Trio Petroleum (TPET)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.92 | Market Cap: $7.3 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Trio Petroleum (TPET)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.92Market Cap: $7.3 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 123% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -138% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1340% | |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 33x | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1967%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2273% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 146% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 123% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -138% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1340% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 33x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1967%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2273% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 146% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TPET Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the stock movement of Trio Petroleum (TPET) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Persistent Negative Technical Indicators and Market Underperformance. The stock displayed consistently negative technical indicators, with both its medium and short-term trends pointing downwards. Trio Petroleum underperformed both the broader U.S. market and its specific industry sector over the preceding year, signaling a lack of investor confidence and sustained selling pressure.
2. Unfavorable Financial Performance and Negative Earnings. The company reported negative earnings, resulting in a negative Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. This indicated a lack of profitability and contributed to an assessment of a moderately risky investment with an imperfect balance sheet, raising concerns among investors about the company's financial health.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TPET Return | - | - | - | - | -80% | -29% | -86% |
| Peers Return | -39% | 91% | 65% | 8% | -3% | -3% | 93% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TPET Win Rate | - | - | - | 12% | 25% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 70% | 58% | 57% | 48% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TPET Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -87% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -73% | -1% | 0% | -14% | -12% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
TPET has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.
| Event | XLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1858 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Trio Petroleum Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TPET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Trio Petroleum
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 67.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| Rev LTM | 24,864 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,562 |
| FCF LTM | 4,334 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,456 |
| CFO LTM | 11,170 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11,909 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -6.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 39.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 7.8 |
| P/E | 10.5 |
| P/CFO | 4.6 |
| Total Yield | 11.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -9.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -80.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9122025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6102025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3142025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 1172025 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9122024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6142024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3182024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 1292024 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9112023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 10312022 | 4192023 | 424B4 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 12082022 | S-1/A 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 9122022 | S-1 4/30/2022 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |