elm Group had repurchased approximately 5.1 million shares for $9.3 million at an average price of $1.85 per share. The board also authorized an additional $5 million in repurchases in July 2025, with $15.7 million remaining under the program, signaling management's belief in the company's value.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GEG Return | - | -27% | -3% | -4% | -7% | 50% | -6% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 37% | -15% | 18% | 15% | -7% | 73% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GEG Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 58% | 33% | 70% | ||
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 58% | 38% | 58% | 60% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GEG Max Drawdown | - | -39% | -33% | -13% | -11% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -55% | -4% | -29% | -7% | -9% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MAIN, VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GEG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 178.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 148 days |
Compare to MAIN, VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, BLKS
In The Past
Great Elm's stock fell -64.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2021. A -64.0% loss requires a 178.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GEG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.4% | 0.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.8% | -7.8% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.4% | 0.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.8% | -7.8% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Great Elm
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 60.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 152 |
| Op Inc LTM | 44 |
| FCF LTM | 70 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 125 |
| CFO LTM | 77 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 127 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 27.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.5 |
| P/E | 9.4 |
| P/CFO | 16.6 |
| Total Yield | 15.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 34.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -7.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -33.0% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | 0.8% | 2.0% | |
| 7/31/2025 | 2.9% | 5.8% | 17.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | 0.0% | -1.0% | 13.5% |
| 2/5/2025 | -1.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| 11/12/2024 | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| 8/29/2024 | 0.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | 2.8% | 0.0% | -2.8% |
| 2/13/2024 | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| # Negative | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 4.4% | 8.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -4.3% | -12.0% |
| Max Positive | 10.7% | 30.3% | 71.8% |
| Max Negative | -12.2% | -7.3% | -15.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 9022025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8292024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9202023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9122022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |