Tearsheet

Prairie Operating (PROP)


Market Price (5/11/2026): $0.95 | Market Cap: $56.2 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Prairie Operating (PROP)


Market Price (5/11/2026): $0.95
Market Cap: $56.2 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 58%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 54%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2954%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -138%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%

Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 673%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%

Key risks
PROP key risks include [1] a precarious financial position characterized by high debt, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 58%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 54%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2954%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -138%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
7 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
8 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 673%
9 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
10 Key risks
PROP key risks include [1] a precarious financial position characterized by high debt, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Prairie Operating (PROP) stock has lost about 50% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Potential for Share Dilution from Convertible Preferred Stock Warrants.

Prairie Operating faced considerable downward pressure due to the potential for substantial dilution from its Series F Convertible Preferred Stock and associated Anniversary Warrants. Initially, these warrants carried the potential to issue approximately 77 million shares, which would have represented a massive dilution relative to the company's around 97.34 million outstanding shares. This looming dilution created significant uncertainty and negatively impacted investor confidence in the stock's value.

2. Costs and Continued Share Issuance Associated with Dilution Mitigation Efforts.

While the company successfully negotiated an agreement on April 9, 2026, to reduce the potential issuance of Anniversary Warrants by 56% (from approximately 77 million to 34 million shares) and waived a $3.0 million cash extension fee, these efforts still incurred costs and additional share issuances. The agreement involved an immediate repayment of $13.7 million in stated value of the Series F Preferred Stock and the issuance of 4.0 million penny warrants to the Series F holder. These actions, while aiming to lessen future dilution, still added to the existing share count and financial obligations, contributing to the stock's decline.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -49.2% change in PROP stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265102026Change
Stock Price ($)1.830.93-49.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16724244.9%
Net Income Margin (%)13.4%13.2%-1.3%
P/E Multiple4.11.7-58.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5159-14.5%
Cumulative Contribution-49.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PROP-49.2% 
Market (SPY)3.6%-9.8%
Sector (XLE)9.8%38.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -54.6% change in PROP stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -81.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255102026Change
Stock Price ($)2.050.93-54.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)90242170.5%
Net Income Margin (%)10.8%13.2%22.1%
P/E Multiple9.31.7-81.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4459-25.5%
Cumulative Contribution-54.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PROP-54.6% 
Market (SPY)5.5%-9.4%
Sector (XLE)28.3%37.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -77.1% change in PROP stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -98.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255102026Change
Stock Price ($)4.060.93-77.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)82422953.5%
P/S Multiple11.80.2-98.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2359-61.1%
Cumulative Contribution-77.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PROP-77.1% 
Market (SPY)30.4%-0.2%
Sector (XLE)42.8%30.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 900.1% change in PROP stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 4432.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235102026Change
Stock Price ($)0.090.93900.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-0242-3047504.1%
Net Income Margin (%)-13222.3%13.2%-100.1%
P/E Multiple0.01.74432.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)059-99.3%
Cumulative Contribution900.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PROP900.1% 
Market (SPY)78.7%4.5%
Sector (XLE)44.3%2.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PROP Return392%-98%17446%-27%-76%-43%57%
Peers Return253%45%-2%-2%-7%37%527%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%95%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PROP Win Rate50%25%83%33%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate69%67%42%44%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PROP Max Drawdown0%-98%0%-36%-77%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-2%-29%-11%-32%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SM, OVV, SD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPROPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-94.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven1880.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven363 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven2 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-68.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven220.0%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven4 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-53.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven115.9%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven1185 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-46.5%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven1491 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-67.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven204.6%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1491 days15 days

Compare to SM, OVV, SD

In The Past

Prairie Operating's stock fell -3.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 3.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPROPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-94.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven1880.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven363 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven2 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-68.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven220.0%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven4 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-53.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven115.9%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven1185 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-46.5%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven1491 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-67.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven204.6%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1491 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-50.0%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven100.0%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven18 days1 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-85.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven566.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven167 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-93.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven1542.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven2150 days1085 days

Compare to SM, OVV, SD

In The Past

Prairie Operating's stock fell -3.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 3.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Prairie Operating (PROP)

Creek Road Miners, Inc. engages in cryptocurrency mining business. The company was formerly known as Wizard Brands, Inc. and changed its name to Creek Road Miners, Inc. in July 2021. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Park City, Utah.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Analogies for Prairie Operating (PROP):
  • A digital gold mine.
  • A factory for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Prairie Operating (symbol: PROP) is an oil and gas exploration and production company. It sells its products, primarily crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), primarily to other companies (B2B).

Its major customers fall into the following categories:

  • Midstream Companies: These companies specialize in the gathering, processing, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas from the wellhead to market hubs. They often purchase raw hydrocarbons from E&P companies like Prairie Operating.
  • Refineries: Refineries purchase crude oil from E&P companies to process it into various petroleum products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemical feedstocks.
  • Commodity Traders and Wholesale Purchasers: These entities buy crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs in bulk for resale, often to utilities, industrial users, or other downstream participants in the energy market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Richard N. Frommer – Interim President and CEO

Mr. Frommer has served as a director of Prairie Operating Co. since November 2024. He was the President and Chief Executive Officer of Great Western Petroleum from February 2013 to September 2021. From May 2002 to November 2012, Mr. Frommer was Senior Vice President, Rocky Mountain division at Samson Resources Company until its sale to KKR & Co., L.P. Before that, he spent four years at HS Resources Inc. as New Ventures Manager.

Greg Patton – Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Patton has over 15 years of industry experience. He previously served as Senior Vice President, Corporate Development and Finance for Great Western Petroleum and as CFO for Trigger Energy. Mr. Patton joined Prairie Operating Co. as VP of Commercial Development in March 2024 and was appointed CFO effective April 1, 2025. He holds a Master and Bachelor of Accounting from The University of Denver.

Bryan Freeman – Executive Vice President, Operations

Mr. Freeman previously served as the SVP of Drilling and Completions at Rosehill Resources, where he was responsible for managing the execution of the company's $750 million Capex program over three years. Before joining Rosehill Resources, he was the Production & Operation Engineering Manager for SM Energy.

Daniel T. Sweeney – Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Mr. Sweeney has served as Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary since July 2023. Prior to this role, he was the Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary of Great Western Petroleum, LLC, a private oil and gas company, from June 2018 until its sale to PDC Energy Inc. in May 2022. From May 2013 to June 2018, he served as Director, Assistant Secretary and Associate General Counsel at Eclipse Resources Corp., also a private oil and gas exploration company. Mr. Sweeney also held legal roles at Chesapeake Energy Corporation and Rex Energy Corporation.

Louis J. Basenese – Executive Vice President, Market Strategy

Mr. Basenese has served as Executive Vice President, Market Strategy since January 2025. From June 2022 to January 2025, he was President and Chief Market Strategist for MDB Capital Holdings, a publicly traded investment bank and broker dealer. He founded and led The Basenese Group, an independent equity research, strategy, and advisory firm. Mr. Basenese started his career in capital markets as an investment consultant and analyst at Morgan Stanley from March 2002 to January 2005.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Prairie Operating (symbol: PROP) primarily revolve around its financial health and the inherent volatility of the energy market.

  1. Financial Distress and Dilution Risk: Prairie Operating faces significant financial challenges, operating with negative cash flow and requiring substantial capital expenditures for its growth initiatives, with planned spending between $300 million and $320 million in 2025. This situation is further exacerbated by a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.13 and an Altman Z-Score of 0.24, which places the company in a distress zone, suggesting a potential risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. The company relies heavily on higher-risk funding sources, with 100% of its liabilities stemming from external borrowing, and frequent equity issuances to fund growth could lead to significant dilution of shareholder value. Moreover, there is substantial potential for further dilution from preferred stock, warrants, and other instruments.
  2. Commodity Price Volatility: As an independent energy company focused on oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) resources, Prairie Operating's business, financial condition, and ability to meet capital expenditure obligations are highly susceptible to the volatile prices of these commodities. An extended decline in oil, natural gas, and NGL prices could severely impact the company's profitability and financial stability.
  3. Operational Execution Risks: Prairie Operating has a limited history of drilling producing oil and natural gas wells, which introduces uncertainties in establishing successful operations and executing its development plans. There is a risk that the development of its estimated proved undeveloped reserves (PUD) may take longer and require higher capital expenditures than anticipated, potentially leading to undeveloped or unproduced reserves and challenging its ability to scale production effectively.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Prairie Operating (NASDAQ: PROP) is primarily an independent energy company focused on the acquisition, development, and operation of onshore oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) properties in the United States, with operations concentrated in the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin in Colorado. The company's main products are crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.

While some sources indicate that Prairie Operating also has a Bitcoin mining operation or that Prairie Operating Co., LLC was acquired by Creek Road Miners, Inc., a cryptocurrency mining business, the bulk of Prairie Operating's revenue is described as coming from selling oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.

It is challenging to provide a precise addressable market size specifically for the exploration and production activities within the DJ Basin in a single numerical value. However, the broader markets for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States are substantial.

Currently, specific addressable market sizes directly attributable to Prairie Operating's main products (crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids) for their specific operational region (DJ Basin, U.S.) are not readily available in a quantifiable figure that can be directly extracted as a "market size" from the provided search results. Therefore, it is not possible to size the markets for the company's products based on the available information.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Prairie Operating (NASDAQ: PROP) is an independent energy company primarily focused on the development and acquisition of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) resources in the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin in the United States. The company exited its cryptocurrency mining operations in January 2024. Over the next 2-3 years, key drivers of Prairie Operating's future revenue growth are expected to include:

  • Increased Production Volume from Acquisitions and Development: Prairie Operating's revenue growth is significantly driven by its strategy of acquiring and developing oil and gas assets. The company's $602.8 million acquisition of Bayswater's DJ Basin assets, which closed in March 2025, substantially expanded its land position and boosted daily production. In the third quarter of 2025, Prairie Operating achieved record production of 23,029 barrels of oil equivalent per day (Boe/d), with current rates reaching approximately 27,000 Boe/d due to successful development activities and additional bolt-on acquisitions. The company has reaffirmed its full-year 2025 production guidance of 24,000–26,000 Boe/d, with ongoing drilling and completion activities expected to drive further production growth.

  • Development of Proved Reserves: Prairie Operating possesses substantial proved reserves, with an independent assessment as of year-end 2025 reporting total proved reserves of 121 million barrels of oil equivalent. A significant portion of these, 53 MMBoe, are categorized as proved undeveloped reserves. The systematic development and conversion of these undeveloped reserves into producing assets will be a key driver of increased production volumes and, consequently, revenue growth over the coming years.

  • Operational Efficiency and Optimization: The company emphasizes operational efficiency and asset optimization to enhance per-well productivity and capital efficiency. Initiatives such as workover programs, the installation of plunger lift systems (which have shown an average oil production increase of 12.6% per well), and improvements to gas-lift systems and pad efficiencies contribute to maximizing output from existing and new wells. Prairie Operating also benefits from operating in rural areas, which results in fewer permitting hurdles and a faster development timeline, allowing for efficient capital deployment.

  • Strategic Hedging and Commodity Price Management: While commodity prices inherently introduce volatility, Prairie Operating employs a proactive hedging strategy to secure favorable pricing for a significant portion of its production through 2028. This strategy helps to insulate the company from short-term commodity price fluctuations, enabling more reliable forecasting of cash flows and capital expenditures, and providing a stable revenue base to support ongoing growth initiatives.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In February 2025, Prairie Operating announced an underwritten public offering of $200 million of its common stock, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional $30 million, primarily to fund a portion of the Bayswater acquisition.
  • In March 2025, the company agreed to issue and sell 150,000 shares of new Series F Convertible Preferred Stock in a registered public offering, carrying a 12% annual dividend rate, with proceeds aimed at funding the acquisition of oil and gas assets.
  • Prairie Operating downsized its common stock offering to just under $40 million in March 2025, incorporating the preferred stock issuance to minimize dilution for existing shareholders while funding the Bayswater acquisition.

Inbound Investments

  • In December 2024, Prairie Operating secured a $1 billion reserve-based lending facility with Citibank, N.A., providing significant capital for development.
  • In June 2025, the company's multi-year Reserve-Based Lending (RBL) credit facility with Citibank, N.A. was reaffirmed with a borrowing base of $475 million and a maximum facility size of $1.0 billion, maturing in March 2029.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2025, Prairie Operating closed the $602.75 million acquisition of certain Denver-Julesburg Basin (DJ Basin) assets from Bayswater Exploration and Production and its affiliated entities, significantly expanding its asset base.
  • The company completed the NRO acquisition in October 2024.
  • Prairie Operating closed the Edge acquisition in July 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the second quarter of 2025 amounted to $56.6 million, reflecting the company's commitment to growth and operational expansion.
  • In the third quarter of 2025, Prairie Operating incurred $69.6 million in capital expenditures.
  • For the full year 2025, the company reaffirmed its guidance, projecting capital expenditures between $260 million and $280 million, primarily focused on growth and development opportunities.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Prairie Operating Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PROPSMOVVSDMedian
NamePrairie .SM EnergyOvintiv SandRidg. 
Mkt Price0.9329.4457.8314.4221.93
Mkt Cap0.15.914.60.53.2
Rev LTM2423,7758,9081642,009
Op Inc LTM699272,06461498
FCF LTM-435551,50526291
FCF 3Y Avg-38-2081,449495
CFO LTM1542,1683,6521001,161
CFO 3Y Avg441,8923,84790991

Growth & Margins

PROPSMOVVSDMedian
NamePrairie .SM EnergyOvintiv SandRidg. 
Rev Chg LTM2,953.5%27.9%-2.7%18.8%23.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.1%-10.4%-7.7%-7.7%
Rev Chg Q945.6%75.8%-1.9%16.8%46.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM44.9%20.3%-0.5%4.6%12.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM360.2%-16.7%-0.3%55.6%27.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-491.9%-13.0%-17.9%-11.6%-15.4%
Op Mgn LTM28.5%24.6%23.2%37.3%26.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-33.6%24.0%34.7%33.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-1.6%0.0%2.6%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM63.5%57.4%41.0%60.9%59.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-63.1%40.0%61.8%61.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-17.8%14.7%16.9%16.1%15.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--7.5%15.2%34.6%15.2%

Valuation

PROPSMOVVSDMedian
NamePrairie .SM EnergyOvintiv SandRidg. 
Mkt Cap0.15.914.60.53.2
P/S0.21.61.63.21.6
P/Op Inc0.86.37.18.76.7
P/EBIT0.713.612.87.410.1
P/E1.744.811.87.09.4
P/CFO0.42.74.05.33.4
Total Yield58.2%4.0%10.6%17.3%13.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%2.1%2.9%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-35.5%-9.7%13.5%9.7%-0.0%
D/E6.71.40.40.00.9
Net D/E6.71.30.4-0.20.9

Returns

PROPSMOVVSDMedian
NamePrairie .SM EnergyOvintiv SandRidg. 
1M Rtn-35.4%3.7%3.1%-6.5%-1.7%
3M Rtn-48.9%40.9%25.0%-13.6%5.7%
6M Rtn-51.6%64.2%50.8%16.2%33.5%
12M Rtn-80.0%31.8%64.5%49.1%40.4%
3Y Rtn830.1%22.0%89.1%39.4%64.2%
1M Excs Rtn-41.0%-4.5%-5.4%-14.7%-10.0%
3M Excs Rtn-55.6%34.1%18.2%-20.3%-1.1%
6M Excs Rtn-58.0%59.2%51.0%11.0%31.0%
12M Excs Rtn-110.5%12.6%44.2%28.0%20.3%
3Y Excs Rtn852.6%-57.4%10.1%-28.7%-9.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Acquisition, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs)0    
Exploration and Production (E&P) 462  
Cash and cash equivalents  0  
Cryptocurrency mining  0  
Prepaid expenses  0  
Total0462  


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.93 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
Distance from 52W High-80.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.58$1.94
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-41.1%-52.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility136.0%97.5%
Downside Capture0.330.70
Upside Capture-253.65-98.03
Correlation (SPY)-11.7%-0.6%
PROP Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-3.36-1.77-0.87-0.74-0.014.61
Up Beta-3.59-4.11-2.80-2.05-0.685.60
Down Beta-7.671.822.520.220.971.74
Up Capture-282%-200%-142%-79%-38%587%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days9182756112349
Down Capture-140%-93%-25%-6%81%99%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days12233460128377

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PROP
PROP-80.2%97.1%-1.21-
Sector ETF (XLE)42.9%20.1%1.6731.3%
Equity (SPY)29.0%12.5%1.83-0.0%
Gold (GLD)39.8%27.0%1.220.8%
Commodities (DBC)50.6%18.0%2.2119.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.0%13.5%0.661.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.4%42.1%-0.3410.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PROP
PROP-10.6%1,225.5%0.50-
Sector ETF (XLE)21.5%26.1%0.742.4%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.594.0%
Gold (GLD)20.9%17.9%0.95-1.1%
Commodities (DBC)13.8%19.1%0.590.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.083.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.0%56.0%0.346.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PROP
PROP-21.5%958.3%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLE)9.5%29.5%0.362.0%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.723.5%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.69-0.9%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%17.8%0.440.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.7%0.242.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.8%66.9%1.074.1%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026102.8%
Average Daily Volume10.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity59.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares17.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/30/20262.0%25.6%-38.2%
11/14/20250.6%0.6%-2.9%
8/12/2025-19.1%-36.1%-32.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive220
# Negative113
Median Positive1.3%13.1% 
Median Negative-19.1%-36.1%-32.5%
Max Positive2.0%25.6% 
Max Negative-19.1%-36.1%-38.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/31/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/15/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/13/202410-Q
12/31/202303/19/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202203/31/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
06/30/202208/15/202210-Q
03/31/202205/16/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Average Daily Production25,50026,50027,5006.0% RaisedGuidance: 25,000 for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures200.00 Mil210.00 Mil220.00 Mil-22.2% LoweredGuidance: 270.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA240.00 Mil250.00 Mil260.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 250.00 Mil for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/14/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Average Daily Production24,00025,00026,0000 AffirmedGuidance: 25,000 for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures260.00 Mil270.00 Mil280.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 270.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA240.00 Mil250.00 Mil260.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 250.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Narrogal, Nominees Pty Ltd Atf Gregory K O'Neill Family TrustDirectBuy10220261.61210,981339,80624,934,670Form
2Narrogal, Nominees Pty Ltd Atf Gregory K O'Neill Family TrustDirectBuy122920251.6850,00084,00025,654,645Form
3Narrogal, Nominees Pty Ltd Atf Gregory K O'Neill Family TrustDirectBuy122920251.6833,82556,82625,570,645Form
4Narrogal, Nominees Pty Ltd Atf Gregory K O'Neill Family TrustDirectBuy121820251.6836,70161,65825,513,819Form
5Narrogal, Nominees Pty Ltd Atf Gregory K O'Neill Family TrustDirectBuy121820251.6870,795118,90925,446,376Form