Tearsheet

Trio Petroleum (TPET)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.92 | Market Cap: $7.3 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Trio Petroleum (TPET)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.92
Market Cap: $7.3 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 123%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -138%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1340%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 33x
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1967%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2273%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 146%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 123%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -138%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1340%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 33x
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1967%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2273%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 146%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TPET Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement of Trio Petroleum (TPET) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Persistent Negative Technical Indicators and Market Underperformance. The stock displayed consistently negative technical indicators, with both its medium and short-term trends pointing downwards. Trio Petroleum underperformed both the broader U.S. market and its specific industry sector over the preceding year, signaling a lack of investor confidence and sustained selling pressure.

2. Unfavorable Financial Performance and Negative Earnings. The company reported negative earnings, resulting in a negative Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. This indicated a lack of profitability and contributed to an assessment of a moderately risky investment with an imperfect balance sheet, raising concerns among investors about the company's financial health.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TPET Return-----80%-29%-86%
Peers Return-39%91%65%8%-3%-3%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TPET Win Rate---12%25%20% 
Peers Win Rate37%70%58%57%48%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TPET Max Drawdown-----87%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-73%-1%0%-14%-12%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TPET has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1201 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1858 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Trio Petroleum (TPET)

Better Bets than Trio Petroleum (TPET)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TPET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Trio Petroleum

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TPETCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameTrio Pet.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Price0.8991.8134.13111.51158.3842.4567.13
Mkt Cap0.0114.371.360.345.741.853.0
Rev LTM059,78844,52122,57915,28427,15024,864
Op Inc LTM-412,5499,0227,5395,5845,4576,562
FCF LTM-77,0888,1243,891-1,0944,7764,334
FCF 3Y Avg-48,9108,2845,167-1,9665,7455,456
CFO LTM-619,93514,77010,1958,75612,14611,170
CFO 3Y Avg-320,72013,87411,4536,73012,36611,909

Growth & Margins

TPETCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameTrio Pet.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Rev Chg LTM123.4%8.2%8.3%-5.0%60.1%0.1%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--6.6%-2.4%-7.6%20.8%-6.8%-6.6%
Rev Chg Q205.1%15.3%6.4%-2.3%48.2%-5.9%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM74.2%3.4%1.5%-0.6%9.1%-1.5%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-1,339.7%21.0%20.3%33.4%36.5%20.1%20.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.1%21.9%36.4%46.8%23.4%24.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1,472.7%-1.0%-4.3%-0.8%-1.3%-2.0%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-1,967.4%33.3%33.2%45.2%57.3%44.7%39.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-35.6%32.8%49.0%62.5%43.1%43.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-2,273.3%11.9%18.2%17.2%-7.2%17.6%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.3%19.6%22.1%-18.6%19.7%19.6%

Valuation

TPETCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameTrio Pet.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Cap0.0114.371.360.345.741.853.0
P/S32.62.01.52.72.71.52.3
P/EBIT-1.88.17.68.36.98.87.8
P/E-1.613.310.011.09.917.210.5
P/CFO-1.75.94.55.94.73.44.6
Total Yield-63.4%10.8%17.1%12.6%12.9%5.8%11.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.3%7.1%3.5%2.7%0.0%3.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-31.0%6.9%12.0%7.6%-5.2%11.6%7.3%
D/E0.00.20.30.10.40.60.2
Net D/E-0.10.10.30.10.40.50.2

Returns

TPETCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameTrio Pet.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
1M Rtn-11.5%4.6%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.7%5.1%
3M Rtn-23.0%-2.1%10.7%-6.6%12.1%-8.3%-4.4%
6M Rtn-20.3%8.7%13.4%2.5%15.3%2.4%5.6%
12M Rtn-11.1%-10.4%5.1%-12.5%-7.3%-14.0%-10.7%
3Y Rtn--16.5%31.6%-9.3%23.4%-34.8%-9.3%
1M Excs Rtn-11.5%4.7%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.8%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn-27.7%-8.6%4.9%-12.8%6.4%-14.3%-10.7%
6M Excs Rtn-35.0%-6.0%-1.4%-12.2%0.5%-12.3%-9.1%
12M Excs Rtn-36.6%-25.9%-7.2%-27.0%-21.8%-27.9%-26.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--90.4%-39.2%-80.6%-47.9%-107.7%-80.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity484,765
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202517.6%
Average Daily Volume272,232
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.78
Basic Shares Quantity7,973,211
Short % of Basic Shares6.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025912202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025610202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025314202510-Q 1/31/2025
10312024117202510-K 10/31/2024
7312024912202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024614202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024318202410-Q 1/31/2024
10312023129202410-K 10/31/2023
7312023911202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/30/2023
103120224192023424B4 10/31/2022
731202212082022S-1/A 7/31/2022
43020229122022S-1 4/30/2022