Tearsheet

Prairie Operating (PROP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.695 | Market Cap: $85.8 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Prairie Operating (PROP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.695
Market Cap: $85.8 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -91%
  Key risks
PROP key risks include [1] a precarious financial position characterized by high debt, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -91%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
8 Key risks
PROP key risks include [1] a precarious financial position characterized by high debt, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PROP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points regarding the -33.7% movement of Prairie Operating (symbol: PROP) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Q2 2025 Earnings Miss: On August 12, 2025, just prior to the specified period, Prairie Operating announced its Q2 2025 earnings, reporting an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.18, which significantly missed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.28 by $1.10. Quarterly revenue of $68.10 million also fell below the consensus estimate of $125.50 million, contributing to negative investor sentiment.

2. Q3 2025 Net Loss: For the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, Prairie Operating reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $22.5 million, or $0.44 basic loss per share, as announced on November 14, 2025. This net loss, despite an increase in Adjusted EBITDA, likely impacted the stock negatively within the period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PROP Return408%392%-98%17446%-27%-76%1300%
Peers Return-31%229%41%6%-8%-18%159%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PROP Win Rate33%50%25%83%33%25% 
Peers Win Rate50%69%62%50%44%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PROP Max Drawdown-42%0%-98%0%-36%-76% 
Peers Max Drawdown-81%0%-3%-23%-16%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CIVI, SM, OVV, SD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPROPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven9707.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven298 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-89.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven885.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven320 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven517.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven431 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1871.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,153 days1,480 days

Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY


In The Past

Prairie Operating's stock fell -99.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/24/2021. A -99.0% loss requires a 9707.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Prairie Operating (PROP)

Better Bets than Prairie Operating (PROP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Prairie Operating Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PROP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.4%9.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.0%-3.0%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.4%9.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.0%-3.0%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Prairie Operating

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PROPCIVISMOVVSDMedian
NamePrairie .Civitas .SM EnergyOvintiv SandRidg. 
Mkt Price1.6928.5119.4138.8214.1019.41
Mkt Cap0.12.52.29.90.52.2
Rev LTM1674,6973,2728,9491563,272
Op Inc LTM471,0401,0182,071521,018
FCF LTM-86933-1,5631,4844040
FCF 3Y Avg-44598-2801,4586060
CFO LTM642,7352,1373,718942,137
CFO 3Y Avg162,4981,7353,820961,735

Growth & Margins

PROPCIVISMOVVSDMedian
NamePrairie .Civitas .SM EnergyOvintiv SandRidg. 
Rev Chg LTM--6.7%34.0%-11.7%29.7%11.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.4%1.1%-10.7%-10.8%-4.8%
Rev Chg Q--8.8%26.3%-11.1%32.5%8.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM86.7%-2.3%5.4%-2.8%6.7%5.4%
Op Mgn LTM27.9%22.1%31.1%23.1%33.3%27.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-30.7%37.3%25.7%37.4%34.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM15.8%-1.1%-3.1%-0.6%1.9%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM38.1%58.2%65.3%41.5%60.6%58.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-58.4%63.8%38.4%64.1%61.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-51.1%19.9%-47.8%16.6%25.5%16.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.6%-6.0%14.7%40.8%14.2%

Valuation

PROPCIVISMOVVSDMedian
NamePrairie .Civitas .SM EnergyOvintiv SandRidg. 
Mkt Cap0.12.52.29.90.52.2
P/S0.60.60.91.22.70.9
P/EBIT-2.32.615.16.94.8
P/E4.54.53.943.86.34.5
P/CFO1.61.11.32.84.41.6
Total Yield22.3%25.4%27.0%5.3%19.9%22.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.4%1.6%3.0%3.9%3.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.9%-12.9%13.4%12.2%12.8%
D/E-1.80.90.60.00.8
Net D/E-1.80.90.6-0.20.8

Returns

PROPCIVISMOVVSDMedian
NamePrairie .Civitas .SM EnergyOvintiv SandRidg. 
1M Rtn-3.4%4.7%5.5%2.4%-1.0%2.4%
3M Rtn-18.4%-10.1%-28.6%-6.8%22.4%-10.1%
6M Rtn-57.4%-8.0%-28.4%-4.4%19.0%-8.0%
12M Rtn-76.9%-32.5%-48.5%2.6%33.7%-32.5%
3Y Rtn1,382.5%-34.3%-39.4%-15.7%12.2%-15.7%
1M Excs Rtn-4.2%3.9%4.8%1.6%-1.7%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-17.7%-10.5%-29.7%-8.2%22.6%-10.5%
6M Excs Rtn-69.8%-20.4%-40.7%-16.8%6.6%-20.4%
12M Excs Rtn-87.4%-47.8%-61.6%-12.3%18.9%-47.8%
3Y Excs Rtn1,610.5%-102.8%-110.7%-81.3%-59.9%-81.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exploration and Production (E&P)462   
Cash and cash equivalents 0   
Cryptocurrency mining 0   
Prepaid expenses 0   
Total462   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,221,234
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202514.8%
Average Daily Volume1,087,711
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.64
Basic Shares Quantity50,624,457
Short % of Basic Shares14.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/20250.6%0.6% 
8/12/2025-19.1%-36.1%-32.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative112
Median Positive0.6%0.6% 
Median Negative-19.1%-36.1%-32.5%
Max Positive0.6%0.6% 
Max Negative-19.1%-36.1%-32.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023319202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021